本文關(guān)鍵詞：我國區(qū)域經(jīng)濟增長收斂性和知識溢出效應(yīng)檢驗　出處：《吉林大學(xué)》2016年博士論文　論文類型：學(xué)位論文

  更多相關(guān)文章： 區(qū)域經(jīng)濟 改革開放 知識溢出 經(jīng)濟收斂 總產(chǎn)出增長率

【摘要】：隨著我國改革開放程度的不斷加深和社會主義市場經(jīng)濟體制的逐步確立,我國當(dāng)前的經(jīng)濟運行正向著與國際接軌的方向發(fā)展,可以說我國的經(jīng)濟體制改革取得了舉世矚目的巨大成功,但在成功的背后,卻隱藏著諸多亟需解決的問題。其中一個最為嚴重的問題就是在改革開放過程中為加速改革開放的步伐、盡快建立起市場經(jīng)濟體制,黨中央采取的各種階段性的區(qū)域經(jīng)濟發(fā)展政策進而導(dǎo)致的區(qū)域經(jīng)濟發(fā)展不平衡。這種區(qū)域經(jīng)濟發(fā)展的不平衡已經(jīng)嚴重阻礙了我國經(jīng)濟的高速發(fā)展和綜合國力的提升。運用西方經(jīng)濟學(xué)中有關(guān)“經(jīng)濟收斂”的理論去衡量我國當(dāng)前區(qū)域經(jīng)濟發(fā)展的不平衡狀況、從“經(jīng)濟收斂”的角度去分析影響我國各區(qū)域間經(jīng)濟均衡發(fā)展的各種因素,以及如何通過調(diào)整這些因素來達到促進區(qū)域經(jīng)濟協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展的目的已成為我國當(dāng)前宏觀經(jīng)濟研究的熱點。本文以對區(qū)域經(jīng)濟收斂的研究為基礎(chǔ),首先運用傳統(tǒng)的經(jīng)濟收斂測度方法(?-收斂檢驗、絕對?-收斂檢驗、條件?-收斂檢驗)對在不考慮到知識溢出影響情況下我國各區(qū)域間經(jīng)濟增長的收斂情況進行了檢驗,檢驗結(jié)果發(fā)現(xiàn)我國在1978-2012年這段時期各區(qū)域(省)間的經(jīng)濟增長存在弱收斂態(tài)勢。隨后對當(dāng)前西方經(jīng)濟理論中有關(guān)知識溢出的理論進行了系統(tǒng)、詳細的闡述并將其應(yīng)用到我國,對我國各區(qū)域間的知識溢出現(xiàn)狀進行了分析。接著以總產(chǎn)出增長率的變化為起點,經(jīng)區(qū)域間知識溢出的變化過程過渡到考慮到知識溢出的總產(chǎn)出增長率變化,根據(jù)不同前提假設(shè)構(gòu)建了三類考慮到知識溢出的總產(chǎn)出增長率模型,并應(yīng)用實際數(shù)據(jù)對我國各區(qū)域間知識溢出對總產(chǎn)出增長率的影響情況進行了實證檢驗。最后利用“方差分解技術(shù)”將知識溢出與經(jīng)濟收斂有機地聯(lián)系在一起,分別從“因素分解分析”和“時間序列分析”兩個角度應(yīng)用1978—2012年的實際經(jīng)濟數(shù)據(jù)對我國各區(qū)域間知識溢出對經(jīng)濟收斂的影響效應(yīng)進行了實證檢驗。檢驗結(jié)果發(fā)現(xiàn)與影響經(jīng)濟收斂的其它因素相比區(qū)域間的知識溢出在決定我國各區(qū)域間經(jīng)濟增長情況呈現(xiàn)收斂抑或發(fā)散態(tài)勢的過程中僅起次要的輔助作用,即:我國各區(qū)域間存在著明顯的知識溢出障礙。實證過程所用分析方法主要包括:?-收斂檢驗、?-收斂檢驗、空間計量分析、面板數(shù)據(jù)模型計量分析、時間序列分析以及因素分解分析。本文各章主要內(nèi)容如下:第一章是緒論部分。首先介紹了本文的選題背景、選題意義、研究方法以及國內(nèi)外關(guān)于這一領(lǐng)域的研究現(xiàn)狀,其次是本文研究的獨特之處和可能的創(chuàng)新,最后給出論文的結(jié)構(gòu)安排和研究框架。第二章是對我國區(qū)域經(jīng)濟發(fā)展現(xiàn)狀的分析。主要分析了我國在建國以后實施的各項區(qū)域經(jīng)濟發(fā)展政策以及當(dāng)前重點實施的各項區(qū)域經(jīng)濟發(fā)展政策。第三章是對我國各區(qū)域(省)間經(jīng)濟增長收斂情況的測度,并以此作為后續(xù)分析的基礎(chǔ)。后續(xù)對我國各區(qū)域間知識溢出情況的分析以及知識溢出對經(jīng)濟收斂影響的分析都是以對我國各區(qū)域間經(jīng)濟收斂情況的分析為基礎(chǔ)而展開的。在這一部分中本文分別采用?-收斂檢驗、絕對?-收斂檢驗、條件?-收斂檢驗以及考慮到空間影響下的?-收斂檢驗對我國各區(qū)域(省)間經(jīng)濟增長的收斂情況進行了測度,所得結(jié)論不盡相同。第四章是對知識溢出理論全面、系統(tǒng)的闡述,并以此作為后續(xù)研究的基礎(chǔ)。與知識溢出相關(guān)的基礎(chǔ)理論主要包括單邊知識溢出和雙邊知識溢出兩個方向。但無論是單邊知識溢出還是雙邊知識溢出都認為:影響區(qū)域知識溢出的全部因素可歸結(jié)為三個方面:一是知識流入方,二是知識流出方,三是知識流入方與知識流出方的交流。第五章是對我國各區(qū)域(省)間知識溢出現(xiàn)狀的分析,并以此作為對前一章“知識溢出的理論基礎(chǔ)”的實證研究和對后續(xù)“我國各區(qū)域間知識溢出對經(jīng)濟收斂影響”研究的基礎(chǔ)。在這一章中首先是對我國各區(qū)域間是否存在知識溢出情況的存在性檢驗。具體的檢驗方法包括圖檢驗和莫蘭指數(shù)(Moran’s I)檢驗,檢驗結(jié)果一致認為:我國各區(qū)域間存在知識溢出。在經(jīng)過檢驗確定存在知識溢出的情況下,本章的第二部分是對我國各區(qū)域(省)間知識溢出數(shù)據(jù)的計算,具體計算過程包括應(yīng)用Verspagen(1991)與Canel(2001)給出的知識溢出模型進行指標構(gòu)建以及應(yīng)用SAS 9.0軟件編寫計算程序并對計算所得知識溢出數(shù)據(jù)的有效性進行了檢驗。隨后的“描述性統(tǒng)計分析”、“面板數(shù)據(jù)分析”都是針對這一數(shù)據(jù)的分析。在本章中還應(yīng)用面板數(shù)據(jù)模型計量分析方法分析了我國各區(qū)域間知識溢出對知識生產(chǎn)的影響并以此作為對我國各區(qū)域間知識溢出現(xiàn)狀分析的深入。第六章是對我國各區(qū)域間知識溢出對總產(chǎn)出增長率影響的分析,并以此作為本文核心內(nèi)容“我國各區(qū)域間知識溢出對經(jīng)濟收斂影響”分析的過渡。在本章中首先在理論上從單純的總產(chǎn)出增長率變化過程經(jīng)區(qū)域間知識溢出的變化過程過渡到考慮到知識溢出的總產(chǎn)出增長率變化過程上。隨后通過構(gòu)建三類考慮到知識溢出的總產(chǎn)出增長率模型、應(yīng)用面板數(shù)據(jù)模型計量分析方法對我國各區(qū)域(省)間知識溢出對經(jīng)濟總產(chǎn)出增長率的影響進行了實證檢驗。檢驗結(jié)果顯示,區(qū)域知識溢出在提高我國各區(qū)域總產(chǎn)出增長率上所起到的作用很小,這也正揭示了我國各區(qū)域(省)間在知識溢出的流動上存在障礙。也是導(dǎo)致我國區(qū)域經(jīng)濟發(fā)展不平衡、落后地區(qū)與發(fā)達地區(qū)經(jīng)濟水平差距大、落后地區(qū)經(jīng)濟增長緩慢的一個主要原因。第七章是本文的最后部分——對我國各區(qū)域間知識溢出對經(jīng)濟收斂影響的分析。本章以第六章的分析為基礎(chǔ),可以說是在第六章基礎(chǔ)上繼續(xù)進行的分析,利用第六章所構(gòu)建的三類考慮到知識溢出的總產(chǎn)出增長率變化模型通過方差分解技術(shù)將其過渡到“經(jīng)濟收斂”問題上,同時解決了以區(qū)域個體為研究對象的知識溢出與以區(qū)域整體為研究對象的經(jīng)濟收斂之間的融合問題。隨后從“因素分解分析”和“時間序列分析”兩個角度考察了我國各區(qū)域間知識溢出對經(jīng)濟收斂的影響效應(yīng)。分析結(jié)果顯示,與其它影響因素相比吸收外來知識溢出對我國在1978—2012年期間各區(qū)域(省)經(jīng)濟增長斂散情況的影響作用是較小的,它不足以成為決定我國各區(qū)域(間)經(jīng)濟增長呈現(xiàn)出收斂抑或發(fā)散態(tài)勢的主要原因,僅起次要的輔助作用。決定我國各區(qū)域(省)的經(jīng)濟增長情況在1978—2012年期間呈現(xiàn)出收斂或是發(fā)散態(tài)勢的主要影響因素為:1、區(qū)域自主知識研發(fā),2、區(qū)域勞動力投入增長率,3、區(qū)域資本投入增長率。
