中國OFDI化解過剩產能的機理及效應研究
本文選題:對外直接投資 + 產能過剩。 參考:《山西財經大學》2017年碩士論文
【摘要】:近年來,我國經濟高速增長,綜合實力不斷提升。然而,在經濟總量增加的同時,我國重化工行業(yè)出現了一定程度的產能過剩,輕工業(yè)和新興產業(yè)也面臨著同樣的問題。通過對外直接投資轉移國內夕陽產業(yè)、促進新興產業(yè)成長、關聯和輻射產業(yè)發(fā)展,成為化解產能過剩重要的方式,也是實施“走出去”戰(zhàn)略和“一帶一路”戰(zhàn)略等重大戰(zhàn)略的需求。本文分析了對外直接投資對過剩產能的化解機制:企業(yè)開拓國際市場進行對外直接投資,在投資過程中將目前產能過剩的產業(yè)轉移出去;在對外投資過程中為了適應國際經營環(huán)境和消費需求,倒逼企業(yè)提高技術水平和效率,從而促進母國的技術創(chuàng)新和產品創(chuàng)新,提高母國企業(yè)的生產率和產能利用率,最終化解產能過剩。在對外直接投資過程中也會產生出口貿易關聯效應,帶動母國產品和原材料的出口,擴大母國過剩產能的輸出。另外,金融市場的快速發(fā)展和較低的融資成本可以刺激產能過剩企業(yè)積極進行對外直接投資,將目前的過剩產能進行有效轉移。進一步,本文通過統(tǒng)計描述等方法對我國產能過剩和對外直接投資的現狀進行分析,并選取相關指標測算產能利用率來衡量產能過剩。然后,本文分別對全國、東部、中部和西部地區(qū)的動態(tài)面板數據進行實證分析和穩(wěn)健性檢驗。結果顯示,對外直接投資能夠有效化解過剩產能。出口的擴大與對外直接投資的雙重作用可以有效提高產能利用率。金融效率的提高和對外直接投資的雙重作用也有利于化解過剩產能,高速的金融市場運作效率促進了資金的有效配置,為對外直接投資的技術溢出提供了保障,進一步促進我國過剩產能的有效化解。結合上述機理分析和實證檢驗,本文提出以下政策建議:加大對外直接投資;實施差異化對外直接投資政策;推進重點產業(yè)國際產能合作;提高金融效率;加強風險防控。
[Abstract]:In recent years, our country economy grows at a high speed, the comprehensive strength rises ceaselessly. However, at the same time, the heavy chemical industry in China has a certain degree of overcapacity, light industry and emerging industries are also facing the same problems. The transfer of domestic sunset industries through foreign direct investment to promote the growth of emerging industries and the development of associated and radiation industries has become an important way to resolve overcapacity. Is also the implementation of "going out" strategy and "Belt and Road" strategy and other major strategy needs. This paper analyzes the mechanism of overcapacity solved by foreign direct investment (FDI): enterprises open up the international market for FDI and transfer the overcapacity industries in the process of investment; In the process of outward investment, in order to adapt to the international business environment and consumer demand, enterprises are forced to improve their technological level and efficiency, thus promoting technological innovation and product innovation in their home countries, and increasing their productivity and productivity utilization. The ultimate solution to overcapacity. In the process of foreign direct investment, there will also be export trade correlation effect, which will lead to the export of home country's products and raw materials, and expand the output of overcapacity of home country. In addition, the rapid development of financial markets and lower financing costs can stimulate overcapacity enterprises to actively carry out foreign direct investment and transfer the current excess capacity effectively. Furthermore, this paper analyzes the current situation of overcapacity and foreign direct investment in China by means of statistical description, and selects relevant indicators to measure capacity utilization ratio to measure overcapacity. Then, the dynamic panel data of the whole country, the east, the middle and the west are analyzed and tested. The results show that foreign direct investment can effectively eliminate excess capacity. The expansion of exports and the dual role of foreign direct investment can effectively improve capacity utilization. The improvement of financial efficiency and the dual role of foreign direct investment are also conducive to the solution of excess capacity. The high efficiency of financial market operation promotes the effective allocation of funds and provides a guarantee for technology spillover of foreign direct investment. Further promote the effective solution of China's excess capacity. Combined with the above mechanism analysis and empirical test, this paper puts forward the following policy recommendations: increase foreign direct investment; implement differentiated foreign direct investment policy; promote international capacity cooperation in key industries; improve financial efficiency; strengthen risk prevention and control.
【學位授予單位】:山西財經大學
【學位級別】:碩士
【學位授予年份】:2017
【分類號】:F125
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