本文關(guān)鍵詞： PPP 城市基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施建設(shè) 風(fēng)險(xiǎn) 污水處理廠　出處：《東北大學(xué)》2014年碩士論文　論文類型：學(xué)位論文

【摘要】：PPP融資模式是適應(yīng)時(shí)代發(fā)展的一種新的投融資模式,能夠減輕政府財(cái)政壓力,提高項(xiàng)目運(yùn)營(yíng)與服務(wù)效率,使得市場(chǎng)的發(fā)動(dòng)機(jī)更加強(qiáng)勁有力,促進(jìn)經(jīng)濟(jì)的更快發(fā)展。城市政府部門如何引導(dǎo)民資或外資投資到城市基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施建設(shè)中,這將是解決未來(lái)城市基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施發(fā)展的必要問題。對(duì)PPP融資模式的探討可為政府提供更多的融資經(jīng)驗(yàn),從而促進(jìn)城市基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施建設(shè)的更快發(fā)展。關(guān)于PPP模式的研究主要有兩個(gè)方向,本文從風(fēng)險(xiǎn)管理角度,在前人研究上,采用定性與定量相結(jié)合的方法對(duì)PPP模式進(jìn)行研究。首先介紹了PPP模式的相關(guān)概念、運(yùn)行方式,構(gòu)建PPP項(xiàng)目風(fēng)險(xiǎn)評(píng)價(jià)模型,利用層次分析法對(duì)基于PPP模式的污水處理廠項(xiàng)目進(jìn)行風(fēng)險(xiǎn)識(shí)別及評(píng)價(jià),而且建立風(fēng)險(xiǎn)分擔(dān)的無(wú)限期完美信息動(dòng)態(tài)博弈模型,從而確定風(fēng)險(xiǎn)分擔(dān)比例,再次結(jié)合建設(shè)實(shí)例說(shuō)明PPP模式在我國(guó)的可行性以及實(shí)用性。分析結(jié)果表明：A市東片污水處理廠PPP項(xiàng)目的完工風(fēng)險(xiǎn)相對(duì)來(lái)說(shuō)重要性程度最大,其次是金融風(fēng)險(xiǎn),運(yùn)營(yíng)風(fēng)險(xiǎn)和自然風(fēng)險(xiǎn)所占比例差不多；在二級(jí)指標(biāo)中,對(duì)于金融風(fēng)險(xiǎn)來(lái)說(shuō)最重要的是利率風(fēng)險(xiǎn),完工風(fēng)險(xiǎn)中最重要的是項(xiàng)目無(wú)法完工風(fēng)險(xiǎn),運(yùn)營(yíng)風(fēng)險(xiǎn)中最重要的是水費(fèi)拖欠風(fēng)險(xiǎn),而對(duì)于自然風(fēng)險(xiǎn)來(lái)說(shuō)最重要的是地質(zhì)風(fēng)險(xiǎn)；對(duì)于PPP項(xiàng)目來(lái)說(shuō),風(fēng)險(xiǎn)承擔(dān)比例和風(fēng)險(xiǎn)收益率是負(fù)相關(guān)關(guān)系,即風(fēng)險(xiǎn)預(yù)期收益率越小,時(shí)間價(jià)值成本會(huì)越低,那么耐心程度會(huì)越高,承擔(dān)的風(fēng)險(xiǎn)比例越大。研究成果將會(huì)促進(jìn)PPP模式在我國(guó)城市基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施建設(shè)中的應(yīng)用,對(duì)城市基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施建設(shè)具有重要的指導(dǎo)意義。
[Abstract]:PPP financing mode is a new mode of investment and financing adapted to the development of the times. It can relieve the pressure of government finance, improve the efficiency of project operation and service, and make the engine of the market more powerful and powerful. To promote faster economic development. How should urban government departments direct private or foreign investment in urban infrastructure construction, This will be a necessary solution to the future development of urban infrastructure. A discussion of the PPP financing model could provide the government with more experience in financing. So as to promote the rapid development of urban infrastructure construction. The research on PPP model has two main directions. This paper, from the perspective of risk management, in the previous studies, The PPP model is studied by combining qualitative and quantitative methods. Firstly, the concept and operation mode of PPP model are introduced, and the risk assessment model of PPP project is constructed. The risk identification and evaluation of wastewater treatment plant project based on PPP model are carried out by using AHP, and the dynamic game model of indefinite perfect information is established to determine the risk sharing ratio. Again, the feasibility and practicability of the PPP model in China are illustrated by a construction example. The analysis results show that the completion risk of the PPP project of Dongping sewage treatment plant in the city of: a is relatively the most important, followed by the financial risk. The ratio of operational risk to natural risk is the same; of the secondary indicators, the most important for financial risk is the interest rate risk, and the most important for the completion risk is the failure to complete the project. The most important part of the operational risk is the default risk of water fee, and the most important is geological risk for the natural risk. For the PPP project, the ratio of risk acceptance and risk return is negatively correlated, that is, the smaller the expected rate of return, the smaller the expected rate of return. The lower the cost of time value, the higher the degree of patience and the greater the risk. The research results will promote the application of PPP model in urban infrastructure construction in China, and have important guiding significance for urban infrastructure construction.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：東北大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2014
【分類號(hào)】：F283;F299.24

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