本文選題：隔代撫育 + 子女養(yǎng)老��； 參考：《統(tǒng)計(jì)與信息論壇》2017年07期

【摘要】：撫育成本增加和人口老齡化問題已經(jīng)對(duì)年輕一代的生活與養(yǎng)老行為產(chǎn)生了重要影響。結(jié)合2011年和2013年"中國健康與養(yǎng)老追蹤調(diào)查"的調(diào)查數(shù)據(jù)(CHARLS),利用傾向得分匹配方法,探究老人的隔代撫育行為對(duì)子女的養(yǎng)老行為是否會(huì)產(chǎn)生影響。研究發(fā)現(xiàn):隔代撫育行為使得子女養(yǎng)老行為增加僅約7%,與使用傳統(tǒng)Logistic模型回歸得到的平均處理效應(yīng)42.9%有很大的差異,并且經(jīng)過不同方法檢驗(yàn)顯示結(jié)果非常穩(wěn)健;隔代撫育對(duì)子女養(yǎng)老的影響效應(yīng)在已婚且夫妻共同生活的人群中顯著,而在其它婚姻狀態(tài)下不顯著;隔代撫育對(duì)子女養(yǎng)老的影響效應(yīng)在生活水平較低的人群中顯著,而在其它生活水平條件下不顯著。
[Abstract]:The increase of upbringing cost and the aging of the population have had an important impact on the life and pension behavior of the younger generation. Based on the data of China Health and Old-age tracking Survey in 2011 and 2013, this paper uses the tendency score matching method to explore whether the intergenerational upbringing behavior of the elderly will have an impact on their children's old-age behavior. The results showed that the children's old-age behavior increased by only about 7, which was different from the average treatment effect of 42.9% by using the traditional Logistic model, and the results were very stable by different methods. The effects of intergenerational upbringing on children's old-age support were significant in married and married couples living together, but not in other marital states, and the effects of intergenerational upbringing on children's old-age support were significant in those with lower living standards. But under other living standard condition is not remarkable.
【作者單位】： 天津工業(yè)大學(xué)經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)院;
【基金】：天津市哲學(xué)社會(huì)科學(xué)規(guī)劃課題《中國城市居民養(yǎng)老服務(wù)體系研究——以天津市為例》(TJYY15-022)
【分類號(hào)】：C913.1;C913.6

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