本文關(guān)鍵詞：柬埔寨金融結(jié)構(gòu)與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長關(guān)系研究　出處：《廣西大學(xué)》2017年博士論文　論文類型：學(xué)位論文

  更多相關(guān)文章： 金融結(jié)構(gòu) 經(jīng)濟(jì)增長 產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu) 柬埔寨

【摘要】：金融結(jié)構(gòu)和經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的關(guān)系始終是金融理論研究和實(shí)證分析的熱點(diǎn)。一方面,金融結(jié)構(gòu)優(yōu)化是促進(jìn)宏觀經(jīng)濟(jì)增長的有效手段,它對宏觀經(jīng)濟(jì)增長的影響體現(xiàn)在提高社會生產(chǎn)部門的資本配置效應(yīng)和催生科技進(jìn)步和促進(jìn)產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)優(yōu)化升級兩個方面。另一方面,產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)的優(yōu)化升級能夠通過提高社會生產(chǎn)率和增加社會投資總量來促進(jìn)社會經(jīng)濟(jì)的增長,進(jìn)而使得金融結(jié)構(gòu)與金融總量發(fā)生改變。因?yàn)楫a(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)優(yōu)化升級所帶來的變化自然產(chǎn)生了對新型金融機(jī)構(gòu)、金融產(chǎn)品、金融交易機(jī)制以及金融市場的需求。新的金融特征匯集在一起,就促使金融系統(tǒng)內(nèi)部進(jìn)行升級與重新分工,從而產(chǎn)生新的金融結(jié)構(gòu)。隨著全球金融市場的迅速發(fā)展和經(jīng)濟(jì)的增長,二者之間的相互促進(jìn)作用得到顯著提升。學(xué)者們也對此進(jìn)行了深入的理論和實(shí)證研究。關(guān)于金融結(jié)構(gòu)與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長的理論分析方面,初期的金融發(fā)展理論將金融系統(tǒng)視為經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展與產(chǎn)業(yè)變遷的外生變量,以此視角來分析金融系統(tǒng)發(fā)展與宏觀經(jīng)濟(jì)增長的關(guān)系。此后,又有一些研究學(xué)者將金融系統(tǒng)納入到社會宏觀經(jīng)濟(jì)增長模型之中,而使其成為內(nèi)生變量,通過這種方式來研究金融系統(tǒng)與宏觀經(jīng)濟(jì)增長二者之間的關(guān)系�；诙叩睦碚摲治�,學(xué)者們也紛紛用實(shí)證的手段來驗(yàn)證理論分析的正確性。柬埔寨作為東盟較為落后的發(fā)展中國家,經(jīng)濟(jì)和金融發(fā)展都相對落后。近年來柬埔寨經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展速度有所加快,金融結(jié)構(gòu)得益于柬埔寨政府進(jìn)行的一系列金融改革也得到了一定的改善。由此,柬埔寨逐漸形成了以銀行為主導(dǎo)、小微金融作為補(bǔ)充,證券業(yè)和保險業(yè)共同發(fā)展的金融市場體系。從主觀經(jīng)驗(yàn)上來看,柬埔寨金融市場的發(fā)展在一定程度上為其經(jīng)濟(jì)增長提供了金融支持,而經(jīng)濟(jì)增長也在一定程度上為金融改革奠定了基礎(chǔ)和提供了需求導(dǎo)向。但是,金融結(jié)構(gòu)是否合理,金融支持是否已經(jīng)滿足了經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的需要,以及經(jīng)濟(jì)增長是否對柬埔寨金融結(jié)構(gòu)的優(yōu)化發(fā)揮了促進(jìn)作用等等這些問題還需要通過實(shí)證檢驗(yàn)的方式加以驗(yàn)證。本文即是在這一背景下展開對柬埔寨金融結(jié)構(gòu)和經(jīng)濟(jì)增長關(guān)系的研究的。論文遵循了理論分析—現(xiàn)狀考察—實(shí)證檢驗(yàn)—政策建議的邏輯框架展開研究:在金融結(jié)構(gòu)與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長關(guān)系的理論分析中,重點(diǎn)梳理了與此相關(guān)的理論。一是從金融的經(jīng)濟(jì)功能、金融發(fā)展與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長的理論模型探討了金融發(fā)展與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長的理論分析;二是從金融結(jié)構(gòu)的概念與分類、銀行主導(dǎo)金融結(jié)構(gòu)與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長、市場主導(dǎo)金融結(jié)構(gòu)與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長、適應(yīng)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長的最優(yōu)金融結(jié)構(gòu)理論四個方面探討了金融結(jié)構(gòu)與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長理論;三是從金融結(jié)構(gòu)對產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)的作用機(jī)理、產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)優(yōu)化對金融結(jié)構(gòu)的作用機(jī)理兩個方面探討了金融結(jié)構(gòu)與產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)優(yōu)化升級、科學(xué)技術(shù)發(fā)展的理論。在柬埔寨經(jīng)濟(jì)增長與金融發(fā)展現(xiàn)狀的考察中,一是考察柬埔寨的經(jīng)濟(jì)增長。梳理了包括柬埔寨經(jīng)濟(jì)增長現(xiàn)狀、柬埔寨經(jīng)濟(jì)增長與外部經(jīng)濟(jì)前景、柬埔寨三次產(chǎn)業(yè)發(fā)展和通貨膨脹狀況、財政發(fā)展現(xiàn)狀以及貿(mào)易與收支平衡五個方面的發(fā)展情況。二是考察柬埔寨金融發(fā)展現(xiàn)狀,分別從銀行業(yè)、證券業(yè)以及保險業(yè)進(jìn)行了考察。在柬埔寨金融結(jié)構(gòu)與產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)關(guān)系的研究中,結(jié)合柬埔寨的產(chǎn)業(yè)發(fā)展和金融數(shù)據(jù),通過典型相關(guān)分析和投入產(chǎn)出分析對柬埔寨的金融結(jié)構(gòu)與產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)兩者之間的關(guān)系進(jìn)行了實(shí)證分析。根據(jù)實(shí)證研究結(jié)果發(fā)現(xiàn):微觀金融結(jié)構(gòu)越優(yōu)化,對于柬埔寨的農(nóng)業(yè)和服務(wù)業(yè)的優(yōu)化越有利。綜合來看,商業(yè)銀行與專業(yè)銀行的資產(chǎn)結(jié)構(gòu)比、商業(yè)銀行與專業(yè)銀行的存款結(jié)構(gòu)比對于柬埔寨三次產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)優(yōu)化具有重要作用,而外資銀行與本國銀行的資產(chǎn)結(jié)構(gòu)比對于柬埔寨三次產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)優(yōu)化的作用有限。在柬埔寨金融結(jié)構(gòu)與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長關(guān)系的實(shí)證研究中,結(jié)合柬埔寨的經(jīng)濟(jì)金融數(shù)據(jù),通過主成分分析法和對時間序列數(shù)據(jù)的回歸分析對柬埔寨的金融結(jié)構(gòu)與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長兩者之間的相關(guān)性進(jìn)行了實(shí)證分析。