發(fā)布時(shí)間：2018-01-09 05:18

  本文關(guān)鍵詞：我國(guó)環(huán)境規(guī)制對(duì)碳排放強(qiáng)度影響的實(shí)證研究　出處：《湖北師范大學(xué)》2017年碩士論文　論文類型：學(xué)位論文

  更多相關(guān)文章： 環(huán)境規(guī)制 碳排放強(qiáng)度 演變過(guò)程 VECM模型

【摘要】：控制碳排放是全球面臨的共同難題,已經(jīng)引起了世界絕大多數(shù)國(guó)家的關(guān)注,減少能源消費(fèi)、倡導(dǎo)綠色經(jīng)濟(jì)和低碳發(fā)展已經(jīng)成為了共識(shí)。我國(guó)二氧化碳排放量則穩(wěn)居世界第一,碳排放控制工作任重道遠(yuǎn)。環(huán)境規(guī)制是遏制碳排放量的有效手段,深入揭示我國(guó)環(huán)境規(guī)制對(duì)碳排放強(qiáng)度的影響機(jī)理,有助于我國(guó)政府優(yōu)化環(huán)境規(guī)制政策,更好地發(fā)揮“倒逼減排”效應(yīng),走低碳發(fā)展的道路。本文首先分析了我國(guó)30個(gè)省份1999-2014年各省份二氧化碳排放量和碳排放強(qiáng)度的演變過(guò)程,在此基礎(chǔ)上對(duì)碳排放強(qiáng)度和環(huán)境規(guī)制進(jìn)行協(xié)整檢驗(yàn)分析,并且使用誤差修正模型和廣義脈沖響應(yīng)函數(shù)對(duì)環(huán)境規(guī)制對(duì)碳排放強(qiáng)度以及技術(shù)進(jìn)步的沖擊路徑進(jìn)行模擬。研究發(fā)現(xiàn),我國(guó)目前環(huán)境規(guī)制與環(huán)碳排放強(qiáng)度之間存在長(zhǎng)期的均衡關(guān)系,環(huán)境規(guī)制對(duì)碳排放強(qiáng)度有正向的沖擊,但沖擊持續(xù)的時(shí)間較短,且存在滯后期。同時(shí),在我國(guó)環(huán)境規(guī)制具有倒逼減排效果,但是不會(huì)立即生效,存在一到兩年的滯后期,即我國(guó)所謂的“綠色悖論”并不存在,但是環(huán)境規(guī)制對(duì)技術(shù)進(jìn)步的影響并不顯著。但是加強(qiáng)環(huán)境規(guī)制的沖擊,技術(shù)進(jìn)步會(huì)在三年之后有明顯的上升,故而我國(guó)由于環(huán)境規(guī)制的力度不夠大未產(chǎn)生波特效應(yīng)。最后,基于環(huán)境規(guī)制與經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展平衡的角度,提出優(yōu)化環(huán)境規(guī)制、降低碳排放強(qiáng)度的政策建議。
[Abstract]:Controlling carbon emissions is a common problem in the world, which has attracted the attention of most countries in the world to reduce energy consumption. Advocating green economy and low-carbon development has become a consensus. China's carbon dioxide emissions are ranked first in the world, carbon emissions control work is a long way to go. Environmental regulation is an effective means to curb carbon emissions. It is helpful for our government to optimize the environmental regulation policy and bring into play the effect of "forcing emission reduction" by revealing the influence mechanism of environmental regulation on carbon emission intensity in China. This paper first analyzes the evolution process of carbon dioxide emissions and carbon emission intensity in 30 provinces of China from 1999 to 2014. On this basis, the carbon emission intensity and environmental regulation are analyzed by cointegration test. And the error correction model and generalized impulse response function are used to simulate the impact path of environmental regulation on carbon emission intensity and technological progress. There is a long-term equilibrium relationship between environmental regulation and cyclic carbon emission intensity in China. Environmental regulation has a positive impact on carbon emission intensity, but the impact duration is short, and there is a lag. In China, environmental regulation has the effect of forcing emission reduction, but will not immediately take effect, there is a lag of one to two years, that is, the so-called "Green Paradox" does not exist. However, the impact of environmental regulation on technological progress is not significant, but the impact of strengthening environmental regulation, technological progress will be significantly increased in three years. Therefore, because the environmental regulation is not strong enough in our country, there is no Porter effect. Finally, based on the balance between environmental regulation and economic development, some policy suggestions on optimizing environmental regulation and reducing carbon emission intensity are put forward.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：湖北師范大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2017
【分類號(hào)】：X32

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