[Abstract]:With the gradual establishment of China's reform and opening up degree deepening and the socialist market economic system, China's current economic operation is in line with international standards in the direction of development, it can be said that China's economic system reform has achieved great success in attracting worldwide attention, but behind the success, but hidden many problems to be solved. One of the most serious problems is to speed up the pace of reform and opening up and establish a market economic system as soon as possible in the process of reform and opening up, and the phased regional economic development policies adopted by the Central Committee of the CPC lead to unbalanced regional economic development. The imbalance of this regional economic development has seriously hindered the rapid development of China's economy and the promotion of comprehensive national strength. To analyze the various factors affecting China's regional economic balanced development of the use of "economic convergence" theory in western economics to measure China's current regional economic development imbalance, from "economic convergence" point of view, and how to adjust these factors to achieve the purpose of promoting the coordinated development of regional economy has become a hot topic the current macroeconomic research in china. Based on the study of regional economic convergence, first use the traditional method to measure the economic convergence (? - convergence test, absolute convergence test, -?? - convergence test) was carried out on the test without taking into account the knowledge spillover effect of China's regional economic growth convergence condition, test results I found the country in various regions during this period 1978-2012 years (province) economic growth between the weak convergence trend. Then, the theories of knowledge spillover in western economic theories are systematically elaborated, and applied to China, and the current situation of knowledge spillovers in different regions in China is analyzed. Then the total output growth rate changes as the starting point, the change process of the transition of regional knowledge spillovers to consider the change of the total output of knowledge spillover growth rate, according to the different assumptions of establishing three types of taking into account the total output growth rate model of knowledge spillover, and the practical application of data empirical test on the impact of the regional in our country the knowledge spillover on total output growth rate. Finally, using variance decomposition technology knowledge spillover and economic convergence together, separately from the "factor decomposition analysis and time sequence analysis, two aspects of application of 1978 - 2012 the actual economic data on the effect of knowledge spillover effect on China's regional economic convergence between the empirical test. The test results showed that only play a supporting role, the secondary process compared with other factors affecting the economic convergence of regional knowledge spillovers in determining each China's regional economic growth is convergence and divergence trend that China's regional barriers exist between knowledge spillover obvious. The analysis methods used in the empirical