根據(jù)實(shí)證研究結(jié)果發(fā)現(xiàn):對柬埔寨金融結(jié)構(gòu)有比較顯著的影響的經(jīng)濟(jì)變量為GDP。而柬埔寨金融結(jié)構(gòu)對經(jīng)濟(jì)增長則在很多方面發(fā)揮著重要的影響�？偟膩砜�,柬埔寨金融結(jié)構(gòu)對經(jīng)濟(jì)增長的影響更加顯著,而經(jīng)濟(jì)活動對于金融結(jié)構(gòu)的影響則不是很明顯。在調(diào)整和優(yōu)化柬埔寨金融結(jié)構(gòu)的政策建議中,一是探討了調(diào)整和優(yōu)化柬埔寨金融結(jié)構(gòu)的目標(biāo)、基本原則及思路。二是提出了調(diào)整和優(yōu)化柬埔寨金融結(jié)構(gòu)的路徑及模式選擇,包括發(fā)展模式選擇、動力模式選擇以及開放模式選擇。三是提出了調(diào)整和優(yōu)化柬埔寨金融結(jié)構(gòu)的具體建議:第一,統(tǒng)籌規(guī)劃,形成系統(tǒng)性發(fā)展規(guī)劃;第二,加強(qiáng)金融基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施建設(shè);第三,優(yōu)化金融機(jī)構(gòu)結(jié)構(gòu);第四,構(gòu)建金融市場結(jié)構(gòu);第五,其他保障措施。
[Abstract]:The relationship between financial structure and economic development is always the hotspot analysis of financial theory and empirical research. On the one hand, financial structure optimization is an effective means to promote economic growth, it reflects the influence on macro economic growth in improving the capital allocation effect of social production and the birth of scientific and technological progress and promote the two aspects of optimization and upgrading of industrial structure. On the other hand, the optimization and upgrading of industrial structure can promote the growth of social economy by improving social productivity and increase the total social investment, and the financial structure and the total change. Because of changes brought by the upgrading of the industrial structure have on the new financial institutions, financial products, financial transactions and financial market demand mechanism the financial characteristics of the new together, will promote the internal financial system upgrades and re division, resulting in a new Financial structure. With the rapid development of global financial markets and economic growth, between the two interaction has been significantly improved. Scholars have conducted theoretical and empirical research deeply. On the financial structure and economic growth theory, financial development theory at the beginning of the financial system as the exogenous variable of economic development with the industry changes, from this perspective to analyze the relationship between development and economic growth in the financial system. Since then, some scholars study the financial system into the social and economic growth model, the endogenous variables, in this way to study the relationship between financial system and economic growth of two. Based on the two theories, scholars have used empirical methods to verify the correctness of the theoretical analysis. Kampuchea as ASEAN is relatively backward developing countries, The economic and financial development are relatively backward. Kampuchea economic development accelerated in recent years, a series of financial reform of the financial structure by the government in Kampuchea has also been improved. Thus, Kampuchea gradually formed a bank dominated, small and micro finance as a supplement, the securities industry and insurance industry common development of the financial market system from the subjective experience of Kampuchea, the development of the financial market to a certain extent, the economic growth has provided financial support and economic growth to a certain extent for the financial reform has laid the foundation and provided the demand. However, the financial structure is reasonable, whether the financial support has to meet the needs of economic development. And whether the economic growth on the optimization of financial structure in Kampuchea played a role in promoting and so on. These issues also need to be verified through empirical test in this way. This paper is to study the relationship between Kampuchea financial structure and economic growth under this background. This paper follows the theoretical analysis and investigation on the present situation of logical framework of the empirical test and policy suggestions of the research: in the theoretical analysis of the relationship between financial structure and economic