中國對日本出口貿(mào)易隱含碳排放及其影響因素分析
本文選題:隱含碳排放 + 中國對日本出口貿(mào)易; 參考:《東北師范大學(xué)》2017年碩士論文
【摘要】:21世紀(jì)以來,各國在注重經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的同時也越來越注重能源消耗、環(huán)境污染和碳排放問題,而日益頻繁的貿(mào)易往來和隱含碳排放的關(guān)系也受到越來越多組織及個人的關(guān)注。中國和日本作為亞洲地區(qū)的重要經(jīng)濟(jì)體,且經(jīng)濟(jì)貿(mào)易關(guān)系態(tài)勢良好,中國對日本出口貿(mào)易額逐年增加。目前,中國是世界上最大的碳排放國之一,其中很大一部分碳排放的增加是由于出口貿(mào)易,為日本等其他主要貿(mào)易伙伴制造商品,因此測算中國對日本出口貿(mào)易隱含碳排放量和探究其影響因素有重要的意義。本文首先根據(jù)2000-2014年中國投入產(chǎn)出表、各部門能源消耗表、中國對日本出口貿(mào)易額的行業(yè)部門分類,重新對各表中行業(yè)部門進(jìn)行整合分類,保證統(tǒng)一口徑。再利用投入產(chǎn)出模型,計算2000-2014年中國對日本出口貿(mào)易隱含碳排放量。結(jié)果表明,在2000-2014年期間,中國對日本出口貿(mào)易隱含碳排放總體呈現(xiàn)上升趨勢,且隱含碳排放壓力主要集中在高污染、高耗能、低附加值的5個行業(yè)部門,分別是,(14)其他制造業(yè)、(12)通用、專用設(shè)備制造業(yè)、(4)紡織業(yè)、(7)石油加工、煉焦及核燃料加工業(yè)、(8)化學(xué)工業(yè)。然后根據(jù)建立的結(jié)構(gòu)分解分析模型將總效應(yīng)分解為技術(shù)效應(yīng)、結(jié)構(gòu)效應(yīng)和規(guī)模效應(yīng),探究各個效應(yīng)對總效應(yīng)的影響作用及強(qiáng)度。結(jié)果表明,規(guī)模效應(yīng)相較于其他兩個因素,其影響強(qiáng)度最大,且規(guī)模效應(yīng)的增加會促進(jìn)隱含碳排放的增加;結(jié)構(gòu)效應(yīng)的影響強(qiáng)度最小,總體呈現(xiàn)促進(jìn)隱含碳排放的作用;而技術(shù)效應(yīng)會抑制隱含碳排放的增加。根據(jù)本文的主要結(jié)論,提出具有可行性的政策建議。
[Abstract]:Since the 21st century, countries pay more and more attention to energy consumption, environmental pollution and carbon emissions, while more and more organizations and individuals pay attention to the relationship between trade and implied carbon emissions. As an important economy in Asia, China and Japan have good economic and trade relations, and the trade volume between China and Japan is increasing year by year. At present, China is one of the largest carbon emitters in the world, and much of the increase in carbon emissions is due to export trade, making goods for other major trading partners such as Japan. Therefore, it is of great significance to estimate China's implied carbon emissions from Japan's export trade and to explore its influencing factors. Firstly, according to the input and output tables of China from 2000 to 2014, the energy consumption tables of various sectors, and the industrial sector classification of China's export trade to Japan, this paper reclassifies the industry sectors in each table to ensure a unified caliber. Based on the input-output model, the implied carbon emissions from China's export trade to Japan from 2000 to 2014 are calculated. The results show that the implied carbon emissions from China's export trade to Japan showed an overall upward trend during the period 2000-2014, and the pressure of implied carbon emissions was mainly concentrated in five sectors with high pollution, high energy consumption and low added value. The special equipment manufacturing industry is the textile industry, the oil processing, coking and nuclear fuel processing industries are 8) the chemical industry. Then according to the established structural decomposition analysis model, the total effect is decomposed into technical effect, structural effect and scale effect, and the influence and intensity of each effect on the total effect are explored. The results show that compared with the other two factors, the scale effect is the most powerful, and the increase of the scale effect will promote the increase of the implied carbon emission, while the structural effect is the least, and the effect of the whole is the role of promoting the implied carbon emission. The technological effect will inhibit the increase in implied carbon emissions. According to the main conclusions of this paper, some feasible policy suggestions are put forward.
【學(xué)位授予單位】:東北師范大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】:碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】:2017
【分類號】:X196;F752.62
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