本文選題：小布什政府 + 美國對臺政策�。� 參考：《中共中央黨�！�2011年碩士論文

【摘要】：本文旨在通過對小布什政府對臺政策的回顧和梳理,探求其對臺政策的規(guī)律和特點,從中總結出些許對我處理中美關系和臺灣問題的啟示和借鑒意義。本文主要分為四個部分。 第一部分簡要回顧了小布什政府兩屆任期對臺政策的主要內(nèi)容。小布什政府第一任期伊始,基于遏制和防范中國的戰(zhàn)略考量,其臺海政策明顯朝偏向臺灣一方傾斜,從政治、經(jīng)濟、軍事等方面全面提升了美臺關系�！�9·11”恐怖襲擊的發(fā)生給中美關系的改善帶來了新的契機,小布什政府重新審視并調(diào)整了中美關系,由強調(diào)中國的威脅轉變?yōu)閺娬{(diào)與中國的合作,其對華對臺政策表現(xiàn)出了緩和的姿態(tài)。但是,這并沒有從根本上改變美國對華戰(zhàn)略防范和在臺灣問題上的強硬政策,小布什政府的扶臺舉措仍然不斷出臺。在第二任期,小布什政府基本延續(xù)了其第一任期“9·11”之后的對臺政策,繼續(xù)深化與臺灣的實質(zhì)性關系,對陳水扁當局的“臺獨”行為進行了必要的阻遏,同時在第二任期后半段隨著臺灣“大選”的臨近,加強了同臺灣在野黨國民黨以及民進黨其他領導人的關系,以保持和強化美國對臺灣的影響力。 第二部分主要闡述了小布什政府對臺政策的特點。通過對小布什政府對臺政策主要內(nèi)容的回顧分析總結出了三個主要特點,具體表現(xiàn)為:小布什政府對臺政策具有內(nèi)在矛盾性;對臺海事務介入加深,實質(zhì)上扮演了偏向“臺獨”勢力的“調(diào)和人”角色;軍事關系優(yōu)于政治關系發(fā)展。這三個特點貫穿小布什政府對臺政策的始終,也是其對臺政策最本質(zhì)的體現(xiàn)。 第三部分重點分析了影響小布什政府對臺政策的主要因素。對臺政策作為小布什政府的一項具體對外政策,是一系列因素綜合作用的結果。這些因素大致可以分為外部因素和內(nèi)部因素兩類,外部因素主要指國際背景;內(nèi)部因素包括:保守主義思潮、美國國會以及軍工利益集團的壓力等。 第四部分試圖在以上三部分的分析基礎上,對美國對臺政策走向進行預測并對處理兩岸關系提出一些思考。根據(jù)歷屆美國政府和現(xiàn)任小布什政府的一系列對臺政策和做法,大致可以預測出一些美國對臺政策的走向,包括:美國將繼續(xù)插手臺灣問題;美國對臺將繼續(xù)實行以“維持現(xiàn)狀”為目標的兩手政策;為了維持臺海局勢穩(wěn)定,美國會對兩岸關系和平發(fā)展予以一定支持。回顧和分析小布什政府的對臺政策,對我們處理臺灣問題有以下幾點啟示:一是保持中國大陸的發(fā)展是國家統(tǒng)一的堅強保證;二是夯實中美之間的戰(zhàn)略利益基礎,進一步削弱臺灣問題在中美戰(zhàn)略關系結構中的地位;三是重視臺灣的主動性;四是致力于和平統(tǒng)一,但決不承諾放棄使用武力。
[Abstract]:Through reviewing and combing the Bush administration's policy towards Taiwan, this paper explores the laws and characteristics of its policy towards Taiwan, and sums up some enlightenments and references to China's handling of Sino-US relations and the Taiwan issue. This paper is divided into four parts. The first part briefly reviews the main contents of Bush administration's two-term Taiwan policy. At the beginning of the Bush administration's first term, based on the strategic considerations of containing and guarding against China, its Taiwan Strait policy obviously tilted in favor of the Taiwan side, in terms of politics and economy. Military and other aspects have comprehensively enhanced US-Taiwan relations. The "9 / 11" terrorist attacks have brought new opportunities to the improvement of Sino-US relations. The Bush administration has re-examined and adjusted Sino-US relations. From emphasizing China's threat to emphasizing cooperation with China, China's policy toward Taiwan has taken a conciliatory stance. However, this has not fundamentally changed the United States' strategic defense against China and its tough policy on the Taiwan issue, and the Bush administration's efforts to help Taiwan continue to emerge. In the second term, the Bush administration basically continued its Taiwan policy after its first term of "11 September," continued to deepen its substantive relations with Taiwan, and carried out a necessary deterrent to Chen Shuibian's "Taiwan independence" behavior. At the same time, with Taiwan's "general election" approaching in the second half of its second term, relations with the opposition KMT and other leaders of the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) have been strengthened in order to maintain and strengthen the US influence