產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)合理性分析與調(diào)整研究
發(fā)布時間：2018-08-13 13:59
【摘要】：經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展理論和實踐表明，產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)與經(jīng)濟(jì)的穩(wěn)定發(fā)展有著內(nèi)在聯(lián)系。產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)是一個動態(tài)結(jié)構(gòu)，隨著技術(shù)進(jìn)步、經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展、國際經(jīng)濟(jì)環(huán)境和消費觀念等的變化，它需要發(fā)生相應(yīng)變化。當(dāng)產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)適應(yīng)上述因素變化時，它就合理，當(dāng)產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)不適應(yīng)上述因素變化時，它就不合理。產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)合理性分析是對產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)狀態(tài)的評價，由于經(jīng)濟(jì)系統(tǒng)本身的復(fù)雜性，我們不能直接觀察產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)是否合理，需要應(yīng)用科學(xué)分析來評價產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)的合理性。 本文根據(jù)產(chǎn)業(yè)經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)理論和多個國家統(tǒng)計數(shù)據(jù)，采用多目標(biāo)決策、統(tǒng)計、模糊數(shù)學(xué)和綜合評判等數(shù)學(xué)方法，對產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)合理性的分析方法進(jìn)行了全面、系統(tǒng)的研究，對不完善的分析方法進(jìn)行了改進(jìn)，并提出了一些新的分析方法。 當(dāng)產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)不合理時，需要對它進(jìn)行調(diào)整，使其轉(zhuǎn)向合理，以保持經(jīng)濟(jì)的穩(wěn)定和發(fā)展，這也是產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)合理性分析的目的。本文應(yīng)用現(xiàn)代控制理論對產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)調(diào)整決策和控制的方法進(jìn)行了討論。 傳統(tǒng)的方法以經(jīng)濟(jì)增長理論為基礎(chǔ)，對產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)合理性分析與調(diào)整進(jìn)行研究。本文以可持續(xù)發(fā)展理論為基礎(chǔ)，對產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)合理性分析與調(diào)整進(jìn)行理論和應(yīng)用研究。 本論文的研究內(nèi)容如下： 1．產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)合理性判斷基準(zhǔn) 影響經(jīng)濟(jì)穩(wěn)定和發(fā)展的因素有多種，，不能僅僅根據(jù)經(jīng)濟(jì)是否穩(wěn)定和發(fā)展來評判產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)的合理性。為了分析產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)合理性，人們提出產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)合理性判斷基準(zhǔn)，依據(jù)判斷基準(zhǔn)建立相應(yīng)的分析方法，應(yīng)用所建立的分析方法來分析產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)合理性。在傳統(tǒng)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長理論下人們建立了產(chǎn)業(yè)間比例判斷基準(zhǔn)和產(chǎn)業(yè)關(guān)聯(lián)判斷基準(zhǔn)，隨著可持續(xù)發(fā)展理論逐漸取代傳統(tǒng)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長理論，僅有這兩個判斷基準(zhǔn)已顯得不足。為此，本文增添了產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)影響環(huán)境狀況和產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)影響自然資源利用兩個判斷基準(zhǔn)，完善了可持續(xù)發(fā)展理論下產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)合理性判斷基準(zhǔn)。 2．產(chǎn)業(yè)間比例合理性分析 產(chǎn)業(yè)間比例合理性分析研究包括3項內(nèi)容：一是參照結(jié)構(gòu)研究；二是產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)與參照結(jié)構(gòu)差異度量研究；三是合理性判斷規(guī)則研究。 產(chǎn)業(yè)間比例合理性分析需要參照結(jié)構(gòu)，目前應(yīng)用的參照結(jié)構(gòu)主要包括需求結(jié)構(gòu)和三次產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)模式，這兩個參照結(jié)構(gòu)動態(tài)地反映出合理的產(chǎn)業(yè)間比 第ii頁 西南交通大學(xué)博士研究生學(xué)位論文 例，有其科學(xué)的地方，但也有不足。為此，本文提出了新的參照結(jié)構(gòu)，以彌 補(bǔ)其不足。 目前還缺乏適當(dāng)?shù)漠a(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)與參照結(jié)構(gòu)差異的度量方法，因而在分析實 際問題時，難以對一些合理度介于合理與不合理之間的產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)的合理性做 出判斷。論文引入了Hamming貼近度來度量產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)與參照結(jié)構(gòu)差異，并 應(yīng)用多個國家的統(tǒng)計資料，建立了產(chǎn)業(yè)間比例合理性判斷規(guī)則。 