發(fā)布時間：2018-06-17 22:14

  本文選題：人防工程 + 地下商街�。� 參考：《吉林大學(xué)》2015年碩士論文

【摘要】：人防地下商業(yè)建筑就是把人防工程在平時用于商業(yè)經(jīng)營。近年來，這種具有商業(yè)地產(chǎn)性質(zhì)的投資模式和建設(shè)形態(tài)顯示出特殊的優(yōu)勢：由于國家鼓勵社會投資修建人防工程，因而，使投資修建人防地下商業(yè)街享有在城市繁華商業(yè)區(qū)選址建設(shè)地下商業(yè)設(shè)施的難得歷史機遇，并可享受減免土地使用費等優(yōu)惠政策。地下商街建設(shè)具有工期短、利潤高、投資回收快的特點，吸引了社會投資紛紛進入這個特殊的地下商業(yè)地產(chǎn)領(lǐng)域。 人防地下商業(yè)街項目建設(shè)同時具有很大的風(fēng)險和不可預(yù)見性：較地上建筑施工組織難度大、技術(shù)安全措施要求高、涉及的風(fēng)險因素多；區(qū)別于建設(shè)地上商業(yè)設(shè)施的定位、營銷、經(jīng)營管理模式，較高的建筑成本和苛刻的建設(shè)周期，所以投資人防商業(yè)建筑機遇和風(fēng)險并存。由于部分投資者為了搶抓機遇，盲目跟風(fēng)建設(shè)，缺乏成熟的建設(shè)經(jīng)驗和風(fēng)險控制理念，，使得不少項目在建設(shè)過程中遭遇風(fēng)險損失，甚至在投入運營后停業(yè)關(guān)閉。 本文研究的對象是延吉市解放路步行街人防工程項目的風(fēng)險管理，研究中綜合運用了經(jīng)驗類比法、專家打分法、核對表法、優(yōu)勢劣勢分析法，進行項目建設(shè)過程的風(fēng)險識別、估計、評價，風(fēng)險排序，并找出影響項目的主要風(fēng)險，提出風(fēng)險控制的措施，為項目管理中有效規(guī)避和控制風(fēng)險提供指導(dǎo)，對修建人防地下商業(yè)建筑項目的風(fēng)險管理做了有益的嘗試。 第一章，解放路步行街項目的背景概況和研究方法：闡述了項目建設(shè)的背景，介紹了項目的基本情況，說明了實施風(fēng)險管理的必要性。論文的意義，風(fēng)險管理研究采用的調(diào)查表法、專家打分法、對比分析法、優(yōu)勢劣勢分析法等風(fēng)險的識別和分析方法。 第二章，建設(shè)項目的風(fēng)險識別。首先通過調(diào)查、借鑒專家經(jīng)驗梳理總結(jié)出人防工程建設(shè)的成功和失敗經(jīng)驗風(fēng)險核對表，依據(jù)進行項目整體風(fēng)險識別。然后以項目的時間為主要軸線，把項目建設(shè)管理分成決策階段、準(zhǔn)備階段、建設(shè)階段、銷售階段四個階段。分別對這四個階段中的風(fēng)險進行了識別，并在此基礎(chǔ)上整理形成了整個項目的風(fēng)險清單。 第三章，項目風(fēng)險的估計與評價。運用專家打分法分層進行項目各階段風(fēng)險的識別和評估，借助具有豐富人防工程開發(fā)、建設(shè)、經(jīng)營管理經(jīng)驗的專家，對識別的各項風(fēng)險因素賦值，計算出整個項目的風(fēng)險度和各項風(fēng)險因素的分值，根據(jù)分值大小進行風(fēng)險度排序，同時運用SWOT方法，從不同角度分析驗證了項目最大的風(fēng)險因素。 第四章，項目的主要風(fēng)險控制方案。對風(fēng)險度排序最高的四項主要風(fēng)險，也是關(guān)系項目成敗和效益的主要風(fēng)險，進行風(fēng)險控制研究，分別提出了應(yīng)對方案，供風(fēng)險管理參考。 結(jié)論總結(jié)了項目風(fēng)險識別和風(fēng)險評估的結(jié)果、實用價值，研究方法的特點及論文存在的不足。 本文在論文寫作過程中，大量調(diào)查總結(jié)了吉林省人防地下商場工程建設(shè)和經(jīng)營管理經(jīng)驗，作為經(jīng)驗調(diào)查法整體風(fēng)險評估借鑒的依據(jù)。采用專家打分方法，由有豐富人防建設(shè)經(jīng)驗專家對各項風(fēng)險因素賦值，分層的進行了項目各階段風(fēng)險的識別和評估，掌握各項風(fēng)險因素的嚴(yán)重程度。并運用SWOT方法從管理角度，以項目管理者自身內(nèi)部的優(yōu)勢和劣勢條件與外部的環(huán)境條件，從不同角度進一步驗證分析項目建設(shè)存在的主要風(fēng)險。 本文的特點是采取工程建設(shè)實際經(jīng)驗和理論分析相結(jié)合的方法，分析方法便于掌握，更加符合工程建設(shè)的實際，研究成果可直接用于指導(dǎo)工程建設(shè)風(fēng)險控制。也可供投資地下人防商場建設(shè)管理借鑒和參考。
[Abstract]:The construction of underground commercial street has the characteristics of short period of work , high profit and fast investment recovery , attracting social investment into this special field of underground commercial property .

