【摘要】：如何啟動消費(fèi)、刺激內(nèi)需關(guān)系我國經(jīng)濟(jì)健康持續(xù)發(fā)展,緩解農(nóng)村居民消費(fèi)的不足尤其關(guān)鍵。農(nóng)村居民消費(fèi)不足的最深層的原因在于農(nóng)民增收困難、農(nóng)村社會保障體系不完善和農(nóng)村消費(fèi)環(huán)境惡劣等。財(cái)政支農(nóng)支出政策屬于財(cái)政政策的一部分,應(yīng)該在促進(jìn)農(nóng)民收入增長、擴(kuò)大農(nóng)村居民消費(fèi)需求、完善農(nóng)村社會保障體系、優(yōu)化農(nóng)村消費(fèi)環(huán)境等方面有所作為。因此,研究財(cái)政支農(nóng)支出對農(nóng)村居民消費(fèi)的影響,不僅有利于檢驗(yàn)財(cái)政支農(nóng)資金的使用效果,為財(cái)政支農(nóng)政策的制定、調(diào)整提供現(xiàn)實(shí)支撐,而且有利于為國家充分利用財(cái)政支農(nóng)的杠桿作用撬動農(nóng)村居民消費(fèi)提供有效的政策建議。 本文在公共財(cái)政框架下,基于財(cái)政政策影響消費(fèi)的作用機(jī)制,對廣西財(cái)政支農(nóng)支出以及農(nóng)村居民消費(fèi)的現(xiàn)狀進(jìn)行了詳細(xì)的分析。在理論分析和現(xiàn)狀分析的基礎(chǔ)上,本文通過建立VAR模型,并運(yùn)用在格蘭杰因果檢驗(yàn)、脈沖響應(yīng)、方差分解等計(jì)量分析方法,對1980年-2012年間財(cái)政支農(nóng)支出與農(nóng)村居民消費(fèi)的關(guān)系進(jìn)行實(shí)證分析,并得出了廣西財(cái)政支農(nóng)支出對農(nóng)村居民消費(fèi)具有較為明顯的“擠入效應(yīng)”的結(jié)論。最后,基于理論和實(shí)證的分析,本文將就如何增強(qiáng)廣西財(cái)政支農(nóng)支出對農(nóng)村居民消費(fèi)的拉動作用提出相關(guān)政策措施,具體包括擴(kuò)大財(cái)政支農(nóng)規(guī)模、完善農(nóng)民增收長效機(jī)制、加強(qiáng)財(cái)政支農(nóng)資金管理、優(yōu)化農(nóng)村消費(fèi)環(huán)境、健全農(nóng)村社會保障制度等。
[Abstract]:How to start consumption and stimulate domestic demand is of great importance to the healthy and sustainable development of our economy and to alleviate the shortage of rural residents' consumption. The deepest reasons of rural residents' insufficient consumption lie in the difficulties of increasing farmers' income, the imperfect social security system in rural areas and the poor consumption environment in rural areas. The policy of fiscal support for agriculture is a part of the fiscal policy. It should promote the increase of farmers' income, expand the consumption demand of rural residents, perfect the rural social security system, and optimize the rural consumption environment. Therefore, the study of the impact of fiscal expenditure on the consumption of rural residents is not only conducive to testing the effect of the use of financial funds for agriculture, but also provides practical support for the formulation and adjustment of fiscal support for agriculture. Moreover, it is beneficial to provide effective policy advice for the country to make full use of the leverage of financial support for agriculture to leverage the consumption of rural residents. Under the framework of public finance, based on the mechanism of fiscal policy affecting consumption, this paper makes a detailed analysis of the current situation of fiscal support for agriculture expenditure and rural residents' consumption in Guangxi. On the basis of theoretical analysis and current situation analysis, this paper establishes the VAR model and applies it to Granger causality test, impulse response, variance decomposition and other econometric analysis methods. This paper makes an empirical analysis of the relationship between the expenditure on supporting agriculture and the consumption of rural residents from 1980 to 2012, and draws the conclusion that the expenditure of fiscal support for agriculture in Guangxi has a more obvious "crowding in effect" on rural residents' consumption. Finally, based on the theoretical and empirical analysis, this paper will put forward some relevant policies and measures on how to enhance the pulling effect of Guangxi fiscal expenditure on rural residents' consumption, including expanding the scale of fiscal support for agriculture and perfecting the long-term mechanism of increasing farmers' income. We will strengthen the management of financial support for agriculture, optimize the rural consumption environment, and improve the rural social security system.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：廣西大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2014
【分類號】：F812.8;F323.8

【參考文獻(xiàn)】

相關(guān)期刊論文 前10條

1 王曉潤;尹宗成;孫鑫;;財(cái)政支農(nóng)支出對農(nóng)村居民收入和消費(fèi)影響的SVAR分析[J];安徽農(nóng)業(yè)大學(xué)學(xué)報(bào)(社會科學(xué)版);2011年04期

2 張攀峰;;財(cái)政農(nóng)業(yè)支出對農(nóng)村居民消費(fèi)影響的經(jīng)驗(yàn)分析[J];財(cái)經(jīng)問題研究;2012年02期

3 陳太明;;中國的政府支出與居民消費(fèi):擠出還是擠入[J];東北財(cái)經(jīng)大學(xué)學(xué)報(bào);2007年05期

4 王皓妍;;促進(jìn)農(nóng)村居民消費(fèi)的財(cái)政政策取向研究——基于江蘇省數(shù)據(jù)的實(shí)證分析[J];地方財(cái)政研究;2011年01期

5 謝建國,陳漓高;政府支出與居民消費(fèi)——一個基于跨期替代模型的中國經(jīng)驗(yàn)分析[J];當(dāng)代經(jīng)濟(jì)科學(xué);2002年06期

6 廖東聲;張?jiān)篮?;廣西財(cái)政支農(nóng)支出對農(nóng)民收入影響的協(xié)整分析[J];改革與戰(zhàn)略;2009年09期

7 段濤;;財(cái)政支農(nóng)支出對農(nóng)村居民消費(fèi)的影響分析——基于東、中、西部面板數(shù)據(jù)的實(shí)證研究[J];改革與戰(zhàn)略;2011年10期

8 胡東蘭;田侃;夏杰長;;中國財(cái)政支農(nóng)支出對農(nóng)村居民消費(fèi)影響——實(shí)證分析與政策建議[J];財(cái)政研究;2013年01期

9 沈素素;;財(cái)政促進(jìn)農(nóng)村居民消費(fèi)的作用機(jī)制及對策探析[J];湖南商學(xué)院學(xué)報(bào);2012年02期

10 郭平;洪源;;稅收政策刺激我國消費(fèi)需求有效增長的作用機(jī)理及對策研究[J];湖湘論壇;2009年06期

相關(guān)博士學(xué)位論文 前1條

1 韓林;我國財(cái)政支農(nóng)支出問題研究[D];南開大學(xué);2010年

，

本文編號：2397447