本文選題：人口普查 + 年齡數(shù)據(jù)�。� 參考：《貴州大學(xué)》2017年碩士論文

【摘要】：人口普查數(shù)據(jù)質(zhì)量是人口分析研究的前提,是確保研究結(jié)論的可信保障,對(duì)于人口普查,人口年齡結(jié)構(gòu)數(shù)據(jù)是最基礎(chǔ)的人口普查數(shù)據(jù),年齡數(shù)據(jù)的優(yōu)劣對(duì)人口各項(xiàng)指標(biāo)都有極大的影響,分析研究普查數(shù)據(jù)之前對(duì)年齡數(shù)據(jù)質(zhì)量的評(píng)估是關(guān)鍵。本文對(duì)貴州省第六次人口普查和第五次人口普查的年齡數(shù)據(jù)進(jìn)行檢驗(yàn),探究貴州省人口普查年齡數(shù)據(jù)質(zhì)量。利用人口隊(duì)列比較法,年齡指向偏好檢驗(yàn)法和國際通用指數(shù)法,來檢驗(yàn)貴州省第六次人口普查和第五次人口普查年齡數(shù)據(jù)的質(zhì)量。通過縱向比較貴州省第六次、第五次和第四次人口普查的年齡數(shù)據(jù)。年齡數(shù)據(jù)檢驗(yàn)結(jié)果表明,貴州省第六次人口普查年齡數(shù)據(jù)質(zhì)量較好,僅低年齡段出現(xiàn)漏報(bào)現(xiàn)象,無明顯的年齡指向偏好,一致性較好;五普的年齡數(shù)據(jù)質(zhì)量較差,存在著以0和8結(jié)尾的年齡偏好行為,存在人口漏報(bào),瞞報(bào)問題,女性漏報(bào)多于男性。貴州省少數(shù)民族也存在年齡堆積,影響明顯高于漢族。相比六普與五普的年齡數(shù)據(jù)的質(zhì)量,揭示貴州省人口普查年齡數(shù)據(jù)質(zhì)量在不斷的提升。橫向?qū)Ρ?010年全國、廣西壯族自治區(qū)和上海市的人口普查年齡數(shù)據(jù)質(zhì)量,發(fā)現(xiàn)貴州省第六次人口普查年齡數(shù)據(jù)稍優(yōu)于廣西和上海,明顯好于全國的年齡數(shù)據(jù)質(zhì)量。文章最后總結(jié)出導(dǎo)致數(shù)據(jù)誤差的五種主要原因:人口流動(dòng)與人口遷移、出生人口漏報(bào)、少數(shù)民族申報(bào)誤差、普查工作申報(bào)的系統(tǒng)誤差和未及時(shí)上戶與未及時(shí)銷戶。建議貴州省的普查工作還應(yīng)在信息采集、教育宣傳、實(shí)施方式等方面加以改進(jìn)和提高。
[Abstract]:The quality of census data is a prerequisite for population analysis and research and a credible guarantee for the findings of the study. For censuses, age structure data are the most basic census data. The quality of age data has a great impact on all population indicators, and the evaluation of age data quality before the analysis of census data is the key. This paper examines the age data of the sixth census and the fifth census of Guizhou Province, and probes into the quality of the age data of the census in Guizhou Province. Population cohort comparison method, age orientation preference test and international general index method are used to test the quality of the age data of the sixth census and the fifth census of Guizhou province. The age data of the 6th, 5th and 4th censuses of Guizhou Province were compared longitudinally. The results of age data test showed that the age data of the sixth population census of Guizhou Province were of good quality, only the underreported phenomenon appeared in the low age group, there was no obvious age direction preference, and the consistency was good, and the quality of the age data of Wupu was poor. There were age preference behavior ending in 0 and 8, population underreporting, female underreporting more than male. Guizhou minority also has age accumulation, the influence is obviously higher than the Han nationality. Comparing with the quality of the age data of Liupu and Wupu, it is revealed that the quality of the census age data in Guizhou Province is improving continuously. The age data of the sixth census of Guizhou Province are better than those of Guangxi and Shanghai, which is obviously better than that of the whole country. Finally, the paper summarizes the five main causes of data error: population flow and population migration, underreporting of birth population, error of ethnic minority declaration, systematic error of census declaration, and failure to go to the household in time and not to cancel the household in time. It is suggested that the census work in Guizhou Province should be improved in the aspects of information collection, education and propaganda, implementation methods, etc.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：貴州大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2017
【分類號(hào)】：C924.2

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本文編號(hào)：2100871