本文關(guān)鍵詞： 房地產(chǎn)開發(fā)項(xiàng)目 風(fēng)險(xiǎn)分析 風(fēng)險(xiǎn)評(píng)價(jià)　出處：《長(zhǎng)春工業(yè)大學(xué)》2015年碩士論文　論文類型：學(xué)位論文

【摘要】：隨著我國經(jīng)濟(jì)的發(fā)展,房地產(chǎn)業(yè)已成為一個(gè)非常重要的產(chǎn)業(yè),但是由于房地產(chǎn)項(xiàng)目的特點(diǎn)是投資大、周期長(zhǎng),所以在開發(fā)的過程中會(huì)受到很多外界環(huán)境因素的影響,很多因素都是不可控制的,開發(fā)商不可避免的面臨各種風(fēng)險(xiǎn)。由于我國的房地產(chǎn)市場(chǎng)管理起步較晚,因此風(fēng)險(xiǎn)管理的水平不高,再加上投資者在投資開發(fā)的過程中對(duì)于風(fēng)險(xiǎn)的認(rèn)識(shí)不足,所以也就大大增加了房地產(chǎn)項(xiàng)目的風(fēng)險(xiǎn),最近幾年我國在宏觀調(diào)控上對(duì)房地產(chǎn)業(yè)加大了力度,也相應(yīng)地增加了項(xiàng)目的風(fēng)險(xiǎn)。因此,風(fēng)險(xiǎn)識(shí)別、風(fēng)險(xiǎn)分析、風(fēng)險(xiǎn)應(yīng)對(duì)、控制風(fēng)險(xiǎn),使企業(yè)更好地管理風(fēng)險(xiǎn),在風(fēng)險(xiǎn)管理的過程中對(duì)風(fēng)險(xiǎn)進(jìn)行有效控制,這對(duì)投資者來說是非常重要的。本文運(yùn)用項(xiàng)目風(fēng)險(xiǎn)管理的相關(guān)理論,選取朗香邸房地產(chǎn)項(xiàng)目為研究對(duì)象,結(jié)合朗香邸項(xiàng)目的內(nèi)外部環(huán)境及項(xiàng)目自身的特點(diǎn),從項(xiàng)目投資決策階段、前期準(zhǔn)備階段、項(xiàng)目建設(shè)階段及項(xiàng)目租售階段分別分析了朗香邸房地產(chǎn)項(xiàng)目開發(fā)建設(shè)中存在的風(fēng)險(xiǎn),利用風(fēng)險(xiǎn)識(shí)別及風(fēng)險(xiǎn)評(píng)估等方法,對(duì)項(xiàng)目中存在的重要風(fēng)險(xiǎn)進(jìn)行識(shí)別和分析,同時(shí)提出風(fēng)險(xiǎn)應(yīng)對(duì)的措施。論文首先闡述了風(fēng)險(xiǎn)管理的概念及過程,介紹了風(fēng)險(xiǎn)分析與評(píng)估的步驟及方法,利用盈虧平衡法、敏感性分析法等對(duì)朗香邸房地產(chǎn)項(xiàng)目進(jìn)行分析,找出該項(xiàng)目中存在的風(fēng)險(xiǎn)因素；然后分別對(duì)投資決策階段、前期準(zhǔn)備階段、項(xiàng)目建設(shè)階段及租售階段制訂了風(fēng)險(xiǎn)應(yīng)對(duì)措施；最后,建議要實(shí)施項(xiàng)目全過程風(fēng)險(xiǎn)監(jiān)控,以便在朗香邸房地產(chǎn)項(xiàng)目中的風(fēng)險(xiǎn)控制中及時(shí)反饋信息,避免或減少風(fēng)險(xiǎn)的發(fā)生。在本文中,通過科學(xué)的方法對(duì)朗香邸房地產(chǎn)項(xiàng)目各個(gè)階段進(jìn)行風(fēng)險(xiǎn)識(shí)別、風(fēng)險(xiǎn)估計(jì)和評(píng)價(jià),并且提出了風(fēng)險(xiǎn)管理的具體措施,最后做出結(jié)論與展望,希望研究的成果能夠?yàn)槲覈康禺a(chǎn)行業(yè)提供一定的借鑒與參考。
[Abstract]:With the development of our economy, the real estate industry has become a very important industry. However, because the real estate project is characterized by large investment and long period, it will be affected by many external environmental factors in the process of development. Many factors are beyond control, developers inevitably face various risks. Because the real estate market management in our country started relatively late, the level of risk management is not high. Coupled with the lack of awareness of risk among investors in the process of investment and development, this has greatly increased the risk of real estate projects. In recent years, China has increased its efforts in macroeconomic regulation and control over the real estate industry. Therefore, risk identification, risk analysis, risk response, risk control, so that the enterprise can better manage the risk and effectively control the risk in the process of risk management. This is very important for investors. This paper applies the theory of project risk management, selects Longxiang residence real estate project as the research object, combines the internal and external environment of Longxiang residence project and the characteristics of the project itself. From the project investment decision stage, early preparation stage, project construction stage and project rental stage, the paper analyzes the risks in the development and construction of Longxiang residence real estate project, and uses the methods of risk identification and risk assessment. At the same time, the paper expounds the concept and process of risk management, introduces the steps and methods of risk analysis and evaluation, and uses break-even method. The sensitivity analysis method is used to analyze the real estate project of Longxiang Mansion to find out the risk factors in the project, and then the risk countermeasures are worked out for the investment decision-making stage, the early preparation stage, the project construction stage and the lease and sale stage, respectively. Finally, it is suggested that risk monitoring should be carried out in the whole process of the project in order to feedback information in time in the risk control of Longxiang residence real estate project, to avoid or reduce the occurrence of risk. In this paper, Through the scientific method to carry on the risk identification, the risk estimation and the appraisal to each stage of the Longxiang residence real estate project, and proposed the concrete measure of the risk management, finally made the conclusion and the prospect, Hope that the results of the study can provide a certain reference and reference for the real estate industry in China.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：長(zhǎng)春工業(yè)大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2015
【分類號(hào)】：F299.233.4

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