發(fā)布時(shí)間：2018-08-17 16:43

【摘要】：中國(guó)特色的地方政府投融資平臺(tái)于2008年迅速增多,隨之地方債務(wù)也迅速膨脹。地方政府投融資平臺(tái)對(duì)基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施建設(shè)、產(chǎn)業(yè)升級(jí)、擴(kuò)大內(nèi)需起到了積極的作用,但是由于相關(guān)的法律法規(guī)監(jiān)管的缺失,融資平臺(tái)也存在運(yùn)營(yíng)風(fēng)險(xiǎn),并隱藏著財(cái)政風(fēng)險(xiǎn)、社會(huì)風(fēng)險(xiǎn)。本文通過(guò)對(duì)地方政府投融資平臺(tái)存在的問(wèn)題和風(fēng)險(xiǎn)的研究,結(jié)合北京市投融資平臺(tái)的實(shí)際情況,力求探究風(fēng)險(xiǎn)成因及風(fēng)險(xiǎn)傳導(dǎo)的途徑,重點(diǎn)研究北京西城區(qū)地方政府投融資平臺(tái)負(fù)債預(yù)測(cè),構(gòu)建相應(yīng)的地方債風(fēng)險(xiǎn)預(yù)警體系,并提出風(fēng)險(xiǎn)評(píng)估與防范的有效策略。 首先,本文基于選題背景、選題內(nèi)容、參考國(guó)內(nèi)外地方政府投融資研究相關(guān)著述,綜合分析提出本文的研究主題、研究?jī)?nèi)容和研究方法。介紹了國(guó)內(nèi)外相關(guān)的研究成果和理論基礎(chǔ)。 第二,研究地方政府投融資平臺(tái)風(fēng)險(xiǎn)形成的根源,從法律法規(guī)和制度根源上剖析形成的原因,指出分稅制造成的中央與地方的財(cái)權(quán)和事權(quán)的不對(duì)稱,地方稅收不足,財(cái)力不足是根本問(wèn)題所在。并提出地方政府作為地方債的擔(dān)保方,主體不適格,地方融資平臺(tái)內(nèi)部治理機(jī)制不健全等均是風(fēng)險(xiǎn)的成因。地方政府的債務(wù)風(fēng)險(xiǎn)有向財(cái)政風(fēng)險(xiǎn)、金融風(fēng)險(xiǎn)、社會(huì)風(fēng)險(xiǎn)傳導(dǎo)的威脅。 第三,本文結(jié)合北京市西城區(qū)投融資平臺(tái)的現(xiàn)狀,具體分析了西城區(qū)投融資平臺(tái)存在的問(wèn)題和風(fēng)險(xiǎn)狀況,構(gòu)建了債務(wù)預(yù)測(cè)模型,并預(yù)測(cè)了西城區(qū)融資平臺(tái)債務(wù)爆發(fā)的時(shí)點(diǎn)和強(qiáng)度。 第四,在債務(wù)預(yù)測(cè)基礎(chǔ)上,提出債務(wù)預(yù)警機(jī)制構(gòu)建的指標(biāo)體系,評(píng)價(jià)了西城區(qū)投融資平臺(tái)的風(fēng)險(xiǎn)水平,并提出了相應(yīng)的風(fēng)險(xiǎn)防范機(jī)制,以促進(jìn)投融資平臺(tái)走向市場(chǎng)化、規(guī)范化運(yùn)營(yíng)。依據(jù)現(xiàn)代企業(yè)制度厘清地方政府與企業(yè)的關(guān)系。
[Abstract]:Local government investment and financing platforms with Chinese characteristics grew rapidly in 2008, and so did local debt. The local government investment and financing platform has played a positive role in infrastructure construction, industrial upgrading, and expanding domestic demand. However, due to the lack of relevant laws and regulations, the financing platform also has operational risks and hidden financial risks. Social risk. Through the research on the problems and risks of the local government investment and financing platform and the actual situation of Beijing investment and financing platform, this paper tries to explore the causes of risk and the ways of risk transmission. This paper focuses on the debt prediction of local government investment and financing platform in Xicheng District of Beijing, constructs the corresponding risk warning system of local debt, and puts forward effective strategies for risk assessment and prevention. First of all, based on the background of the topic, the content of the topic, referring to the domestic and foreign local government investment and financing research related works, comprehensive analysis of this research theme, research content and research methods. The related research results and theoretical basis at home and abroad are introduced. Second, to study the origin of the risk formation of local government investment and financing platform, analyze the causes of the formation from the root of laws, regulations and systems, point out that the central and local governments' financial and administrative powers are asymmetric, and the local tax revenue is insufficient. Lack of financial resources is the fundamental problem. It also points out that the local government as the guarantor of local debt, the main body unsuitable, and the internal governance mechanism of the local financing platform are all the causes of the risk. The debt risk of local government is threatened by financial risk, financial risk and social risk transmission. Thirdly, according to the present situation of Xicheng District Investment and financing platform in Beijing, this paper analyzes the existing problems and risk situation of Xicheng District Investment and financing platform, and constructs a debt forecasting model. And forecast the time and intensity of debt outbreak of Xicheng District financing platform. Fourthly, on the basis of debt forecasting, the index system of debt warning mechanism is put forward, the risk level of investment and financing platform in Xicheng District is evaluated, and the corresponding risk prevention mechanism is put forward to promote the marketization of investment and financing platform. Standardized operation. Clarify the relationship between local government and enterprises according to modern enterprise system.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：北京交通大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2014
【分類號(hào)】：F812.7

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本文編號(hào)：2188269