本文選題：電煤供應鏈 + 供應鏈金融��； 參考：《北京交通大學》2014年碩士論文

【摘要】：電煤供應鏈是能源經(jīng)濟發(fā)展的重要影響因素之一,而供應鏈中的電煤流通企業(yè)作為重要節(jié)點,其自身發(fā)展受到上下游核心企業(yè)的影響較大,供應鏈金融服務的支撐作用具有重要意義。我國供應鏈金融服務開展時間不長,目前還未見到對于電煤供應鏈金融服務風險管理的相關研究。因此對于該領域進行深入的定量研究是必要的。 本文以電煤行業(yè)為研究背景,回顧了我國電煤行業(yè)近年的整體發(fā)展情況,結(jié)合國內(nèi)外供應鏈管理、供應鏈金融、供應鏈風險領域的研究理論,以電煤流通企業(yè)的供應鏈金融服務風險為研究對象,進行風險評價與控制研究。論文首先對電煤供應鏈、供應鏈金融、供應鏈風險的相關理論進行闡述,總結(jié)電煤流通企業(yè)供應鏈金融的特點,分析電煤供應鏈現(xiàn)狀,得出了電煤流通企業(yè)融資難的突出問題,結(jié)合電煤供應鏈中煤炭企業(yè)融資需求分析,從采購、運營、銷售三個階段闡述各階段供應鏈金融服務的操作模式。 在各階段供應鏈金融服務模式分析的基礎上,對電煤流通企業(yè)融資涉及的各類風險點進行識別,采用“主體+債項”的模式,從交易產(chǎn)品資質(zhì)、電煤流通企業(yè)、核心企業(yè)、供應鏈整體運營情況等方面選擇合理的指標構(gòu)建風險評價體系,突出考慮整條供應鏈的風險。搜集相關指標數(shù)據(jù),通過主成分分析法和Logistic模型的綜合運用,構(gòu)建電煤流通企業(yè)供應鏈金融服務風險綜合評價方法,并進行實證分析。 論文最后結(jié)合傳統(tǒng)供應鏈金融風險控制方法,對可能出現(xiàn)的風險點進行控制分析,針對供應鏈金融服務中質(zhì)押物價格波動的風險特點,以及電煤流通企業(yè)交易產(chǎn)品煤炭的大宗資源特性,引入目前行業(yè)內(nèi)新型的風險控制手段——套期保值,以加強對于供應鏈金融的風險控制,基此提出新的電煤供應鏈金融服務模式,并利用VaR方法對套期保值下的風險控制進行分析。
[Abstract]:The power coal supply chain is one of the important influencing factors in the development of energy economy. As an important node, the power coal circulation enterprises in the supply chain are greatly influenced by the upstream and downstream core enterprises. The supporting role of supply chain financial services is of great significance. The supply chain financial service in our country has not been developed for a long time, so far there has not been any research on the risk management of the supply chain financial service in thermal coal supply chain. Therefore, it is necessary to carry out deep quantitative research in this field. Based on the research background of thermal coal industry, this paper reviews the overall development of China's thermal coal industry in recent years, combined with the domestic and foreign supply chain management, supply chain finance, supply chain risk research theory. Taking the supply chain financial service risk of coal circulation enterprise as the research object, the risk evaluation and control are studied. Firstly, the paper expounds the relevant theories of power coal supply chain, supply chain finance and supply chain risk, summarizes the characteristics of power coal circulation enterprise supply chain finance, analyzes the current situation of power coal supply chain, and obtains the outstanding problems of power coal circulation enterprise financing difficulty. Based on the analysis of the financing needs of coal enterprises in power coal supply chain, the operation mode of supply chain financial service in three stages of purchase, operation and sale is expounded. Based on the analysis of the supply chain financial service model in various stages, the paper identifies all kinds of risk points involved in the financing of thermal coal circulation enterprises, adopts the model of "subject debt", from the trading product qualification, power coal circulation enterprises, core enterprises, In the aspect of the whole operation of supply chain, reasonable indexes are chosen to construct the risk evaluation system, and the risk of the whole supply chain is taken into account. Through the comprehensive application of principal component analysis (PCA) and Logistic model, the comprehensive evaluation method of supply chain financial service risk of coal-fired circulation enterprises is constructed, and the empirical analysis is carried out. Finally, combined with the traditional method of financial risk control in supply chain, the paper analyzes the possible risk points, aiming at the risk characteristics of the fluctuation of pledge price in the financial services of supply chain. As well as the large resource characteristics of coal products traded by thermal coal circulation enterprises, the introduction of a new type of risk control means in the industry at present-hedging, in order to strengthen the risk control for supply chain finance, Based on this, a new financial service model of power coal supply chain is proposed, and the risk control under hedging is analyzed by using VaR method.
【學位授予單位】：北京交通大學
【學位級別】：碩士
【學位授予年份】：2014
【分類號】：F253;F426.61

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本文編號：1918446