People ' s underground commercial street project construction has a great risk and non - predictability : higher difficulty of construction organization in the ground , high requirements for technical safety measures , and more risk factors involved ;
It is different from the location , marketing , operation management mode , higher construction cost and severe construction period of the above - ground commercial facilities , so the opportunity and the risk of investing in the commercial building are co - existing . As some investors seek to seize the opportunity , blindly follow the wind , lack the mature construction experience and the risk control concept , many projects encounter risk losses during the construction process , even after the operation is put into operation .

The object of this paper is the risk management of the pedestrian protection project of Jiading Street Pedestrian Street in Yanji City . The research includes experience analogy method , expert scoring method , checklist method , advantage disadvantage analysis method , risk identification , estimation , evaluation , risk ranking of project construction process , risk identification , estimation , evaluation and risk ranking of project construction process , and find out the measures for risk control , provide guidance for effective avoidance and control risk in project management , and make a useful attempt to construct the risk management of underground commercial building project .

The first chapter , the background of Jiefang Road Pedestrian Street project and the research methods are as follows : the background of project construction is described , the necessity of implementing risk management is described , the paper ' s significance , the questionnaire method used in risk management study , expert scoring method , comparative analysis method and superiority inferior analysis method are used to identify and analyze the risks .

In the second chapter , the risk identification of the construction project is identified . First , through the investigation , we draw lessons from the experience of experts , summarize the risk checklist of success and failure of the project , and then divide the project construction management into four stages : decision - making stage , preparation stage , construction stage and sales phase .

In chapter 3 , the project risk is estimated and evaluated . By using expert scoring method to identify and evaluate the risks in each stage of the project , the risk factors and the risk factors of the project are calculated based on the experts who have rich human defense project development , construction and management experience . The risk degree is ranked according to the size of the score , and the SWOT method is used to analyze the risk factors of the project from different angles .

In chapter 4 , the main risk control scheme of the project is the four main risks of the highest risk ranking , and also the main risk of the success and failure of the relationship project and the benefit , and the risk control study is carried out , and the corresponding scheme is proposed for risk management reference , respectively .

Conclusion The results of the project risk identification and risk assessment , the practical value , the characteristics of the research method and the shortcomings of the paper are summarized .

In the process of writing paper , a great deal of investigation sums up the experiences of engineering construction and operation management of people ' s underground stores in Jilin Province as the basis for reference for the whole risk assessment of empirical investigation .

The characteristic of this paper is that the method of combining practical experiences and theoretical analysis of engineering construction is adopted , the analysis method is convenient to master , more consistent with the actual project construction , and the research results can be directly used to guide the risk control of engineering construction . It can also be used for reference and reference for the construction management of underground pedestrian protection .
【學(xué)位授予單位】：吉林大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2015
【分類號】：TU71

【參考文獻】

相關(guān)期刊論文 前2條

1 陳雪杰;;廣州市地下商場開發(fā)潮趨勢下規(guī)劃策略探討[J];地下空間與工程學(xué)報;2011年02期

2 商和功;;影響商場選址的主要因素分析[J];北京市財貿(mào)管理干部學(xué)院學(xué)報;2006年02期

本文編號：2032630