growth, key combed the related theory. From the economic function of finance, the theoretical model of financial development and economic growth on the analysis of financial development and economic growth theory; two is from the concept of financial structure and classification, bank oriented financial structure and economic growth, market leading financial structure and economic growth, the four aspects of the economic growth theory of optimal financial structure is discussed the theory of financial structure and economic growth of three from the adaptation; mechanism of financial structure on industrial structure, optimizing industrial structure two aspects of mechanism of financial structure is discussed The financial structure and the upgrading of the industrial structure, the development of science and technology in Kampuchea. The theory of economic growth and financial development present situation, one is to study the economic growth in Kampuchea. Combing the current situation of Kampuchea economic growth, Kampuchea's economic growth and external economic prospects, Kampuchea three industry development and the situation of inflation, the current development situation of financial development and the trade balance in five aspects. The two is to investigate the current situation of Kampuchea financial development, respectively from the banking industry, securities industry and insurance industry were investigated. In the study on the relationship between Kampuchea financial structure and industrial structure in Kampuchea, combined with industrial development and financial data, through canonical correlation analysis and analysis of the relationship between financial input and output both the structure and industrial structure in Kampuchea are analyzed empirically. According to the results of empirical research: Micro Finance The structure optimization, optimization for Kampuchea agriculture and service industry is more favorable. In general, the asset structure of commercial banks and specialized banks than commercial banks and specialized banks deposit structure plays an important role in Kampuchea three times in the optimization of industrial structure, asset structure and foreign banks and domestic banks than for Kampuchea three times the role of the industrial structure optimization is limited. In the empirical research the relationship between financial structure and economic growth in Kampuchea, with the combination of economic and financial data of Kampuchea, through the principal component analysis and regression analysis of time series data correlation between financial structure and economic growth in Kampuchea both for the empirical analysis. According to the results of empirical research found that: a significant impact on Kampuchea's financial structure and economic variables for GDP. Kampuchea financial structure on economic growth in many aspects. Playing an important influence. In general, the Kampuchea financial structure has more significant impact on economic growth, and economic impact on the financial structure is not very obvious. The adjustment and optimization of Kampuchea financial structure policy recommendations, one is to discuss the adjustment and optimization of Kampuchea financial structure, basic principle and thinking is two. Put forward the adjustment and optimization of path and mode of financial structure in Kampuchea, including the development of mode selection, power mode and open mode selection. The three is to put forward the adjustment and optimization of Kampuchea financial structure specific suggestions: first, overall planning, systematic development planning; second, to strengthen the financial infrastructure; third, optimize the structure of financial institutions; fourth, establish the structure of financial market; fifth, other security measures.

【學(xué)位授予單位】：廣西大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】：博士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2017
【分類號】：F831;F133.5
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本文編號：1409419