on Taiwan. The second part mainly expounds the characteristics of Bush administration's Taiwan policy. Through the review and analysis of the main contents of the Bush administration's Taiwan policy, three main characteristics have been summed up, including: the inherent contradictions in the Bush administration's Taiwan policy; and the deepening involvement in Taiwan affairs. In fact, military relations play the role of mediators in favor of Taiwan independence forces, and military relations are superior to the development of political relations. These three characteristics run through the Bush administration's Taiwan policy all the time, and are also the most essential embodiment of its Taiwan policy. The third part analyzes the main factors that influence the Bush administration's Taiwan policy. As a specific foreign policy of Bush administration, Taiwan policy is the result of a series of factors. These factors can be divided into two categories: external factors and internal factors, which mainly refer to the international background, and internal factors include: conservatism, the pressure of Congress and military interest groups and so on. The fourth part attempts to forecast the trend of American policy toward Taiwan on the basis of the analysis of the above three parts and puts forward some thoughts on how to deal with cross-strait relations. According to a series of policies and practices of the previous US government and the current Bush administration, we can roughly predict the trend of some US policies towards Taiwan, including: the United States will continue to interfere in the Taiwan issue; The United States will continue to implement a two-hand policy aimed at "maintaining the status quo," and in order to maintain stability in the Taiwan Strait, the United States will give certain support to the peaceful development of cross-strait relations. The review and analysis of the Bush administration's policy towards Taiwan has the following implications for our handling of the Taiwan issue: first, maintaining the development of the Chinese mainland is a strong guarantee for national reunification; and second, consolidating the strategic interest basis between China and the United States. It is necessary to further weaken the position of the Taiwan issue in the structure of Sino-US strategic relations; third, to attach importance to Taiwan's initiative; and fourth, to work for peaceful reunification, but will never commit itself to renouncing the use of force.
【學位授予單位】：中共中央黨校
【學位級別】：碩士
【學位授予年份】：2011
【分類號】：D871.2;D618

【參考文獻】

相關期刊論文 前10條

1 向冬梅;徐德榮;;試析近年來臺灣問題中美國因素的微妙變化[J];北方論叢;2007年03期

2 何火萍;;馬英九上臺后美國對臺軍售問題探析[J];產(chǎn)業(yè)與科技論壇;2009年01期

3 吳獻斌;布什政府對臺政策的特點及其原因[J];當代亞太;2004年03期

4 陳恩;臺灣“總統(tǒng)”選舉背后的中美臺“兩岸三邊”關系透視[J];東南亞研究;2004年04期

5 ;美國如何評估“四要一沒有”[J];黨政論壇(干部文摘);2007年05期

6 呂其昌;布什與克林頓政策主張比較[J];國際論壇;2001年05期

7 李寶俊,方柏華;小布什第一任期內(nèi)臺灣因素對中美關系的影響淺析[J];國際論壇;2005年04期

8 甄炳禧;布什政府經(jīng)濟政策及其對美國經(jīng)濟的影響[J];國際問題研究;2001年03期

9 郭震遠;;中美關系中的臺灣問題:變化與影響[J];國際問題研究;2007年02期

10 趙可金;美國軍工集團與中美關系[J];和平與發(fā)展;2004年03期

，

本文編號：1848447