本文關(guān)鍵詞： 云南省 出生人口性別比 實(shí)證研究 政府治理　出處：《云南大學(xué)》2012年碩士論文　論文類型：學(xué)位論文

【摘要】：長(zhǎng)期以來,人口問題始終是影響我國經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展、社會(huì)進(jìn)步和資源環(huán)境可持續(xù)發(fā)展的重要因素,是我們實(shí)現(xiàn)社會(huì)全面發(fā)展所面臨的重大戰(zhàn)略任務(wù)之一。我國從二十世紀(jì)八十年代開始出生人口性別比升高問題就開始顯現(xiàn),到了九十年代后出生性別比持續(xù)升高就十分明顯了,進(jìn)入二十一世紀(jì)后出生人口性別比升高程度進(jìn)一步加劇,這已經(jīng)成為了一個(gè)個(gè)不爭(zhēng)的事實(shí)。如果長(zhǎng)期以往,將會(huì)對(duì)引起嚴(yán)重的社會(huì)不穩(wěn)定后果,對(duì)構(gòu)建和諧社會(huì)造成負(fù)面影響。云南省作為一個(gè)邊疆、少數(shù)民族的山區(qū)貧困省份,經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展落后,自然資源承載力包括人口發(fā)展的環(huán)境還比較脆弱,人口的全面發(fā)展工作仍然存在諸多困難和挑戰(zhàn)。出生人口性別比也長(zhǎng)期持續(xù)高于正常水平,長(zhǎng)此以往必將影響到我省人口環(huán)境的健康發(fā)展,進(jìn)而影響到云南省社會(huì)經(jīng)濟(jì)的長(zhǎng)期、穩(wěn)定、可持續(xù)發(fā)展目標(biāo)的實(shí)現(xiàn)。 本文以公共管理學(xué)、公共政策分析、經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)、人口統(tǒng)計(jì)學(xué)等理論為指導(dǎo),借鑒國內(nèi)外研究成果,以云南省.2005—2010年人口計(jì)劃生育統(tǒng)計(jì)數(shù)據(jù)為主要研究對(duì)象,重點(diǎn)對(duì)此期間的全省出生人口性別比長(zhǎng)期偏高現(xiàn)象進(jìn)行了分析。通過大量數(shù)據(jù)實(shí)證分析,具體描述了云南省出生人口性別比升高的變化趨勢(shì)與特點(diǎn)；對(duì)出生人口性別比升高產(chǎn)生的原因進(jìn)行了多因素、多角度的研究并建立了性別偏好形成實(shí)現(xiàn)過程理論框架；對(duì)出生人口性別比失衡可能造成的危害進(jìn)行了較為深入的分析,最后結(jié)合云南實(shí)際情況,提出了八個(gè)層面的具體政府治理對(duì)策建議。
[Abstract]:For a long time, the population problem has always been an important factor affecting the economic development, social progress and sustainable development of resources and environment in China. It is a major strategy for us to achieve comprehensive social development, Ren Wuzhi. Since 1980s, the problem of increasing the sex ratio of the birth population in China has begun to appear. After 90s, the continuous increase in the sex ratio at birth is very obvious. Since 21th century, the rise in the sex ratio of the birth population has become an indisputable fact. If it has been in the past for a long time, it will have serious consequences for social instability. Yunnan Province, as a borderland and a poor mountainous province with ethnic minorities, has backward economic development, and the environment for carrying natural resources, including population development, is still relatively fragile. There are still many difficulties and challenges in the overall development of the population. The sex ratio of the birth population is also continuously higher than the normal level for a long time. In the long run, it will affect the healthy development of the population environment in our province, and then affect the long-term social and economic development of Yunnan Province. Stability, the realization of the goal of sustainable development. Guided by the theories of public management, public policy analysis, economics, demography, and drawing on the domestic and foreign research results, this paper takes the population and family planning statistics from 2005 to 2010 in Yunnan Province as the main research object. This paper focuses on the analysis of the long term high sex ratio of the whole province's birth population. Through a lot of empirical analysis, it describes the changing trend and characteristics of the increasing sex ratio of the Yunnan province's birth population. The causes of the increase of sex ratio of birth population are analyzed, and the theoretical framework of the formation and realization process of gender preference is established, and the possible harm caused by the imbalance of sex ratio of birth population is analyzed. Finally, combined with the actual situation in Yunnan, eight levels of specific government governance countermeasures and suggestions are put forward.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：云南大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2012
【分類號(hào)】：C924.21

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