【摘要】：隨著《建設(shè)工程工程量清單計(jì)價(jià)規(guī)范》(GB50500-2013)的出臺,工程量清單計(jì)價(jià)模式進(jìn)入了全過程精細(xì)化管理的新階段。但是,由于我國建設(shè)工程一般具有工程量大、建設(shè)周期長等特點(diǎn),工程造價(jià)構(gòu)成要素容易受到社會環(huán)境、技術(shù)水平、經(jīng)濟(jì)條件和氣候環(huán)境等多方面因素的影響,而出現(xiàn)價(jià)格波動幅度較大的問題,因而加大了承包商對成本的控制和業(yè)主對投資的控制難度。本文著重于對工程造價(jià)的主要影響因素進(jìn)行動態(tài)分析,并得出合理的造價(jià)預(yù)測指標(biāo)及預(yù)測公式,對于業(yè)主、承包商在建設(shè)項(xiàng)目實(shí)施階段有效地控制工程造價(jià)具有重要的現(xiàn)實(shí)意義。本文首先回顧了國內(nèi)外工程造價(jià)計(jì)價(jià)模式的發(fā)展歷程,對工程量清單計(jì)價(jià)與定額計(jì)價(jià)的區(qū)別與聯(lián)系進(jìn)行深入的分析和對比,提出在我國全面推行工程量清單計(jì)價(jià)的必要性,工程量清單計(jì)價(jià)能夠真正實(shí)現(xiàn)我國市場形成價(jià)格的工程造價(jià)改革目標(biāo),有利于建筑市場的健康發(fā)展；其次敘述了《建設(shè)工程工程量清單計(jì)價(jià)規(guī)范》(GB50500-2013)相關(guān)內(nèi)容及清單計(jì)價(jià)的編制程序與各項(xiàng)費(fèi)用的組成；在計(jì)算沈陽市某高層住宅的工程造價(jià)的基礎(chǔ)上,利用價(jià)格調(diào)整公式系統(tǒng)地分析了影響造價(jià)的各項(xiàng)因素,研究得出人工費(fèi)和材料費(fèi)是影響工程造價(jià)的主要因素,鋼材和水泥是影響材料費(fèi)的主要因素；為了使業(yè)主和承包商對影響造價(jià)的主要因素能有合理的預(yù)測和造價(jià)控制,最后本文從中國歷年價(jià)格指數(shù)的走勢分析出發(fā),并考慮工程造價(jià)的主要影響因素,利用近十幾年的中國建筑業(yè)的價(jià)格指數(shù)建立了人工費(fèi)、材料費(fèi)、鋼材和水泥的灰色GM(1,1)預(yù)測模型,通過了精度檢驗(yàn)最終得到科學(xué)可靠的預(yù)測造價(jià)的指標(biāo)及公式,為各參與主體對實(shí)際工程的工程造價(jià)進(jìn)行合理控制提供依據(jù)。
[Abstract]:With the coming out of GB50500-2013, the pricing mode of bill of quantities has entered a new stage of fine management in the whole process. However, because of the characteristics of large amount of construction and long construction period in China, the elements of construction cost are easily affected by social environment, technical level, economic conditions and climate environment, etc. However, it is difficult for the contractor to control the cost and the owner to control the investment because of the large price fluctuation. This paper focuses on the dynamic analysis of the main influencing factors of the project cost, and obtains the reasonable cost prediction index and prediction formula. It is of great practical significance for contractors to control the project cost effectively in the construction project implementation stage. This paper first reviews the development course of engineering cost valuation mode at home and abroad, analyzes and compares the differences and connections between bill of quantities valuation and quota valuation, and points out the necessity of carrying out bill of quantities pricing in China. Bill of quantities valuation can truly realize the goal of engineering cost reform, which is conducive to the healthy development of the construction market. Secondly, it describes the related contents of GB50500-2013, the compilation procedure of list valuation and the composition of various expenses, on the basis of calculating the engineering cost of a high-rise residential building in Shenyang. The factors influencing the cost are analyzed systematically by using the price adjustment formula. It is concluded that the labor cost and the material cost are the main factors affecting the construction cost, and the steel and cement are the main factors affecting the material cost. In order to make the owner and contractor have reasonable forecast and cost control to the main factors that affect the cost, this paper analyzes the trend of the price index in the past years in China, and considers the main influencing factors of the project cost. Using the price index of Chinese construction industry in the past ten years, the grey GM (1 ~ 1) forecasting model of labor cost, material cost, steel and cement is established, and the index and formula of scientific and reliable prediction cost are obtained through precision test. It provides the basis for the participants to control the actual project cost reasonably.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：東北大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2014
【分類號】：TU723.3
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本文編號：2153474