3.產(chǎn)業(yè)關(guān)聯(lián)合理性分析 產(chǎn)業(yè)關(guān)聯(lián)合理性分析包括產(chǎn)業(yè)技術(shù)關(guān)聯(lián)合理性分析和產(chǎn)業(yè)交換關(guān)聯(lián)合 理性分析。目前產(chǎn)業(yè)技術(shù)關(guān)聯(lián)分析方法僅從物耗的角度，對產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)進(jìn)行分 析。通常技術(shù)水平從兩個方面給予描述，一是物耗水平;二是勞動生產(chǎn)率水 平。為此，本文提出相對勞動生產(chǎn)率分析法，完善了產(chǎn)業(yè)技術(shù)關(guān)聯(lián)分析方法。 產(chǎn)業(yè)交換關(guān)聯(lián)分析的主要方法是變動系數(shù)法，該方法應(yīng)用投入產(chǎn)出模型 中的技術(shù)矩陣度量產(chǎn)業(yè)交換關(guān)聯(lián)規(guī)模，并根據(jù)產(chǎn)業(yè)交換關(guān)聯(lián)規(guī)模隨經(jīng)濟(jì)增長 的變化規(guī)律，對產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)進(jìn)行分析。產(chǎn)業(yè)交換關(guān)聯(lián)規(guī)模取決于社會分工的水 平，然而隨著技術(shù)進(jìn)步的發(fā)生，技術(shù)矩陣中的元素直接消耗系數(shù)將發(fā)生變化， 這將影響產(chǎn)業(yè)交換關(guān)聯(lián)規(guī)模的度量，變動系數(shù)法沒有消除技術(shù)進(jìn)步對直接消 耗系數(shù)的影響，因而在分析具體問題時可能得出錯誤的結(jié)論。為此，本文提 出了直接消耗系數(shù)調(diào)整分析法，彌補(bǔ)了該方法的不足。 4.產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)影響環(huán)境狀況和自然資源利用分析 依據(jù)產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)影響環(huán)境狀況判斷基準(zhǔn)和產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)影響自然資源利用判斷 基準(zhǔn)，本文應(yīng)用綠色投入產(chǎn)出模型，結(jié)合環(huán)境經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)的理論，建立了產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié) 構(gòu)影響環(huán)境狀況和產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)影響自然資源利用程度的度量指標(biāo)，并根據(jù)這些 指標(biāo)建立了產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)合理性分析方法。 5.產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)調(diào)整 應(yīng)用現(xiàn)代控制理論，對產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)調(diào)整決策和控制進(jìn)行了研究，建立了產(chǎn) 業(yè)間比例調(diào)整過程優(yōu)化模型和產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)調(diào)整過程控制模型，并應(yīng)用極小值原 理和非線性規(guī)劃等數(shù)學(xué)方法對模型的求解給予了討論。 關(guān)鍵詞:產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu);產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)合理性;產(chǎn)業(yè)間比例;產(chǎn)業(yè)關(guān)聯(lián);產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)調(diào) 整
[Abstract]:The theory and practice of economic development show that the industrial structure is intrinsically related to the stable development of the economy.The industrial structure is a dynamic structure.With the changes of technological progress, economic development, international economic environment and consumption concept, it needs to change correspondingly.When the industrial structure adapts to the changes of the above-mentioned factors, it is reasonable. The rationality analysis of industrial structure is an evaluation of the state of industrial structure. Because of the complexity of the economic system itself, we can not directly observe whether the industrial structure is reasonable. We need to apply scientific analysis to evaluate the rationality of industrial structure.
Based on the theory of industrial economics and the statistical data of many countries, this paper makes a comprehensive and systematic study on the analysis methods of the rationality of industrial structure by using the mathematical methods of multi-objective decision-making, statistics, fuzzy mathematics and comprehensive evaluation, improves the imperfect analysis methods, and puts forward some new analysis methods.
When the industrial structure is unreasonable, it is necessary to adjust it so as to make it more reasonable in order to maintain the stability and development of the economy. This is also the purpose of the analysis of the rationality of the industrial structure.
