本文選題：服務(wù)業(yè)　切入點(diǎn)：成本病　出處：《浙江大學(xué)》2015年碩士論文　論文類型：學(xué)位論文

【摘要】：2008年始于美國并蔓延至全球的金融危機(jī)引發(fā)了世界范圍內(nèi)關(guān)于經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展問題的思考,這次危機(jī)不僅僅是經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展過程中的周期性因素所導(dǎo)致,還有較大部分是結(jié)構(gòu)性因素使然。經(jīng)濟(jì)危機(jī)的緩解離不開經(jīng)濟(jì)結(jié)構(gòu)的調(diào)整,調(diào)整經(jīng)濟(jì)結(jié)構(gòu)在很大程度上是調(diào)整產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu),這就使得服務(wù)業(yè)的重要地位日益凸顯。2014年,我國服務(wù)業(yè)發(fā)展迅速,服務(wù)業(yè)增加值占GDP的比重超過第二產(chǎn)業(yè),成為對經(jīng)濟(jì)增長貢獻(xiàn)最大的產(chǎn)業(yè)；同時,服務(wù)業(yè)吸納就業(yè)人數(shù)增長迅速,成為吸納就業(yè)最多的產(chǎn)業(yè)。服務(wù)業(yè)在我國經(jīng)濟(jì)和社會發(fā)展中的地位越來越重要。然而,服務(wù)業(yè)卻表現(xiàn)出勞動生產(chǎn)率增長滯后于第二產(chǎn)業(yè)的特征,這就使得對于服務(wù)業(yè)是否存在“成本病”問題的研究提上日程。本文以我國服務(wù)業(yè)為研究對象,將理論分析和實(shí)證分析相結(jié)合,對我國服務(wù)業(yè)是否存在“成本病”隱患及其福利效應(yīng)進(jìn)行相關(guān)研究。 在已有研究的基礎(chǔ)上,本文首先對國內(nèi)外相關(guān)文獻(xiàn)進(jìn)行梳理,概括出服務(wù)業(yè)“成本病”的一般特征,進(jìn)而構(gòu)造包含價格、工資水平及產(chǎn)出的計量模型,運(yùn)用投入及產(chǎn)出數(shù)據(jù)測度出服務(wù)業(yè)的勞動生產(chǎn)率及需求價格和收入彈性,從而測度服務(wù)業(yè)“成本病”的存在性。本文運(yùn)用1999-2012年我國30個省市(除西藏)的面板數(shù)據(jù)進(jìn)行回歸,實(shí)證結(jié)果表明無論是全國還是分地區(qū)層面我國都存在“成本病”隱患。此外,本文從價格效應(yīng)和收入效應(yīng)兩個方面分析了服務(wù)業(yè)“成本病”影響福利水平的一般機(jī)制,并從可標(biāo)準(zhǔn)化服務(wù)業(yè)與非標(biāo)準(zhǔn)化服務(wù)業(yè)兩個角度探討了服務(wù)業(yè)“成本病”影響福利水平的傳導(dǎo)路徑,并在此基礎(chǔ)上構(gòu)造出一個服務(wù)業(yè)“成本病”影響福利水平的三部門理論模型,并通過模型的求解,得出能使福利水平達(dá)到最大化的最適宜的服務(wù)價格水平。在理論分析的基礎(chǔ)上,構(gòu)造包含福利水平、服務(wù)業(yè)價格水平、工資水平及其他控制變量的計量模型,運(yùn)用2000-2012年中國30個省市(除西藏)的面板數(shù)據(jù)對服務(wù)業(yè)“成本病”對福利水平的影響進(jìn)行實(shí)證檢驗,實(shí)證結(jié)果表明,無論是全國還是分地區(qū)層面,我國服務(wù)業(yè)“成本病”都沒有降低福利水平,并對這種結(jié)果出現(xiàn)的可能原因進(jìn)行了探討。最后,在理論分析和實(shí)證研究的基礎(chǔ)上,本文就如何因地制宜緩解我國服務(wù)業(yè)“成本病”隱患,促進(jìn)服務(wù)業(yè)健康發(fā)展,并穩(wěn)步提升社會福利水平給出了相關(guān)政策建議。
[Abstract]:In 2008, the financial crisis, which began in the United States and spread to the world, triggered worldwide thinking about economic development, which was not just caused by cyclical factors in the process of economic development. The economic crisis can not be alleviated without the adjustment of the economic structure, which to a large extent is the adjustment of the industrial structure, which makes the service industry increasingly important. In 2014, The service industry in China has developed rapidly, the added value of the service industry has surpassed the secondary industry in the proportion of GDP, and has become the industry that contributes the most to economic growth. At the same time, the number of service industries absorbing employment is growing rapidly. Service industry is more and more important in the economic and social development of our country. However, the service industry shows that the growth of labor productivity lags behind that of the second industry. This makes the research on whether there is a "cost disease" in the service industry on the agenda. This paper takes the service industry of our country as the research object, combining the theoretical analysis with the empirical analysis. This paper studies on the hidden danger of "cost disease" and its welfare effect in China's service industry. On the basis of existing research, this paper firstly combs the relevant literature at home and abroad, generalizes the general characteristics of "cost sickness" in the service industry, and then constructs an econometric model including price, wage level and output. This paper uses input and output data to measure the labor productivity, demand price and income elasticity of the service industry, and then measures the existence of the "cost sickness" in the service industry. This paper uses panel data from 30 provinces and cities (excluding Tibet) in China from 1999 to 2012 to carry out regression analysis. The empirical results show that there are hidden dangers of "cost disease" in China, both nationally and regionally. In addition, this paper analyzes the general mechanism of "cost sickness" affecting welfare level in the service industry from two aspects: price effect and income effect. And from the standardised service industry and the non-standardized service industry, this paper discusses the transmission path of the service industry's "cost disease" affecting the welfare level. On this basis, a three-sector theoretical model of "cost sickness" affecting welfare level in the service industry is constructed, and solved by the model. On the basis of theoretical analysis, a measurement model including welfare level, service price level, wage level and other control variables is constructed. Using panel data from 30 provinces and cities in China (except Tibet) from 2000 to 2012 to test the impact of "cost sickness" on the welfare level of the service industry, the empirical results show that, whether at the national or regional level, The "cost sickness" of the service industry in China has not reduced the welfare level, and the possible causes of this result have been discussed. Finally, on the basis of theoretical analysis and empirical research, This paper puts forward some policy suggestions on how to alleviate the hidden trouble of "cost disease" in service industry, promote the healthy development of service industry, and raise the level of social welfare steadily.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：浙江大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2015
【分類號】：F719

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