本文選題：消費稅　切入點：通貨緊縮　出處：《經(jīng)濟(jì)問題探索》2016年02期 　論文類型：期刊論文

【摘要】：在安倍經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)背景下,本文分析提高消費稅對日本整體物價水平的影響,探究物價傳導(dǎo)內(nèi)在機制并對日本經(jīng)濟(jì)政策進(jìn)行展望。提高通脹率、走出通縮是安倍經(jīng)濟(jì)改革面臨的首要問題,通過提高消費稅已經(jīng)使日本消費者物價指數(shù)和企業(yè)物價指數(shù)等物價指標(biāo)有所好轉(zhuǎn),整體經(jīng)濟(jì)展現(xiàn)復(fù)蘇跡象。但此次物價水平的提升本質(zhì)上屬于供給推動型,主要是原材料價格的上漲,這根源于日元貶值后的價格效應(yīng)。因此提高消費稅不足以推動日本經(jīng)濟(jì)走出通縮、當(dāng)前的價格上漲趨勢也不具有持續(xù)性。最后對安倍政權(quán)的內(nèi)外經(jīng)濟(jì)政策進(jìn)行展望,在研究日本經(jīng)驗教訓(xùn)的同時為中國制定對日政策提供啟示。
[Abstract]:In the context of Abenomics, this paper analyzes the impact of increasing consumption tax on the overall price level in Japan, explores the intrinsic mechanism of price transmission and looks forward to Japan's economic policy. Getting out of deflation is a top priority for Abe's economic reform. By raising the consumption tax, prices such as Japan's consumer price index and enterprise price index have improved. The overall economy shows signs of recovery. But this price rise is essentially supply-driven, mainly because of rising prices of raw materials. This is rooted in the price effect after the depreciation of the yen. Therefore, raising the consumption tax is not enough to push the Japanese economy out of deflation, and the current trend of rising prices is not sustainable. Finally, it looks forward to the Abe regime's domestic and foreign economic policies. While studying Japan's experience and lessons, it provides enlightenment for China to formulate its policy towards Japan.
【作者單位】： 中國人民大學(xué);
【分類號】：F813.13;F131.3

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