The traditional method is based on the economic growth theory to study the rationality analysis and adjustment of industrial structure.
The research contents of this thesis are as follows:
1. criteria for judging the rationality of industrial structure
There are many factors affecting the stability and development of the economy. We can not judge the rationality of the industrial structure only according to the stability and development of the economy. Under the traditional economic growth theory, people have established the benchmark of judging the proportion between industries and the correlation between industries. As the sustainable development theory gradually replaces the traditional economic growth theory, only these two benchmarks are insufficient. The two benchmarks for judging the rationality of industrial structure under the theory of sustainable development are perfected.
Analysis of proportional rationality between 2. industries
The analysis and Research on the rationality of inter-industry proportion includes three contents: first, the research on reference structure; second, the research on the measurement of the difference between industrial structure and reference structure; third, the research on the rules of rationality judgment.
Rationality analysis of inter-industry ratio needs reference structure. At present, the reference structure mainly includes demand structure and three industrial structure models. These two reference structures dynamically reflect reasonable inter-industry ratio.
Page II
Doctoral dissertations of Southwest Jiao Tong University
For example, there are scientific aspects, but there are also deficiencies. Therefore, this article puts forward a new reference structure.
Make up for its deficiency.
At present, there is still a lack of appropriate measurement methods for the differences between industrial structure and reference structure, so it is necessary to analyze the actual situation.
It is difficult to rationalize the industrial structure between rationality and irrationality when dealing with international problems.
In this paper, Hamming closeness degree is introduced to measure the difference between industrial structure and reference structure.
Based on the statistical data of several countries, the rule of reasonableness of industrial proportions has been established.
The rationality analysis of 3. industry relevance
The rationality analysis of industrial connection includes the rationality analysis of industrial technology connection and the integration of industrial exchange.
Rational analysis. At present, the industrial technology correlation analysis method only divides the industrial structure from the angle of material consumption.
Usually the technical level is described from two aspects: the level of material consumption and the level of labor productivity.
Therefore, this paper puts forward the relative labor productivity analysis method, which perfects the industrial technology correlation analysis method.
The main method of industrial exchange correlation analysis is variable coefficient method, which applies input-output model.
The technological matrix in this paper measures the scale of industrial exchange correlation, and according to the scale of industrial exchange correlation with economic growth
The size of industrial exchange relevancy depends on the water of social division of labor.
However, with the development of technology, the direct consumption coefficient of elements in the technical matrix will change.
This will affect the measurement of the related scale of industrial exchange, and the variable coefficient method does not eliminate the direct elimination of technological progress.
The influence of the dissipation coefficient may lead to wrong conclusions in the analysis of specific problems.
The direct consumption coefficient adjustment analysis method has made up for the deficiency of the method.
Analysis of 4. industrial structure affecting environment and natural resources utilization
Judgment criteria based on the impact of industrial structure on environment and the impact of industrial structure on the utilization of natural resources
According to the benchmark, this paper applies the green input-output model and the theory of environmental economics to establish the industrial structure.
Construct and use these indicators to measure the impact of environmental conditions and industrial structure on the use of natural resources.
Indicators set up an analysis method for the rationality of industrial structure.
5. industrial restructuring
With the application of modern control theory, the decision and control of industrial structure adjustment have been studied.
Inter-industry Proportional Adjustment Process Optimization Model and Industrial Structure Adjustment Process Control Model, and Application of Minimum Primitive
Mathematical models such as theory and nonlinear programming are discussed.
Key words: industrial structure; industrial structure rationality; inter industry ratio; industrial linkage; industrial structure adjustment
whole
【學(xué)位授予單位】：西南交通大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】：博士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2004
【分類號】：F062.9
本文編號：2181195
[Abstract]:The theory and practice of economic development show that the industrial structure is intrinsically related to the stable development of the economy.The industrial structure is a dynamic structure.With the changes of technological progress, economic development, international economic environment and consumption concept, it needs to change correspondingly.When the industrial structure adapts to the changes of the above-mentioned factors, it is reasonable. The rationality analysis of industrial structure is an evaluation of the state of industrial structure. Because of the complexity of the economic system itself, we can not directly observe whether the industrial structure is reasonable. We need to apply scientific analysis to evaluate the rationality of industrial structure.
