本文選題：生產(chǎn)性服務(wù)業(yè) + 消費(fèi)性服務(wù)業(yè)　； 參考：《集美大學(xué)》2017年碩士論文

【摘要】：隨著世界產(chǎn)業(yè)轉(zhuǎn)移與產(chǎn)業(yè)升級(jí)的推進(jìn),服務(wù)行業(yè)已成為國(guó)際貿(mào)易與國(guó)際投資中的重要組成部分。由于現(xiàn)代服務(wù)業(yè)的興起,使得服務(wù)貿(mào)易結(jié)構(gòu)逐漸由傳統(tǒng)的消費(fèi)性服務(wù)業(yè)向新型的生產(chǎn)性服務(wù)業(yè)轉(zhuǎn)變。對(duì)服務(wù)出口貿(mào)易進(jìn)行三元邊際分解,能夠深入了解一國(guó)的服務(wù)貿(mào)易結(jié)構(gòu)。本文基于TISA成員及中國(guó)研究服務(wù)貿(mào)易出口市場(chǎng)的基本格局、服務(wù)出口三元邊際結(jié)構(gòu)特征及其影響因素,對(duì)于把握服務(wù)貿(mào)易發(fā)展的新動(dòng)態(tài)與我國(guó)的政策制定具有重要的實(shí)際意義。首先,本文梳理了國(guó)際服務(wù)貿(mào)易的相關(guān)文獻(xiàn),借鑒殷鳳與陳憲(2009)的方法,采用貿(mào)易規(guī)模及其增長(zhǎng)率指標(biāo)、出口市場(chǎng)占有率指標(biāo)與TC指數(shù)研究TISA成員及中國(guó)的國(guó)際服務(wù)貿(mào)易市場(chǎng)的基本格局,結(jié)論表明:從全世界的服務(wù)業(yè)來(lái)看,高收入國(guó)家在生產(chǎn)與消費(fèi)性服務(wù)出口具有絕對(duì)優(yōu)勢(shì),并且它們的生產(chǎn)性服務(wù)業(yè)具有比較優(yōu)勢(shì),而低收入國(guó)家的消費(fèi)性服務(wù)業(yè)具有比較優(yōu)勢(shì)。其次,采用Hummels and Klenow(2002)與孔慶峰(2015)的邊際分解方法,對(duì)TISA成員及中國(guó)出口貿(mào)易進(jìn)行三元邊際分解,發(fā)現(xiàn)高收入國(guó)家生產(chǎn)性服務(wù)出口主要依靠技術(shù)集約邊際或種類擴(kuò)展邊際的增長(zhǎng),而消費(fèi)性服務(wù)出口主要依靠數(shù)量集約邊際的增長(zhǎng),種類擴(kuò)展邊際起到一定的作用;低收入國(guó)家生產(chǎn)性服務(wù)出口主要依靠技術(shù)集約邊際的增長(zhǎng),而消費(fèi)性服務(wù)出口主要依靠數(shù)量集約邊際的增長(zhǎng),技術(shù)集約邊際也起到一定的作用,但出口技術(shù)水平遠(yuǎn)低于高收入國(guó)家。再次,本文從理論與實(shí)證角度分析國(guó)際服務(wù)貿(mào)易出口三元邊際的影響因素。選擇服務(wù)貿(mào)易三元邊際作為被解釋變量,全要素生產(chǎn)率(p)、貿(mào)易成本(c)、人力資本(l)、技術(shù)差異(g)、固定資本存量(k)和商品貿(mào)易量(e)等因素作為解釋變量,利用TISA成員及中國(guó)1995~2007年的面板數(shù)據(jù)分別建立高收入國(guó)家與低收入國(guó)家兩組計(jì)量模型,研究三元邊際的影響因素以及相互之間的差異,結(jié)論詳見表6-1。最后,本文針對(duì)我國(guó)服務(wù)業(yè)發(fā)展給出以下幾點(diǎn)政策建議:(1)充分發(fā)揮我國(guó)人力資本要素稟賦優(yōu)勢(shì);(2)在產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)方面,我國(guó)應(yīng)該在經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展方式上更加注重服務(wù)業(yè),尤其是生產(chǎn)性服務(wù)業(yè)的發(fā)展;(3)在服務(wù)貿(mào)易開放度與貿(mào)易成本方面,我國(guó)服務(wù)貿(mào)易政策與制度應(yīng)該注重降低進(jìn)入或退出服務(wù)貿(mào)易市場(chǎng)的沉沒(méi)成本,繼續(xù)擴(kuò)大我國(guó)服務(wù)業(yè)的對(duì)外開放度;(4)促進(jìn)商品貿(mào)易與服務(wù)貿(mào)易的協(xié)同發(fā)展。
[Abstract]:With the development of industrial transfer and upgrading, service industry has become an important part of international trade and investment. Due to the rise of modern service industry, the structure of service trade has gradually changed from the traditional consumer service to the new producer service. It is possible to understand a country's service trade structure by three-dimensional marginal decomposition of service export trade. Based on the research of TISA members and China on the basic pattern of export market of service trade, the characteristics of ternary marginal structure of service export and its influencing factors, this paper has important practical significance for grasping the new development of service trade and the policy making of our country. First of all, this paper combs the related documents of international trade in services, draws lessons from the methods of Yin Feng and Chen Xianwei 2009, and adopts the scale of trade and its growth rate index. Export Market share Index and TC Index the basic pattern of TISA members and China's international service trade market is studied. The conclusion shows that the high-income countries have absolute advantages in the export of production and consumption services from the point of view of the world's service industry. And their producer services have a comparative advantage, while low-income countries have a comparative advantage of consumer services. Secondly, by using the marginal decomposition method of Hummels and Klenowi (2002) and Kong Qingfeng (2015), the author makes a ternary marginal decomposition of the export trade of TISA members and China. It is found that the productive service exports of high-income countries mainly depend on the growth of technology intensive margin or category expansion margin. While the export of consumer services mainly depends on the growth of the intensive margin of quantity, and the marginal expansion of the category plays a certain role, while the export of productive services of low-income countries mainly depends on the growth of the marginal margin of intensive technology. The export of consumer services mainly depends on the growth of the intensive marginal of quantity and the marginal margin of technology also plays a certain role, but the level of export technology is far lower than that of the high-income countries. Thirdly, this paper analyzes the influence factors of the ternary marginal value of international trade in services from the theoretical and empirical point of view. Three factors, total factor productivity (TFP), trade cost (TFP), human capital, technical difference, fixed capital stock (K) and volume of merchandise trade, are selected as explanatory variables. Using the panel data of TISA members and China from 1995 to 2007 to establish two groups of measurement models for high-income countries and low-income countries, the influence factors of ternary margin and the differences between them are studied. The conclusions are shown in Table 6-1. Finally, according to the development of China's service industry, this paper gives the following policy suggestions: 1) give full play to the advantages of human capital factor endowments in China) in terms of industrial structure, our country should pay more attention to the service industry in the way of economic development. Especially the development of producer services. In the aspect of service trade openness and trade cost, China's service trade policy and system should focus on reducing the sunk cost of entering or exiting the service trade market. We should continue to expand the opening up of our service industry to the outside world and promote the coordinated development of trade in goods and services.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：集美大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2017
【分類號(hào)】：F752.62

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