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山東省農(nóng)業(yè)吸引外商直接投資與農(nóng)業(yè)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長的關(guān)系研究

發(fā)布時間:2018-10-09 19:12
【摘要】:上世紀(jì)80年代以來,全球化進(jìn)程日益加快,國際直接投資逐漸取代了貿(mào)易成為了世界經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的新動力。我國作為世界上最大的發(fā)展中國家,吸引FDI的規(guī)模和金額也日益擴(kuò)大,由改革開放初期的19.56億美元增長到2012年末的1117.16億美元,成為世界上第一大FDI吸引國。與此同時,我國的經(jīng)濟(jì)亦表現(xiàn)出強(qiáng)勁的增長態(tài)勢。根據(jù)《中國統(tǒng)計年鑒》歷年數(shù)據(jù)顯示,自改革開放以來,我國GDP始終保持年均9.7%以上的高增長速度,即使在2007年全球性金融危機(jī)的背景下也迅速復(fù)蘇,至2012年GDP總值已位居世界第二。 然而,盡管我國經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展迅速,產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)發(fā)展不平衡的矛盾卻日益突出,農(nóng)業(yè)GDP僅占GDP總值十分之一左右的水平,發(fā)展速度也遠(yuǎn)低于二、三產(chǎn)業(yè)。農(nóng)業(yè)雖然是鼓勵利用外資最早的行業(yè)之一,直至1995年我國出臺《外商投資產(chǎn)業(yè)指導(dǎo)目錄》之后,農(nóng)業(yè)FDI卻才真正興起,這與我國作為世界農(nóng)業(yè)大國的背景嚴(yán)重不符。農(nóng)業(yè)FDI引進(jìn)的嚴(yán)重滯后性加劇了我國產(chǎn)業(yè)發(fā)展的不平衡,農(nóng)業(yè)技術(shù)與發(fā)達(dá)國家相差甚遠(yuǎn)使得我國農(nóng)業(yè)競爭力低下,農(nóng)業(yè)經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展緩慢。但《2009年世界投資報告》顯示,2008年以來,各產(chǎn)業(yè)、行業(yè)吸引FDI的數(shù)量急劇下降,受到經(jīng)濟(jì)危機(jī)的沖擊很大,而農(nóng)業(yè)在此期間卻成為黑馬,似乎正在推動新一輪的外商直接投資熱潮。 FDI對于非農(nóng)產(chǎn)業(yè)的研究雖然結(jié)論不一,存在一定的爭議性,但大多依然認(rèn)為至少在一定時期內(nèi)和一定條件下,FDI將為東道國帶來充足的資本和先進(jìn)的技術(shù),促進(jìn)東道國經(jīng)濟(jì)的發(fā)展。而農(nóng)業(yè)作為現(xiàn)代經(jīng)濟(jì)的弱勢產(chǎn)業(yè),究竟能否獲得FDI所帶來的利益,即FDI到底能否促進(jìn)農(nóng)業(yè)經(jīng)濟(jì)的發(fā)展?農(nóng)業(yè)FDI如何作用于東道國農(nóng)業(yè)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長?在利用農(nóng)業(yè)FDI的過程中東道國及其農(nóng)業(yè)企業(yè)該如何保護(hù)自身的利益?這將是本文研究的問題。 本文首先對以往的相關(guān)理論和研究進(jìn)行了歸納和總結(jié),奠定了本文的理論基礎(chǔ)。之后,對農(nóng)業(yè)FDI作用于農(nóng)業(yè)經(jīng)濟(jì)的機(jī)制進(jìn)行了深入探討和研究,并對投資過程中的東道國以及內(nèi)資企業(yè)的利益獲取和博弈過程進(jìn)行了分析,以期幫助東道國及內(nèi)資企業(yè)抓住“優(yōu)先決策優(yōu)勢”,實(shí)現(xiàn)東道國利用農(nóng)業(yè)FDI的最大利益。在上文基礎(chǔ)上,本文以資本新品種增加模型為基礎(chǔ),對山東省農(nóng)業(yè)利用FDI與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長的關(guān)系進(jìn)行實(shí)證檢驗(yàn),并通過對比全國以及農(nóng)業(yè)大省的農(nóng)業(yè)FDI數(shù)據(jù),分析山東省農(nóng)業(yè)利用FDI過程中的優(yōu)、劣勢。最后,綜合本文的理論和實(shí)證分析,從企業(yè)和政府兩個層面給出了相關(guān)建議。
[Abstract]:Since 1980s, the process of globalization has been speeding up day by day, and international direct investment has gradually replaced trade as a new driving force for the development of world economy. China, as the largest developing country in the world, has become the largest attracting country of FDI in the world, increasing from 1.956 billion dollars at the beginning of reform and opening up to 111.716 billion dollars at the end of 2012. At the same time, our economy also shows a strong growth trend. According to the data of the Statistical Yearbook of China, since the reform and opening up, China's GDP has always maintained a high growth rate of more than 9.7% per year, and recovered rapidly even under the background of the global financial crisis in 2007. By 2012, the total value of GDP has ranked second in the world. However, despite the rapid economic development in China, the contradiction of unbalanced industrial structure development has become increasingly prominent. Agricultural GDP accounts for only about 1/10 of the total value of GDP, and the speed of development is far lower than that of the secondary and tertiary industries. Although agriculture is one of the earliest industries to encourage the utilization of foreign capital, agricultural FDI did not really rise until 1995, when China issued the "Industry guidance catalogue for Foreign Investment", which is seriously inconsistent with the background of our country as a big agricultural country in the world. The serious lag in the introduction of agricultural FDI exacerbates the imbalance of industrial development in China. Agricultural technology is far from that of developed countries, which leads to the low competitiveness of agriculture and the slow development of agricultural economy. But the 2009 World Investment report shows that since 2008, the number of industries and industries that have attracted FDI has fallen sharply, hit hard by the economic crisis, and that agriculture has become a dark horse during that period. It'seems to be driving a new wave of foreign direct investment. Although the conclusions of FDI research on non-agricultural industries are different and controversial, most of them still believe that FDI will bring sufficient capital and advanced technology to the host country in at least a certain period of time and under certain conditions. Promoting the economic development of the host country. As a weak industry of modern economy, can agriculture gain the benefits brought by FDI, that is, whether FDI can promote the development of agricultural economy? How does Agricultural FDI affect Agricultural Economic growth in Host countries? In the process of utilizing agricultural FDI, how should the host country and its agricultural enterprises protect their own interests? This will be the problem studied in this paper. In this paper, the previous related theories and studies are summarized and summarized, which lays the theoretical foundation of this paper. After that, the mechanism of agricultural FDI acting on agricultural economy is deeply discussed and studied, and the benefit acquisition and game process of host country and domestic enterprises in the process of investment are analyzed. The aim is to help the host country and the domestic enterprises to seize the "priority decision-making advantage" and realize the best benefit of the host country in utilizing agricultural FDI. On the basis of the above, based on the capital new variety increase model, this paper makes an empirical test on the relationship between agricultural utilization FDI and economic growth in Shandong Province, and compares the agricultural FDI data of the whole country and the big agricultural provinces. This paper analyzes the advantages and disadvantages in the process of agricultural utilization of FDI in Shandong Province. Finally, based on the theoretical and empirical analysis of this paper, the relevant suggestions are given from the two levels of enterprise and government.
【學(xué)位授予單位】:山東大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】:碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】:2014
【分類號】:F327;F832.6

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