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勞動份額演進的一般規(guī)律——基于歷史數(shù)據(jù)及增長理論的解釋

發(fā)布時間:2018-11-16 11:14
【摘要】:盡快扭轉(zhuǎn)勞動在初次分配中的不利地位,對于全面建成小康社會至關(guān)重要。發(fā)達國家自19世紀(jì)中期到20世紀(jì)末近150年的數(shù)據(jù)表明,勞動份額會出現(xiàn)階段性波動,但最終將收斂到70%~80%之間。從增長理論來看,勞動份額所表現(xiàn)出的長期收斂和階段性波動特征,可以由長期增長中卡爾多式穩(wěn)定增長和熊彼特式爆炸式增長交替過程來解釋,前者決定收斂,后者導(dǎo)致了波動。因此,前期大幅下降的我國勞動份額,未來持續(xù)上升并向發(fā)達國家收斂可以預(yù)期,但過低的分配份額仍需要公共政策加以提升。
[Abstract]:Reversing the disadvantage of labor in the initial distribution as soon as possible is very important for building a well-off society in an all-round way. The data of developed countries from the mid-19th century to the end of the 20th century show that the labor share will fluctuate periodically, but will eventually converge to between 70% and 80%. From the point of view of growth theory, the characteristics of long-term convergence and periodic fluctuation of labor share can be explained by the alternating process of Calder stable growth and Schumpeterian explosive growth, the former determines convergence. The latter led to volatility. Therefore, in the future, the labor share of our country, which fell sharply in the early period, can be expected to continue to rise and converge to the developed countries, but too low allocation share still needs to be raised by public policy.
【作者單位】: 鹽城工學(xué)院經(jīng)管學(xué)院;
【基金】:江蘇省社會科學(xué)基金項目“江蘇勞動份額下降及未來變化趨勢研究”(項目編號:10EYB005)階段性成果
【分類號】:F240

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1 劉愫貞;;中國古代立法語體規(guī)范化演進規(guī)律概論[J];廣東外語外貿(mào)大學(xué)學(xué)報;2014年01期

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