【摘要】：隨著新型城鎮(zhèn)化的提出,我國(guó)城鎮(zhèn)化建設(shè)將進(jìn)入新的發(fā)展階段。新型城鎮(zhèn)化將一改過(guò)去片面粗放的發(fā)展方式,轉(zhuǎn)而以人口素質(zhì)、人居環(huán)境、公共服務(wù)水平等城市內(nèi)涵的提升為發(fā)展重點(diǎn),著力提高城鎮(zhèn)化質(zhì)量。作為衡量新型城鎮(zhèn)化發(fā)展水平的重要依據(jù),城市綜合承載力研究的具有重要的實(shí)踐意義。重慶市作為中西部唯一的直轄市,也是成渝城市群重要的經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)極,在新型城鎮(zhèn)化戰(zhàn)略中將發(fā)揮重要的引領(lǐng)作用。對(duì)重慶市城市綜合承載力的研究,是實(shí)現(xiàn)重慶市的可持續(xù)發(fā)展的需要,也是實(shí)現(xiàn)成渝都市圈整體發(fā)展水平提升的需要。論文通過(guò)設(shè)計(jì)合理的評(píng)價(jià)指標(biāo)體系,以重慶一小時(shí)經(jīng)濟(jì)圈和萬(wàn)州黔江兩個(gè)區(qū)域性中心城市為研究對(duì)象,對(duì)重慶市的城市綜合承載力進(jìn)行了分析。主要研究?jī)?nèi)容有:重慶市城市綜合承載力評(píng)價(jià)值分析、單要素承載力分析、城鎮(zhèn)化率與城市綜合承載力變化分析。根據(jù)分析結(jié)果尋找重慶市綜合承載力提高的有效途徑,促進(jìn)重慶市城鎮(zhèn)化質(zhì)量的提高。研究結(jié)果表明:(1)城市綜合承載力的主要構(gòu)成要素為資源要素、環(huán)境要素、經(jīng)濟(jì)要素、公共服務(wù)要素、基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施要素。(2)各要素對(duì)重慶市城市綜合承載力的影響程度按由高到底排序依次為:公共服務(wù)要素經(jīng)濟(jì)要素資源要素環(huán)境要素基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施要素,由于本研究采用了變異賦權(quán)法進(jìn)行指標(biāo)權(quán)重計(jì)算,該結(jié)果說(shuō)明了公共服務(wù)要素在重慶各區(qū)縣間的發(fā)展水平差異最大。(3)黔江區(qū)在城市綜合承載力評(píng)價(jià)中獲得了最高值,造成該評(píng)價(jià)結(jié)果的原因有三點(diǎn)。其一是黔江區(qū)本身資源豐富,生態(tài)環(huán)境保護(hù)較好,在資源和環(huán)境要素中評(píng)價(jià)較好;其二是由于多個(gè)大型基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施的建成和公共服務(wù)財(cái)政投入加大,基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施和公共服務(wù)要素承載力水平提升較快,補(bǔ)齊了城市資源承載力的短板;其三是考慮到黔江區(qū)人口增長(zhǎng)較慢,可能出現(xiàn)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)高于人口增長(zhǎng),從而在人均水平的指標(biāo)上提高了城市綜合承載力評(píng)價(jià)結(jié)果。(4)重慶市城鎮(zhèn)化率與城市綜合承載力沒(méi)有顯著的正向或逆向關(guān)系,提升城市綜合承載力,仍需要主動(dòng)從發(fā)展方式進(jìn)行轉(zhuǎn)變。
[Abstract]:With the new urbanization, China's urbanization will enter a new stage of development. The new urbanization will change the one-sided and extensive way of development in the past and focus on the promotion of urban connotation such as the quality of population, the living environment and the level of public service, so as to improve the quality of urbanization. As an important basis to measure the development level of new urbanization, the study of urban comprehensive bearing capacity has important practical significance. Chongqing, as the only municipality directly under the Central Government in the central and western regions, is also an important economic growth pole of Chengdu-Chongqing urban agglomeration, which will play an important leading role in the new urbanization strategy. The study on the comprehensive carrying capacity of Chongqing city is not only the need to realize the sustainable development of Chongqing, but also the need to promote the overall development level of Chengdu-Chongqing Metropolitan area. By designing a reasonable evaluation index system, this paper analyzes the comprehensive carrying capacity of Chongqing city, taking Chongqing one-hour economic circle and two regional central cities of Wanzhou and Qianjiang as research objects. The main research contents are as follows: evaluation value analysis of Chongqing city comprehensive carrying capacity, single factor carrying capacity analysis, urbanization rate and urban comprehensive carrying capacity change analysis. According to the results of the analysis, the effective way to improve the comprehensive bearing capacity of Chongqing is found, and the quality of urbanization in Chongqing is improved. The results show that: (1) the main components of urban comprehensive carrying capacity are resources, environment, economy and public service. (2) the degree of influence of each factor on the comprehensive carrying capacity of Chongqing city is listed as follows: public service factor, economic factor, resource factor, environment factor, infrastructure factor, etc. Because the index weight is calculated by using variation weighting method, the result shows that the development level of public service elements is the biggest in Chongqing. (3) Qianjiang District has obtained the highest value in the evaluation of urban comprehensive carrying capacity. There are three reasons for this evaluation. The first is that Qianjiang District is rich in resources, good in ecological and environmental protection, and better in the evaluation of resources and environmental elements. Second, because of the construction of many large-scale infrastructure and the increase of public service financial investment, the carrying capacity level of infrastructure and public service elements is raised rapidly, which makes up the short board of urban resource carrying capacity. Third, considering the slow population growth in Qianjiang District, it is possible that economic growth will be higher than population growth. Therefore, the evaluation results of urban comprehensive bearing capacity are improved on the per capita level. (4) there is no significant positive or negative relationship between urbanization rate and urban comprehensive carrying capacity in Chongqing, so as to enhance the comprehensive urban bearing capacity. There is still a need for a proactive shift from a development approach.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：重慶大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2016
【分類號(hào)】：F299.27;TU984

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