PPP模式下財政承受能力研究——基于英國的實證分析
發(fā)布時間:2018-11-04 19:15
【摘要】:中國財政部于2015年明確提出在PPP項目的前期論證中,加入對財政承受能力的論證。英國有豐富PPP經(jīng)驗及完備的項目數(shù)據(jù)庫,故本文以英國為對象,研究其PPP項目中隱含的對財政承受力考量。文章以英國每年承擔的PPP債務(wù)規(guī)模反映財政承受力,借助實證,建立宏觀經(jīng)濟指標、PPP合同資本價值二者與PPP債務(wù)之間的線性回歸關(guān)系。以實證結(jié)果為基礎(chǔ),對確保中國在財政承受力范圍內(nèi)開展PPP項目提出一些思考,旨在促使該模式真正發(fā)揮減輕政府債務(wù),提高公共服務(wù)質(zhì)量的作用。
[Abstract]:In 2015, the Chinese Ministry of Finance explicitly proposed to add a demonstration on fiscal affordability in the early stage of the PPP project. The UK has rich PPP experience and complete project database, so this paper takes the UK as an object to study the implicit financial endurance in its PPP project. In this paper, the scale of PPP debt assumed by the United Kingdom is used to reflect the financial endurance. With the help of empirical evidence, the paper establishes the linear regression relationship between the PPP contract capital value and the PPP debt and the macroeconomic index. Based on the empirical results, this paper puts forward some thoughts on ensuring China to carry out PPP projects within the scope of fiscal endurance, in order to make this model play a real role in reducing government debt and improving the quality of public services.
【作者單位】: 暨南大學(xué);
【分類號】:F283;F812
[Abstract]:In 2015, the Chinese Ministry of Finance explicitly proposed to add a demonstration on fiscal affordability in the early stage of the PPP project. The UK has rich PPP experience and complete project database, so this paper takes the UK as an object to study the implicit financial endurance in its PPP project. In this paper, the scale of PPP debt assumed by the United Kingdom is used to reflect the financial endurance. With the help of empirical evidence, the paper establishes the linear regression relationship between the PPP contract capital value and the PPP debt and the macroeconomic index. Based on the empirical results, this paper puts forward some thoughts on ensuring China to carry out PPP projects within the scope of fiscal endurance, in order to make this model play a real role in reducing government debt and improving the quality of public services.
【作者單位】: 暨南大學(xué);
【分類號】:F283;F812
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