本文選題：庫(kù)存優(yōu)化 + 灰色預(yù)測(cè)��； 參考：《青島大學(xué)》2014年碩士論文

【摘要】：近年來(lái),各個(gè)休閑服企業(yè)面臨著巨大的庫(kù)存壓力。龐大的庫(kù)存限制了資金的流通,并暴露出企業(yè)在生產(chǎn)、管理、信息化等各個(gè)方面所存在的問(wèn)題。在這種背景下,很多企業(yè)深入探究庫(kù)存的產(chǎn)生原因,并積極的尋求解決之道。論文的研究目的在于通過(guò)對(duì)休閑服產(chǎn)品的分類(lèi)管理,確定相應(yīng)的產(chǎn)品需求預(yù)測(cè)模型以及庫(kù)存控制模型,以提高庫(kù)存管理效率,減少庫(kù)存成本,實(shí)現(xiàn)利潤(rùn)的最大化。 首先介紹了庫(kù)存的定義、分類(lèi)、庫(kù)存成本等相關(guān)概念,指出庫(kù)存控制的重要性,概述庫(kù)存控制理論的發(fā)展進(jìn)程。分析了供應(yīng)鏈環(huán)境下三種重要的庫(kù)存管理理論：供應(yīng)商管理庫(kù)存、聯(lián)合庫(kù)存管理以及協(xié)同式供應(yīng)鏈庫(kù)存管理。 其次分析了我國(guó)休閑服企業(yè)的發(fā)展現(xiàn)狀,通過(guò)美邦和Zara兩個(gè)具有代表性的國(guó)內(nèi)外休閑服企業(yè)在經(jīng)營(yíng)模式以及庫(kù)存控制模式等方面的對(duì)比分析,闡述了我國(guó)休閑服企業(yè)產(chǎn)生過(guò)量庫(kù)存的原因。 再次針對(duì)我國(guó)休閑服企業(yè)的產(chǎn)品特點(diǎn),根據(jù)ABC分類(lèi)法將休閑服產(chǎn)品分為經(jīng)典款休閑服和流行款休閑服,在此基礎(chǔ)上對(duì)兩種休閑服采用分類(lèi)管理方法。在需求預(yù)測(cè)方面,分別采用一次指數(shù)平滑法和灰色預(yù)測(cè)方法。根據(jù)流行款休閑服的需求特點(diǎn)對(duì)灰色預(yù)測(cè)模型進(jìn)行修正,提高了模型的精度,增強(qiáng)了模型的適應(yīng)度。在庫(kù)存控制方面,分別建立經(jīng)濟(jì)批量模型以及報(bào)童模型,并對(duì)報(bào)童模型進(jìn)行優(yōu)化,證明了最優(yōu)解的存在性和唯一性。 最后分析了M休閑服有限公司的組織結(jié)構(gòu)和庫(kù)存控制模式,闡述了其在庫(kù)存控制上存在的各種問(wèn)題,并提出了針對(duì)M休閑服有限公司的庫(kù)存控制優(yōu)化措施。
[Abstract]:In recent years, various casual wear enterprises are facing enormous inventory pressure. The huge inventory limits the circulation of funds and exposes the problems in production, management, information and so on. In this context, many enterprises deeply explore the causes of inventory, and actively seek solutions. The purpose of this paper is to determine the corresponding product demand forecasting model and inventory control model through classified management of casual wear products, so as to improve the efficiency of inventory management, reduce inventory cost, and realize the maximization of profit. Firstly, the definition, classification and cost of inventory are introduced, the importance of inventory control is pointed out, and the development process of inventory control theory is summarized. This paper analyzes three important theories of inventory management in supply chain environment: vendor managed inventory, joint inventory management and collaborative supply chain inventory management. Secondly, it analyzes the current situation of the development of casual wear enterprises in our country, through the comparative analysis of two representative domestic and foreign casual wear enterprises, such as management mode and inventory control mode, and so on. This paper expounds the reasons for excessive stock of casual wear enterprises in our country. Thirdly, according to the product characteristics of Chinese casual wear enterprises, according to the ABC classification, the casual wear products are divided into classical casual wear and popular casual wear, on the basis of which two kinds of casual wear management methods are adopted. In the aspect of demand forecasting, the primary exponential smoothing method and the grey forecasting method are adopted respectively. According to the demand characteristics of popular casual wear, the grey prediction model is modified to improve the accuracy of the model and enhance the fitness of the model. In the aspect of inventory control, the economic batch model and newsboy model are established, and the newsboy model is optimized to prove the existence and uniqueness of the optimal solution. At last, the paper analyzes the organization structure and inventory control mode of M casual clothing Co., Ltd., expounds the problems existing in the inventory control, and puts forward the optimization measures for the inventory control of M Casual clothing Co., Ltd.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：青島大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2014
【分類(lèi)號(hào)】：F274;F426.86

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