碳價(jià)格對(duì)我國(guó)工業(yè)部門競(jìng)爭(zhēng)力及減排效應(yīng)
發(fā)布時(shí)間:2018-01-07 00:30
本文關(guān)鍵詞:碳價(jià)格對(duì)我國(guó)工業(yè)部門競(jìng)爭(zhēng)力及減排效應(yīng) 出處:《科技管理研究》2017年07期 論文類型:期刊論文
更多相關(guān)文章: 碳價(jià)格 投入產(chǎn)出分析 競(jìng)爭(zhēng)力影響 減排效果
【摘要】:通過(guò)構(gòu)建擴(kuò)展的投入產(chǎn)出模型,模擬評(píng)價(jià)中國(guó)各部門因碳價(jià)格引入所承受的短期影響,并量化評(píng)估為緩解能源密集型和貿(mào)易暴露型部門的競(jìng)爭(zhēng)力影響所采取的補(bǔ)償減緩措施的效應(yīng)。分析表明,短期內(nèi)引入與發(fā)達(dá)國(guó)家相同水平碳價(jià)格會(huì)對(duì)我國(guó)產(chǎn)業(yè)競(jìng)爭(zhēng)力產(chǎn)生嚴(yán)重?fù)p害,能源強(qiáng)度和碳排放強(qiáng)度高的部門承擔(dān)了所有工業(yè)部門中的主要成本負(fù)擔(dān),能源密集型且高碳排放的行業(yè)因碳價(jià)格額外成本導(dǎo)致的價(jià)格水平上漲幅度和產(chǎn)出下降幅度更大,貿(mào)易暴露型部門如大部分制造業(yè)的出口下降幅度也較大;緩解措施模擬情景下,對(duì)關(guān)鍵部門的減緩效應(yīng)達(dá)到原競(jìng)爭(zhēng)力損失的70%左右,降低了對(duì)價(jià)格、產(chǎn)出和出口的負(fù)面影響,但產(chǎn)生的節(jié)能減排效果會(huì)有所削弱。因此,應(yīng)結(jié)合我國(guó)不同部門的成本承受能力、需求價(jià)格彈性及對(duì)不同碳價(jià)格水平的反映程度進(jìn)行調(diào)整,制定合適的碳價(jià)格策略或采取相應(yīng)的緩解和補(bǔ)償措施。
[Abstract]:Through the construction of an expanded input-output model, the short-term impact of carbon price introduction in various sectors in China is simulated and evaluated. The effects of compensatory mitigation measures to mitigate the impact of competitiveness in energy-intensive and trade-exposed sectors were quantified. In the short term, the introduction of the same level of carbon price as developed countries will seriously damage the competitiveness of our industry. The sectors with high energy intensity and carbon emission intensity bear the main cost burden in all industrial sectors. In energy-intensive and high-carbon emitting industries, the increase in price level and the decline in output due to the additional cost of carbon prices are even greater, as are the export declines in trade-exposed sectors such as most manufacturing industries; In the simulation scenario of mitigation measures, the mitigation effect on key sectors reached about 70% of the original competitiveness loss, reducing the negative impact on prices, output and exports. However, the effect of energy saving and emission reduction will be weakened. Therefore, it is necessary to adjust the price elasticity of demand and the reflection degree of different carbon price level according to the cost bearing capacity of different departments in China. Develop appropriate carbon price strategies or take appropriate mitigation and compensation measures.
【作者單位】: 暨南大學(xué)經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)院//暨南大學(xué)資源環(huán)境與可持續(xù)發(fā)展研究所;廣東環(huán)境保護(hù)工程職業(yè)學(xué)院環(huán)境科學(xué)研究所;
【基金】:國(guó)家自然科學(xué)基金項(xiàng)目“基于強(qiáng)度減排的碳交易機(jī)制對(duì)產(chǎn)業(yè)競(jìng)爭(zhēng)力影響的理論研究與ECGE模擬”(71273115) 廣東環(huán)境保護(hù)工程職業(yè)學(xué)院院長(zhǎng)基金項(xiàng)目“碳價(jià)格對(duì)工業(yè)部門經(jīng)濟(jì)影響及減排效果研究——基于廣東省的投入產(chǎn)出模擬分析”(KY201502006)
【分類號(hào)】:X196;F424
【正文快照】: 1問(wèn)題的提出在中國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)呈現(xiàn)新常態(tài)并且承諾2030年碳排放達(dá)峰的背景下,需要發(fā)揮市場(chǎng)化機(jī)制的基礎(chǔ)性作用,發(fā)展綠色經(jīng)濟(jì)并完成達(dá)峰目標(biāo)。穩(wěn)定有效又與經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展相適應(yīng)的碳價(jià)格信號(hào)有助于倒逼產(chǎn)業(yè)轉(zhuǎn)型升級(jí)、淘汰落后產(chǎn)能,利用環(huán)境政策實(shí)行供給側(cè)的結(jié)構(gòu)性改革。我國(guó)擬于2017年建立全
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