本文選題：中國FDI + 東盟�。� 參考：《云南師范大學》2017年碩士論文

【摘要】：自“10+1”中國—東盟自由貿易區(qū)成立和簽署了《中國—東盟自由貿易區(qū)投資協議》以來,尤其是中國實行的“一帶一路”戰(zhàn)略,不斷促進中國—東盟區(qū)域內的外商直接投資(Foreign Direct Investment,FDI)的發(fā)展。隨著區(qū)域一體化進程的加快,中國企業(yè)在東盟國家的FDI規(guī)模不斷擴大。中國直接投資迅速流入東盟加快了東盟國家的經濟發(fā)展、優(yōu)化了東盟國家的產業(yè)結構,同時也提高了東盟各成員國的經濟效率。本文以前人經濟增長和外國直接投資理論為基礎,研究了中國對東盟國家的直接投資和東盟國家的經濟增長之間的關系。首先,從整體上分析了東盟國家的經濟發(fā)展現狀;然后分析了中國目前對東盟國家投資規(guī)模、投資的行業(yè)分布以及投資的國別構成,并從三個角度分析了中國對東盟國家直接投資的動因。最后,分別以東盟國家整體和各東盟主要國家為研究對象,建立動態(tài)面板數據模型分析了中國FDI與東盟國家之間的經濟增長效應,并分別測算了中國FDI對經濟增長的貢獻度,得出以下結論:第一,中國與東盟國家的投資、貿易往來規(guī)模日益增長,中國對東盟國家投資行業(yè)不斷拓寬。2013年,中國領導人提出共建“21世紀海上絲綢之路”倡議,中國—東盟已經成為緊密的命運共同體。第二,中國在東盟國家的FDI出于三種投資動因:資源尋求性投資動因、市場尋求性投資動因和貿易尋求性投資動因。第三,就整體而言,中國對東盟國家的FDI具有一定的經濟增長效應,中國直接投資的流入在一定程度上促進了東盟國家的經濟增長,同時,中國FDI與東盟國內固定資產投資和東盟的外貿出口之間存在“互補效應”,格蘭杰因果關系檢驗表明東盟GDP的增長是中國FDI增加的原因。第四,通過國別分析,中國FDI對東盟各主要國家經濟促進作用不一:中國FDI的增加能夠一定程度上導致泰國、新加坡和印度尼西亞GDP的增加,而且對新加坡經濟增長促進作用最明顯,同時中國FDI對東盟五國經濟增長的貢獻度測算的結果表明中國FDI對泰國GDP的貢獻度最大。
[Abstract]:Since "101" China-ASEAN Free Trade area was established and signed the China-ASEAN Free Trade area Investment Agreement, especially the "Belt and Road" strategy implemented by China. To promote the development of foreign direct investment (FDI) in China-ASEAN region. With the acceleration of regional integration, the FDI scale of Chinese enterprises in ASEAN countries is expanding. The rapid inflow of Chinese direct investment into ASEAN accelerates the economic development of ASEAN countries, optimizes the industrial structure of ASEAN countries, and improves the economic efficiency of ASEAN member countries. Based on the theory of economic growth and foreign direct investment, this paper studies the relationship between China's direct investment in ASEAN countries and the economic growth of ASEAN countries. First of all, it analyzes the economic development of ASEAN countries as a whole, and then analyzes the scale of Chinese investment in ASEAN countries, the industry distribution of investment and the national composition of investment. And from three angles to analyze the motivation of China's direct investment in ASEAN countries. Finally, taking the ASEAN countries as a whole and the main ASEAN countries as research objects, the dynamic panel data model is established to analyze the economic growth effect between China FDI and ASEAN countries, and the contribution of China FDI to economic growth is calculated. The conclusions are as follows: first, the scale of investment and trade between China and ASEAN countries is increasing, and the investment industry of China in ASEAN countries has been continuously broadened. In 2013, the Chinese leaders put forward the initiative of jointly building the "Maritime Silk Road of the 21st Century". China-ASEAN has become a close community of destiny. Second, China's FDI in ASEAN countries is driven by three kinds of investment motives: resource seeking investment, market seeking investment and trade seeking investment. Third, on the whole, China's FDI to ASEAN countries has a certain economic growth effect, and the inflow of Chinese direct investment has promoted the economic growth of ASEAN countries to a certain extent, at the same time, There is a "complementary effect" between China's FDI and ASEAN's domestic fixed asset investment and ASEAN's foreign trade export. Granger causality test shows that the growth of ASEAN's GDP is the reason for the increase of China's FDI. Fourth, through country analysis, China's FDI has different effects on the economy of major ASEAN countries: the increase of China's FDI can, to some extent, lead to the increase of GDP in Thailand, Singapore and Indonesia. Moreover, the contribution of Chinese FDI to the economic growth of the five ASEAN countries is the most obvious. The results show that the contribution of Chinese FDI to GDP in Thailand is the largest.
【學位授予單位】：云南師范大學
【學位級別】：碩士
【學位授予年份】：2017
【分類號】：F113;F831.6

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