process mainly include: - convergence test, - convergence test, spatial econometric analysis, panel data model econometric analysis, time series analysis and factor decomposition analysis. The main contents of the chapters are as follows: the first chapter is the introduction part. First of all, we introduce the background, significance and research methods of this topic, as well as the current research situation in this field at home and abroad. Secondly, the uniqueness and possible innovation of this research. Finally, we give the structure and research framework of this paper. The second chapter is an analysis of the current situation of regional economic development in China. This paper mainly analyzes the regional economic development policies implemented in China after the founding of the people's Republic of China and the various regional economic development policies which are mainly implemented at present. The third chapter is the measure of economic growth convergence between various regions (provinces) in China, which is the basis of the follow-up analysis. The subsequent analysis of knowledge spillovers among regions in China and the analysis of the impact of knowledge spillovers on economic convergence are based on the analysis of regional economic convergence in China. In this part, we use the convergence test, the absolute convergence test, the conditional convergence test and the convergence test under the influence of space to measure the convergence of regional economic growth in China. The fourth chapter is a comprehensive and systematic exposition of the theory of knowledge spillover, which is the basis of the follow-up study. The basic theory related to knowledge spillover mainly includes two directions: single side knowledge spillover and bilateral knowledge spillover. But either unilateral knowledge spillovers or bilateral knowledge spillovers all think that all factors that influence regional knowledge spillovers can be reduced to three aspects: one is knowledge influx, the two is knowledge outflow, and the three is knowledge inflow and knowledge outflow. The fifth chapter is the analysis of the current situation of knowledge spillovers among different provinces in China, which is the basis for the research on the theoretical basis of knowledge spillover in the previous chapter and the follow-up study of the impact of knowledge spillovers on economic convergence in different regions in China. In this chapter, the first is a test of the existence of knowledge spillovers in each region of our country. The specific testing methods include graph test and Moran index (Moran 's I) test. The results agree that there is knowledge spillover between various regions in China. After the test confirms the presence of knowledge spillover under the situation, the second part of this chapter is on China's regional (provincial) calculation of knowledge spillovers among data, the specific calculation process including the application of Verspagen (1991) and Canel (2001) model of knowledge spillover are indicators to construct and application of SAS 9 software program and the validity of the calculated data of the tested knowledge spillovers. The subsequent "descriptive statistical analysis" and "panel data analysis" are all analysis of this data. In this chapter, the econometric analysis method of panel data model is also applied
【學(xué)位授予單位】：吉林大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】：博士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2016
【分類號】：F124.1
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本文編號：1347230