本文關鍵詞：中國人口流動遷移對城市化進程影響的實證分析，，由筆耕文化傳播整理發(fā)布。

中國人口流動遷移對城市化進程影響的實證分析

Empirical Analysis on Impacts of Migration with and Without Hukou Change on China＇s Urbanization

[1] [2]

YAN Yong-hua, GUO Zhi-yi （ College of Economics, Lanzhon University, Lanzhou Gansu 730000, China）

蘭州大學經濟學院,甘肅蘭州730000

文章摘要：人口流動遷移是改革開放以來中國經濟社會發(fā)展變遷和城市化中出現的一個重要現象�；谖覈�30個省域2002-2012年的空間面板數據,通過構建空間靜態(tài)與動態(tài)模型實證分析了人口流動遷移對城市化進程的影響。研究表明：我國城市化水平存在顯著的空間正相關性,整體上有著明顯的空間擴散效應;流入人口和流入人口人力資本對我國城市化的影響都很突出,流入人口帶來人力資本集聚對城市化水平的影響要大于簡單人口數據的集聚;凈遷移人口和凈遷移人口人力資本對我國城市化水平的影響不是很顯著,與我國的戶籍制度存在著一定關系,當前的戶籍制度限制了居民的遷徙,對城市化發(fā)展起著阻礙作用;經濟力量仍是我國城市化水平提高的重要驅動力。因此,在推動城市化進程中,除繼續(xù)發(fā)揮經濟力量的核心驅動力作用外,更需重視流動遷移人口對城市化的作用。

Abstr：Migration with and without Hukou change is an important phenomenon in the process of economic development and urbanization since the beginning of the opening-up policy. In order to understand the specific impact of migration to urbanization,impacts of migration with and without Hukou change on urbanization are analyzed by building spatial static and dynamic model by using the spatial panel data of 30 provinces in China from 2002 to 2012. The research shows： There is a spatial correlation in urbanization of China,and there is a spatial diffusion effect. Impacts of inflowing population and human capital of inflowing population to the level of urbanization are outstanding,and human capital is more prominent. The positive effect indicates that,the same as inflow population,net population migration can promote the regional urbanization level. However,because of China＇s household registration system,impacts of net migration with Hukou change and human capital of the net migration to the level of urbanization are positive but not significant. The current household registration system limits the migration of people and is not conducive to the development of urbanization. Economic power is still an important driving force of urbanization＇s development. Economic growth and the upgrading of the industrial structure can effectively improve the level of urbanization. Therefore,in the urbanization process,in addition to economic driving force,the role of migration with and without Hukou change should be paid more attention.

文章關鍵詞：

Keyword：:inflowing population net migration of population urbanization spatial effects

課題項目：中央高�；究蒲袠I(yè)務費專項資金資助項目“不同功能區(qū)域定位下甘肅省人口分布、流動遷移與城鎮(zhèn)化發(fā)展研究”（編號：14LZUJBWYJ002）

  本文關鍵詞：中國人口流動遷移對城市化進程影響的實證分析，由筆耕文化傳播整理發(fā)布。