本文關鍵詞： 風險管理 建設風險 層次分析法 模糊綜合評價法　出處：《中國海洋大學》2014年碩士論文　論文類型：學位論文

【摘要】：隨著環(huán)渤海地區(qū)汽車產業(yè)群日益壯大,標準廠房作為產業(yè)轉移的有效載體,其項目建設在提高土地集約利用水平,優(yōu)化產業(yè)結構,促進中小企業(yè)發(fā)展和推動產業(yè)集群發(fā)展方面起著重要作用,其項目建設具有十分重要的意義。但在市場競爭中面臨的不確定性存在于項目建設的各個環(huán)節(jié),使項目處于風險環(huán)境之中。建設項目中存在的環(huán)境風險、組織風險、經濟管理風險等往往不會作為一類風險或者一種風險單獨出現(xiàn),因此,對項目進行合理的風險識別、分析、評價與應對是必要的。論文圍繞汽車產業(yè)園標準廠房項目建設風險管理這一主線,針對項目建設過程中可能存在的各種不確定性因素,擬采取多學科知識和方法相交叉、定性和定量相結合的方法、模型化方法進行研究。論文緒論介紹了課題的研究背景、研究意義以及工程項目風險管理國內外研究現(xiàn)狀,從而提出本文的研究思路及研究內容,構建本文的研究框架。第一章詳述了標準廠房項目建設風險及風險管理的相關概念,以為之后的研究做鋪墊。第二章介紹標準廠房項目的基本情況,包括本項目建設背景、必要性,項目區(qū)位,項目建設內容、項目實施進度、投資情況、主要經濟指標等。第三章到第五章按照風險管理的一般流程,以標準廠房建設項目為實例,對各種風險進行識別、分析、評價,并以此提出相應的應對措施和監(jiān)控措施。第六章對全文的研究進行總結,并對進一步的研究方向提出展望。本文是建設項目風險管理的實例研究,它對天津專業(yè)汽車產業(yè)園標準廠房項目建設過程中存在的風險進行了管理研究,將專家調查法、層次分析法和模糊評價法引入建設項日風險評價中,使評價過程更具條理化和層次化。利用層次分析法的流程和步驟來確定本項目風險評價指標體系的指標權重,在此基礎上,結合模糊評價法對各個項目階段的風險進行評價并對項目風險進行綜合評價。其中評價過程中使用的指標權重及風險等級采用專家調查法確定
[Abstract]:With the increasing growth of automobile industry cluster around Bohai Sea, the standard factory building as an effective carrier of industrial transfer, its project construction is to improve the level of intensive land use, optimize the industrial structure, Promoting the development of small and medium-sized enterprises and promoting the development of industrial clusters plays an important role, and its project construction is of great significance. However, the uncertainty in the market competition exists in all aspects of project construction. The environmental risk, organizational risk, economic management risk and so on in the construction project do not appear as a kind of risk or a kind of risk alone, therefore, the reasonable risk identification and analysis of the project are carried out. It is necessary to evaluate and deal with it. This paper focuses on the main line of risk management in the construction of standard factory building in automobile industry park, aiming at various uncertain factors that may exist in the process of construction of the project, and proposes to adopt multi-disciplinary knowledge and methods. The introduction of this paper introduces the research background of the subject, the significance of the research and the domestic and foreign research status of the project risk management, and puts forward the research ideas and research contents of this paper. The first chapter elaborates the related concepts of the construction risk and risk management of the standard factory building project, and makes the groundwork for the later research. Chapter two introduces the basic situation of the standard factory building project, including the background of the project construction. Necessity, project location, project construction content, project implementation progress, investment situation, main economic indicators, etc. Chapters 3 to 5th take the standard plant construction project as an example according to the general process of risk management, To identify, analyze, evaluate and put forward the corresponding countermeasures and monitoring measures. Chapter 6th summarizes the full text of the study, This paper is a case study of risk management in construction projects. It studies the risks existing in the construction of standard factory buildings in Tianjin professional automobile industry park. AHP and fuzzy evaluation are introduced into the daily risk evaluation of construction items, which makes the evaluation process more orderly and hierarchical. The index weight of the risk evaluation index system of this project is determined by using the process and steps of AHP, on the basis of which, Combined with the fuzzy evaluation method, the risk of each project stage is evaluated and the project risk is evaluated synthetically. The index weight and risk grade used in the evaluation process are determined by the expert investigation method.
【學位授予單位】：中國海洋大學
【學位級別】：碩士
【學位授予年份】：2014
【分類號】：TU71

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