本文選題：第三產(chǎn)業(yè) + 全要素生產(chǎn)率��； 參考：《重慶工商大學(xué)》2015年碩士論文

【摘要】：進(jìn)入新世紀(jì),我國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展取得了舉世矚目的成績(jī),伴隨它的還有第三產(chǎn)業(yè)的欣欣向榮。2013年我國(guó)第三產(chǎn)業(yè)增加值達(dá)到275887億元,是1980年的281倍。為了能夠保持第三產(chǎn)業(yè)的發(fā)展速度,要了解我國(guó)第三產(chǎn)業(yè)全要素生產(chǎn)率的增長(zhǎng)現(xiàn)狀以及哪些因素能夠影響其增長(zhǎng)。即要判斷我國(guó)第三產(chǎn)業(yè)乃至整體經(jīng)濟(jì)是由增加投入帶動(dòng)的經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)還是由于效率提高帶來的經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)。我國(guó)第三產(chǎn)業(yè)保持快速發(fā)展的關(guān)鍵是要使第三產(chǎn)業(yè)由原來的靠增加資源投入的低水平的粗放式發(fā)展模式向高水平的集約型模式轉(zhuǎn)變。本文的目的就是要通過實(shí)證研究得出目前我國(guó)第三產(chǎn)業(yè)的增長(zhǎng)到底是上述的哪種模式,并判斷哪些因素影響第三產(chǎn)業(yè)的增長(zhǎng),針對(duì)這些影響因素,提出可以促進(jìn)第三產(chǎn)業(yè)發(fā)展的可供借鑒或參考的建議。首先,本文使用DEAP-xp1,計(jì)算出了我國(guó)2004—2012年的第三產(chǎn)業(yè)14個(gè)細(xì)分行業(yè)的全要素生產(chǎn)率的增長(zhǎng)率,并使用非參數(shù)Malmquist指數(shù)方法將其分解成技術(shù)效率和技術(shù)進(jìn)步兩個(gè)指標(biāo)。計(jì)算結(jié)果表明:2004—2012年第三產(chǎn)業(yè)取得了持續(xù)較快的發(fā)展,其全要素增長(zhǎng)率平均每年增長(zhǎng)11.4個(gè)百分點(diǎn),其中技術(shù)進(jìn)步做出最大的貢獻(xiàn),其平均每年增長(zhǎng)12.2個(gè)百分點(diǎn),而同期技術(shù)效率平均增長(zhǎng)率為-0.7%,拉低了我國(guó)第三產(chǎn)業(yè)全要素增長(zhǎng)率水平,說明了我國(guó)第三產(chǎn)業(yè)粗放性特征明顯。其次,本文探討我國(guó)第三產(chǎn)業(yè)全要素生產(chǎn)率增長(zhǎng)水平的影響因素,文章選取了政府影響力、市場(chǎng)化水平、對(duì)外開放水平、經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展水平、城市化水平等5個(gè)因素,對(duì)是否影響我國(guó)第三產(chǎn)業(yè)全要素生產(chǎn)率的增長(zhǎng)作了實(shí)證研究,探討從哪些方面可以提高我國(guó)第三產(chǎn)業(yè)發(fā)展。研究結(jié)果表明市場(chǎng)化水平、對(duì)外開放水平、經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展水平、城市化對(duì)我國(guó)第三產(chǎn)業(yè)全要素生產(chǎn)率起顯著的正面促進(jìn)作用,政府對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)的影響力對(duì)我國(guó)第三產(chǎn)業(yè)全要素生產(chǎn)率具有負(fù)的作用。最后,文章提出了能夠促進(jìn)中國(guó)第三產(chǎn)業(yè)發(fā)展的對(duì)策建議。我國(guó)可以通過減少政府對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)的過度干預(yù),對(duì)政府角色正確定位,提高市場(chǎng)化水平,擴(kuò)大對(duì)外開放提高城市化水平等途徑來促進(jìn)中國(guó)第三產(chǎn)業(yè)乃至整個(gè)經(jīng)濟(jì)的發(fā)展。
[Abstract]:In the new century, China's economic development has made remarkable achievements, accompanied by the prosperity of the tertiary industry. In 2013, the added value of China's tertiary industry reached 27.5887 trillion yuan, 281 times that of 1980. In order to maintain the development speed of the tertiary industry, it is necessary to understand the current situation of the growth of the total factor productivity of the tertiary industry in China and what factors can affect its growth. That is to say, it is necessary to judge whether the tertiary industry or even the whole economy is the economic growth driven by the increase of investment or the economic growth caused by the improvement of efficiency. The key to maintain the rapid development of the tertiary industry in China is to change the tertiary industry from a low-level extensive development model based on increasing the input of resources to a high-level intensive mode. The purpose of this paper is to find out which of the above models the growth of the tertiary industry in our country is, and to judge which factors affect the growth of the tertiary industry. The paper puts forward some suggestions that can be used for reference or referred to promote the development of the tertiary industry. Firstly, using DEAP-xp1, this paper calculates the growth rate of total factor productivity of 14 subdivided industries of tertiary industry in China from 2004 to 2012, and decomposes it into two indexes: technical efficiency and technological progress by using non-parametric Malmquist index method. The results show that the tertiary industry continued to develop rapidly from 2004 to 2012, with an average annual growth rate of 11.4 percentage points per year for the total factor growth rate, of which technological progress made the greatest contribution, with an average annual growth rate of 12.2 percentage points. The average growth rate of technical efficiency in the same period is -0.7, which has lowered the level of the total factor growth rate of the tertiary industry in China, which shows that the extensive characteristics of the tertiary industry in China are obvious. Secondly, this paper discusses the factors influencing the growth level of total factor productivity of the tertiary industry in China, and selects five factors, such as government influence, market-oriented level, level of opening up, level of economic development, level of urbanization, etc. This paper makes an empirical study on whether the growth of the total factor productivity of the tertiary industry in China is affected, and probes into what aspects can improve the development of the tertiary industry in China. The results show that the level of marketization, the level of opening to the outside world, the level of economic development and urbanization play a significant positive role in promoting the total factor productivity of the tertiary industry in China. The government's influence on the economy has a negative effect on the total factor productivity of China's tertiary industry. Finally, the article puts forward the countermeasures and suggestions to promote the development of China's tertiary industry. China can promote the development of China's tertiary industry and the whole economy by reducing the excessive government intervention in the economy, correctly positioning the role of the government, raising the level of marketization, expanding the opening to the outside world, and raising the level of urbanization.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：重慶工商大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2015
【分類號(hào)】：F224

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