發(fā)布時間：2018-02-21 05:02

  本文關鍵詞： 蘋果 供給反應 Nerlove模型 價格　出處：《林業(yè)經(jīng)濟》2017年09期 　論文類型：期刊論文

【摘要】：文章根據(jù)1992~2014年中國7個蘋果主產(chǎn)省的面板數(shù)據(jù),應用Nerlove模型測算了蘋果生產(chǎn)的供給反應。研究發(fā)現(xiàn),蘋果種植面積受到前一期價格影響,但短期供給彈性較小,長期供給彈性較大;果農(nóng)種植決策受種植習慣影響較大;物質與服務費用及非農(nóng)就業(yè)機會對種植面積有顯著負影響;替代作物價格對蘋果種植面積影響不顯著。在此基礎上,提出了穩(wěn)定蘋果種植面積的對策建議。
[Abstract]:Based on the panel data of 7 major apple production provinces in China from 1992 to 2014, the paper calculates the supply response of apple production by using Nerlove model. It is found that the apple planting area is affected by the price in the previous period, but the short-term supply elasticity is relatively small. The long-term supply elasticity is greater; the planting decision of fruit farmers is influenced by planting habits; the material and service costs and non-agricultural employment opportunities have a significant negative effect on the planting area; the price of alternative crops has no significant effect on the apple planting area. On this basis, the price of alternative crops has no significant effect on the planting area of apple. The countermeasures and suggestions for stabilizing the planting area of apple were put forward.
【作者單位】： 青島農(nóng)業(yè)大學經(jīng)濟學院;
【基金】：青島農(nóng)業(yè)大學人文社科重點項目“山東蘋果價格波動對蘋果生產(chǎn)影響的研究”(編號:661/1115728);青島農(nóng)業(yè)大學高層次人才科研基金“山東蘋果價格波動及生產(chǎn)影響因素研究”(編號:663/1115712) 山東省軟科學項目“山東省蘋果生產(chǎn)模式改革的影響因素研究”(編號:2013RKB01044)
【分類號】：F323.7

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