本文選題：人民幣匯率　切入點：匯率波動　出處：《北京交通大學》2012年碩士論文　論文類型：學位論文

【摘要】：匯率作為一國貨幣同另一國貨幣的兌換比率,是實現(xiàn)一國經(jīng)濟內(nèi)部和外部均衡的重要工具,也是調(diào)節(jié)國際經(jīng)濟競爭關(guān)系最直接、最有效的手段。1973年布雷頓森林體系解體以后,浮動匯率制度下匯率波動性增加,國際貿(mào)易增長速度明顯放緩,匯率波動對國際貿(mào)易量的影響成為經(jīng)濟研究熱點之一。 1994年1月1日人民幣匯率實現(xiàn)并軌之后,我國實行了以市場供求為基礎(chǔ)的、單一的、有管理的浮動匯率制度。2005年7月21日,我國開始實施以市場供求為基礎(chǔ)、參考一籃子貨幣進行調(diào)節(jié)、有管理的浮動匯率制度。相比于2005年前面幾年保持的匯率水平,人民幣匯率的浮動彈性逐漸擴大,匯率波動性增加。另一方面對于甘肅來說,外貿(mào)在經(jīng)濟發(fā)展中的地位顯得日益突出。近兩年來是我國匯率變動最頻繁的時期,那么,匯率波動增大會對甘肅省外貿(mào)的快速發(fā)展產(chǎn)生什么樣的影響?在這樣的背景下,政府應(yīng)該采取什么樣的政策措施?基于以上問題,研究匯率變動對甘肅省進出口貿(mào)易的影響具有重要的現(xiàn)實意義和價值。 本文在人民幣匯率波動不斷增加的背景下,分析了人民幣匯率對甘肅省進出口貿(mào)易的影響。本文分為五個部分,第一部分為緒論。第二部分介紹人民幣匯率與進出口貿(mào)易的相關(guān)概念,并綜述匯率變動對外貿(mào)影響的主要理論,同時分析了匯率變動對進出口貿(mào)易影響的一般規(guī)律及其影響因素。第三部分介紹了人民幣匯率變動歷程,及相應(yīng)階段甘肅省進出口貿(mào)易的變動情況。第四部分運用計量分析方法,對匯率變動對甘肅省進出口貿(mào)易的影響展開實證研究,并得出結(jié)論。第五部分提出相應(yīng)的對策建議。
[Abstract]:The exchange rate as a currency with another currency exchange rate, is to realize the internal and external equilibrium of economy is an important tool of regulating the international economic competition the most direct relationship, after the disintegration of the most effective means of.1973 years of the Bretton Woods system, floating exchange rate system the exchange rate volatility increases, the growth rate of international trade is slowing down and the impact of exchange rate fluctuations on the volume of international trade has become one of the focus of economic research.
After the RMB exchange rate in January 1, 1994 to achieve the merger, China has implemented a market-based, single, managed floating exchange rate system.2005 in July 21st, China began to implement the basis of market supply and demand with reference to a basket of currencies, a managed floating exchange rate system. Compared to 2005 in front of a few years to maintain the exchange rate level, the flexibility of RMB exchange rate gradually expanded, the exchange rate volatility increases. On the other hand, for Gansu, the status of foreign trade in economic development has become increasingly prominent. In recent years China's exchange rate changes is the most frequent period, so the increase of the exchange rate fluctuations will produce what kind of impact on the rapid development of foreign trade in Gansu province? In this context, the government should take what kind of policy measures? Based on the above issues, study the impact of exchange rate movements on the import and export trade of Gansu province has important Practical significance and value.
In this paper, the continuous increase in the RMB exchange rate volatility in the background, analysis of the impact of RMB exchange rate on import and export trade of Gansu province. This paper is divided into five parts, the first part is introduction. The second part introduces the related concepts of the RMB exchange rate and import and export trade, exchange rate changes and reviews the main theories of foreign trade influence, and analyzes the changes in general rules and influence factors of the exchange rate impact on the import and export trade. The third part introduces the process of the change of RMB exchange rate, and the corresponding stage of import and export trade of Gansu province changes. The fourth part using the econometric analysis method, an empirical study of the influence of exchange rate on import and export trade of Gansu Province, and puts forward the countermeasures to draw a conclusion. The fifth part suggestions.

【學位授予單位】：北京交通大學
【學位級別】：碩士
【學位授予年份】：2012
【分類號】：F832.6;F752.6

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