保障房建設(shè)用地需求預(yù)測及多元化供給機制研究
本文選題:保障房 + 建設(shè)用地 ; 參考:《北京交通大學(xué)》2017年碩士論文
【摘要】:當(dāng)前,我國城鎮(zhèn)低收入群體住房壓力負擔(dān)較重,加強保障房供給勢在必行,而土地供給作為影響保障房建設(shè)最重要的環(huán)節(jié),是應(yīng)該首要解決的問題。本文的研究目的是從"應(yīng)覆蓋范圍"的角度對各類保障房建設(shè)用地需求量進行預(yù)測,在此基礎(chǔ)上制定保障房用地供給中長期規(guī)劃以及完善的土地儲備制度等,保證保障房建設(shè)用地的及時、足量、有效供給。本文首先分析了論文的研究背景及意義,并分別從保障房制度政策、供需標準以及土地供給三方面梳理了國內(nèi)外的相關(guān)研究成果,為論文后續(xù)深入研究奠定理論基礎(chǔ);然后以家庭類別和保障房類型為依據(jù),應(yīng)用灰色預(yù)測理論以及住房可支付性計算方法建立了各類保障房建設(shè)用地需求的測算步驟,對北京市進行測算分析;并從供給方式及供給來源兩方面構(gòu)建了各類保障房建設(shè)用地的多元化供給機制,在此基礎(chǔ)上分別從宏觀以及微觀兩個角度闡述了相關(guān)的政策建議。最后,本文總結(jié)了主要的研究結(jié)論、存在不足并提出展望。本文研究結(jié)論為:第一,確定不具備住房可支付能力的家庭群體類別及其所占比例是測算保障房建設(shè)用地需求量的關(guān)鍵,依據(jù)房價收入比、HAI、購房可積蓄能力這三種衡量住房可支付性的方法,以北京市為例進行計算的結(jié)果是將低收入、中低收入、中等收入群體均納入住房保障范圍。第二,推行保障房用地的市場化供給方式,從棚戶區(qū)改造建設(shè)用地、企事業(yè)單位閑置土地、已出讓的國有閑置用地、改造更新存量房屋等方面挖掘存量土地;以地票或聯(lián)合產(chǎn)權(quán)的方式獲得農(nóng)村集體土地來探索增量建設(shè)用地的供給。第三,從轉(zhuǎn)變政府土地財政觀念、科學(xué)制定土地規(guī)劃、完善土地儲備制度等宏觀政策建議以及加強保障房建設(shè)用地的監(jiān)管機制、嚴格處置閑置用地、實行差別化的保障房建設(shè)用地供給管理政策等微觀政策建議確保實現(xiàn)保障房用地的多元化供給。
[Abstract]:At present, the burden of housing pressure on low-income groups in cities and towns is heavy, so it is imperative to strengthen the supply of indemnificatory apartment. As the most important link affecting the construction of indemnificatory apartment, land supply is the most important problem to be solved. The purpose of this paper is to forecast the demand for indemnificatory apartment construction land from the angle of "coverage scope", and on this basis, to formulate the long-term planning of indemnificatory apartment land supply and the perfect land reserve system, etc. Ensure the timely, sufficient and effective supply of indemnificatory apartment construction land. This paper first analyzes the research background and significance of the paper, and respectively from the indemnificatory apartment system policy, supply and demand standards and land supply three aspects of domestic and foreign related research results, for the further study of the paper lay a theoretical foundation; Then, based on the family category and indemnificatory apartment type, the paper establishes the calculation steps of all kinds of indemnificatory apartment construction land demand by using the grey prediction theory and the housing affordability calculation method, and calculates and analyzes the Beijing Municipality. The diversified supply mechanism of all kinds of indemnificatory apartment construction land is constructed from two aspects of supply mode and supply source. On this basis, the relevant policy suggestions are expounded from the macro and micro perspectives respectively. Finally, this paper summarizes the main research conclusions, there are shortcomings and put forward the prospect. The conclusions of this paper are as follows: first, determining the types of households with no affordability and their proportion is the key to estimate the demand for indemnificatory apartment construction land. According to the ratio of house price to income, the three methods of measuring the affordability of housing are the ability to store houses. The result of calculation in Beijing is that the low and middle income groups are brought into the range of housing security. Second, promote the marketization of indemnificatory apartment land supply, from the shantytown transformation of construction land, enterprises and institutions idle land, state-owned idle land has been transferred, renovating the stock of housing and other aspects of excavating the stock of land; To explore the supply of incremental construction land by means of land ticket or joint property right to obtain rural collective land. Third, from the transformation of the government land finance concept, the scientific formulation of land planning, the improvement of land reserve system and other macro policy recommendations, as well as the strengthening of indemnificatory apartment construction land regulatory mechanism, strict disposal of idle land, The implementation of differential indemnificatory apartment construction land supply management policy and other micro policy recommendations to ensure the realization of indemnificatory apartment land supply diversification.
【學(xué)位授予單位】:北京交通大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】:碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】:2017
【分類號】:F299.23
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