中國對其他金磚國家出口貿易潛力研究
發(fā)布時間：2019-05-09 22:11
【摘要】：在改革開放之后,隨著國內產業(yè)結構的不斷調整和全球經濟一體化進程的不斷推進,中國的對外貿易在雙重作用力的推動下發(fā)展迅速,并表現出了較為強勁的發(fā)展勢頭。但目前限制中國對外貿易的進一步發(fā)展的因素仍然很多,例如中國的對外貿易市場過度集中在發(fā)達國家,對外貿易的產品過度集中在加工型產品等等,因此為了突破目前的貿易困境,中國應該將視線轉向具有較強發(fā)展?jié)摿Φ男屡d經濟體,而作為主要新興經濟體之一的金磚國家自然而然的成為我國發(fā)展對外貿易的主要目標。再加上自金磚國家開展貿易合作以來,中國在多個領域都與其他金磚國家展開過合作,彼此之間貿易往來也愈加密切,使得其他金磚國家逐步成為了我國的主要貿易合作伙伴之一。因此,在此基礎上,測算中國對金磚國家出口競爭力及貿易潛力,進而根據分析結果為提升中國對金磚國家出口競爭力及拓展出口貿易潛力提供政策建議,對于我國與其他新興經濟體進行合作具有借鑒意義,并對于我國實施貿易多元化、開拓貿易空間有著十分重要的現實意義。本文主要分為六部分。第一部分是緒論,對本文的研究背景、寫作思路和研究方法等方面進行了介紹。然后,第二部分對論文中涉及的比較優(yōu)勢理論、要素稟賦理論、競爭優(yōu)勢理論和國家競爭理論進行了簡單的介紹。第三部分從數額和結構兩個方面對中國對其他金磚國家貿易出口現有情況進行了分析,為后文分析競爭力和出口潛力打下基礎。第四部分基于第二部分的理論基礎,運用貿易競爭力指數(TC)和顯示性比較優(yōu)勢指數(RCA)對中國對金磚國家出口貿易競爭力進行了測算,并對其變化趨勢進行了分析。第五部分將經濟規(guī)模、地理距離、人口規(guī)模、對外開放程度以及選取的虛擬變量等因素引人貿易引力模型,這些因素如何影響中國對金磚國家貨物出口貿易額進行了分析,進而根據回歸分析結果對中國對金磚國家出口潛力進行了測算。最后根據前文的理論和實證分析結果,提出了促進中國對金磚國家出口貿易的政策建議。
[Abstract]:After the reform and opening up, with the continuous adjustment of domestic industrial structure and the continuous promotion of global economic integration, China's foreign trade has developed rapidly under the promotion of dual forces, and has shown a relatively strong momentum of development. However, at present, there are still many factors restricting the further development of China's foreign trade, such as the excessive concentration of China's foreign trade market in developed countries, the excessive concentration of foreign trade products in processed products, and so on. Therefore, in order to break through the current trade predicament, China should turn its attention to the emerging economies with strong development potential, and the BRICS, as one of the major emerging economies, has naturally become the main goal of China's foreign trade development. In addition, since the BRICS countries launched trade cooperation, China has cooperated with other BRICS countries in a number of fields, and trade exchanges between them have become closer and closer. As a result, other BRICS countries have gradually become one of China's main trading partners. Therefore, on this basis, we measure China's export competitiveness and trade potential to BRICS countries, and then provide policy recommendations for enhancing China's export competitiveness and expanding export trade potential to BRICS countries according to the results of the analysis. It is of great practical significance for China to cooperate with other emerging economies, and for China to implement trade diversification and open up trade space. This paper is divided into six parts. The first part is the introduction, which introduces the research background, writing ideas and research methods of this paper. Then, the second part briefly introduces the comparative advantage theory, factor endowment theory, competitive advantage theory and national competition theory. The third part analyzes the current situation of China's trade exports to other BRICS countries from two aspects of quantity and structure, which lays the foundation for the later analysis of competitiveness and export potential. Based on the theoretical basis of the second part, the fourth part calculates China's export trade competitiveness to BRICS countries by using trade competitiveness index (TC) and display comparative advantage index (RCA), and analyzes its changing trend. In the fifth part, the economic scale, geographical distance, population size, the degree of opening to the outside world and the selected virtual variables are used to induce the gravity model of trade, and how these factors affect China's export trade volume of goods to the BRICS countries are analyzed. Then, according to the results of regression analysis, the export potential of China to BRICS countries is calculated. Finally, according to the previous theoretical and empirical analysis results, this paper puts forward some policy suggestions to promote China's export trade to BRICS countries.
【學位授予單位】：遼寧大學
【學位級別】：碩士
【學位授予年份】：2017
【分類號】：F752.62
本文編號：2473123
[Abstract]:After the reform and opening up, with the continuous adjustment of domestic industrial structure and the continuous promotion of global economic integration, China's foreign trade has developed rapidly under the promotion of dual forces, and has shown a relatively strong momentum of development. However, at present, there are still many factors restricting the further development of China's foreign trade, such as the excessive concentration of China's foreign trade market in developed countries, the excessive concentration of foreign trade products in processed products, and so on. Therefore, in order to break through the current trade predicament, China should turn its attention to the emerging economies with strong development potential, and the BRICS, as one of the major emerging economies, has naturally become the main goal of China's foreign trade development. In addition, since the BRICS countries launched trade cooperation, China has cooperated with other BRICS countries in a number of fields, and trade exchanges between them have become closer and closer. As a result, other BRICS countries have gradually become one of China's main trading partners. Therefore, on this basis, we measure China's export competitiveness and trade potential to BRICS countries, and then provide policy recommendations for enhancing China's export competitiveness and expanding export trade potential to BRICS countries according to the results of the analysis. It is of great practical significance for China to cooperate with other emerging economies, and for China to implement trade diversification and open up trade space. This paper is divided into six parts. The first part is the introduction, which introduces the research background, writing ideas and research methods of this paper. Then, the second part briefly introduces the comparative advantage theory, factor endowment theory, competitive advantage theory and national competition theory. The third part analyzes the current situation of China's trade exports to other BRICS countries from two aspects of quantity and structure, which lays the foundation for the later analysis of competitiveness and export potential. Based on the theoretical basis of the second part, the fourth part calculates China's export trade competitiveness to BRICS countries by using trade competitiveness index (TC) and display comparative advantage index (RCA), and analyzes its changing trend. In the fifth part, the economic scale, geographical distance, population size, the degree of opening to the outside world and the selected virtual variables are used to induce the gravity model of trade, and how these factors affect China's export trade volume of goods to the BRICS countries are analyzed. Then, according to the results of regression analysis, the export potential of China to BRICS countries is calculated. Finally, according to the previous theoretical and empirical analysis results, this paper puts forward some policy suggestions to promote China's export trade to BRICS countries.
【學位授予單位】：遼寧大學
【學位級別】：碩士
【學位授予年份】：2017
【分類號】：F752.62
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