Based on the theory of industrial economics and the statistical data of many countries, this paper makes a comprehensive and systematic study on the analysis methods of the rationality of industrial structure by using the mathematical methods of multi-objective decision-making, statistics, fuzzy mathematics and comprehensive evaluation, improves the imperfect analysis methods, and puts forward some new analysis methods.
When the industrial structure is unreasonable, it is necessary to adjust it so as to make it more reasonable in order to maintain the stability and development of the economy. This is also the purpose of the analysis of the rationality of the industrial structure.
The traditional method is based on the economic growth theory to study the rationality analysis and adjustment of industrial structure.
The research contents of this thesis are as follows:
1. criteria for judging the rationality of industrial structure
There are many factors affecting the stability and development of the economy. We can not judge the rationality of the industrial structure only according to the stability and development of the economy. Under the traditional economic growth theory, people have established the benchmark of judging the proportion between industries and the correlation between industries. As the sustainable development theory gradually replaces the traditional economic growth theory, only these two benchmarks are insufficient. The two benchmarks for judging the rationality of industrial structure under the theory of sustainable development are perfected.
Analysis of proportional rationality between 2. industries
The analysis and Research on the rationality of inter-industry proportion includes three contents: first, the research on reference structure; second, the research on the measurement of the difference between industrial structure and reference structure; third, the research on the rules of rationality judgment.
Rationality analysis of inter-industry ratio needs reference structure. At present, the reference structure mainly includes demand structure and three industrial structure models. These two reference structures dynamically reflect reasonable inter-industry ratio.
Page II
Doctoral dissertations of Southwest Jiao Tong University
For example, there are scientific aspects, but there are also deficiencies. Therefore, this article puts forward a new reference structure.
Make up for its deficiency.
At present, there is still a lack of appropriate measurement methods for the differences between industrial structure and reference structure, so it is necessary to analyze the actual situation.
It is difficult to rationalize the industrial structure between rationality and irrationality when dealing with international problems.
In this paper, Hamming closeness degree is introduced to measure the difference between industrial structure and reference structure.
Based on the statistical data of several countries, the rule of reasonableness of industrial proportions has been established.
The rationality analysis of 3. industry relevance
The rationality analysis of industrial connection includes the rationality analysis of industrial technology connection and the integration of industrial exchange.
Rational analysis. At present, the industrial technology correlation analysis method only divides the industrial structure from the angle of material consumption.
Usually the technical level is described from two aspects: the level of material consumption and the level of labor productivity.
Therefore, this paper puts forward the relative labor productivity analysis method, which perfects the industrial technology correlation analysis method.
The main method of industrial exchange correlation analysis is variable coefficient method, which applies input-output model.
The technological matrix in this paper measures the scale of industrial exchange correlation, and according to the scale of industrial exchange correlation with economic growth
The size of industrial exchange relevancy depends on the water of social division of labor.
However, with the development of technology, the direct consumption coefficient of elements in the technical matrix will change.
This will affect the measurement of the related scale of industrial exchange, and the variable coefficient method does not eliminate the direct elimination of technological progress.
The influence of the dissipation coefficient may lead to wrong conclusions in the analysis of specific problems.
The direct consumption coefficient adjustment analysis method has made up for the deficiency of the method.
Analysis of 4. industrial structure affecting environment and natural resources utilization
Judgment criteria based on the impact of industrial structure on environment and the impact of industrial structure on the utilization of natural resources
According to the benchmark, this paper applies the green input-output model and the theory of environmental economics to establish the industrial structure.
Construct and use these indicators to measure the impact of environmental conditions and industrial structure on the use of natural resources.
Indicators set up an analysis method for the rationality of industrial structure.
5. industrial restructuring
With the application of modern control theory, the decision and control of industrial structure adjustment have been studied.
Inter-industry Proportional Adjustment Process Optimization Model and Industrial Structure Adjustment Process Control Model, and Application of Minimum Primitive
Mathematical models such as theory and nonlinear programming are discussed.
Key words: industrial structure; industrial structure rationality; inter industry ratio; industrial linkage; industrial structure adjustment
whole
【學(xué)位授予單位】：西南交通大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】：博士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2004
【分類號】：F062.9
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