本文選題：中國(guó)東北亞　切入點(diǎn)：地緣政治安全　出處：《吉林大學(xué)》2012年博士論文

【摘要】：地緣政治安全是國(guó)際關(guān)系研究的重要內(nèi)容，地緣政治安全是國(guó)家生存與發(fā)展的前提條件，地緣政治安全是判斷國(guó)家對(duì)外行為的重要依據(jù)。作為世界上唯一殘存冷戰(zhàn)體制的地區(qū)，東北亞地緣政治安全形勢(shì)不僅會(huì)影響中國(guó)睦鄰友好周邊戰(zhàn)略的實(shí)施，還會(huì)影響到中國(guó)成長(zhǎng)為全方位大國(guó)的地緣戰(zhàn)略空間。如果對(duì)影響地緣政治安全的因素認(rèn)識(shí)不清，很有可能導(dǎo)致中國(guó)東北亞地緣戰(zhàn)略出現(xiàn)偏差，進(jìn)而對(duì)中國(guó)外交形成戰(zhàn)略壓力。因此，客觀地看待與分析中國(guó)東北亞地緣政治安全就顯得頗為重要。基于這種研究初衷，筆者采用主成分分析方法對(duì)影響中國(guó)東北亞地緣政治安全的因素進(jìn)行了解析。全文共分五章，具體內(nèi)容如下： 第一章從安全研究的基本理論出發(fā)，闡述了地緣政治安全解析的理論。地緣政治安全是跨越民族國(guó)家領(lǐng)土邊界的因素對(duì)一國(guó)內(nèi)政及外交政策產(chǎn)生影響的一種現(xiàn)實(shí)狀態(tài)。這種狀態(tài)在客觀上不僅現(xiàn)實(shí)存在，在主觀上還能被國(guó)家及其人民認(rèn)知。隨著全球化的發(fā)展，影響地緣政治安全的因素不再限于傳統(tǒng)安全領(lǐng)域，非傳統(tǒng)安全領(lǐng)域內(nèi)經(jīng)濟(jì)、能源、恐怖主義等要素的作用與日俱增，地緣政治安全的解讀模式也發(fā)生了變化，原有的自然主義模式，空間—權(quán)力模式已經(jīng)不適用于現(xiàn)時(shí)代的發(fā)展。20世紀(jì)70年代以來(lái)，地緣政治學(xué)家把結(jié)構(gòu)主義引入地緣政治學(xué)的研究領(lǐng)域，也就出現(xiàn)了對(duì)地緣政治安全解讀的結(jié)構(gòu)主義模式。 第二章闡述了中國(guó)東北亞地緣政治安全解析的框架與方法。在全球化時(shí)代，影響地緣政治安全的因素在逐漸增多，如何更有條理地分析影響中國(guó)東北亞地緣政治安全的因素，就需要借鑒層次分析法。在闡述層次分析法由來(lái)和發(fā)展的基礎(chǔ)上，提出了層次劃分的依據(jù)，把影響中國(guó)東北亞地緣政治安全的因素劃分為體系層次、區(qū)域?qū)哟魏椭袊?guó)國(guó)內(nèi)層次。在闡述相關(guān)解析方法的基礎(chǔ)上，論述了選擇主成分分析方法的依據(jù)，闡述了主成分分析方法的原理和模型。 第三章從國(guó)際體系層次解析了中國(guó)東北亞地緣政治安全。按照“理論闡釋——解析指標(biāo)建構(gòu)——主成分分析——主成分提取”的研究思路，把經(jīng)濟(jì)、能源和恐怖主義作為理論分析的三個(gè)面向，把貿(mào)易出口總量、貿(mào)易進(jìn)口總量、利用外資總量、外國(guó)直接投資凈流入總量、貨物和服務(wù)進(jìn)出口總額、國(guó)際遷徙者總量、能源凈進(jìn)口總量、石油進(jìn)口總量、中國(guó)的GDP、GDP增長(zhǎng)率和失業(yè)人口總量12影響因子作為分析的指標(biāo)，采用主成分分析方法，將這12個(gè)指標(biāo)“降維”處理，提取出了以中國(guó)貿(mào)易進(jìn)口量、國(guó)際遷徙者總量和石油進(jìn)口總量為代表的三個(gè)主成分，并對(duì)其分析，輔之以圖表將國(guó)際體系層次下的中國(guó)東北亞地緣政治安全數(shù)量化和可視化。 第四章從東北亞區(qū)域?qū)哟谓馕隽酥袊?guó)地緣政治安全。把美國(guó)及其東北亞同盟體系、朝核問(wèn)題和中日領(lǐng)土爭(zhēng)端作為理論闡釋的基礎(chǔ)，把美國(guó)的GDP、鋼產(chǎn)量、軍人數(shù)量和軍費(fèi)支出；韓國(guó)的GDP、鋼產(chǎn)量、軍人數(shù)量和軍費(fèi)支出；朝鮮的鋼產(chǎn)量、能源消耗、軍人數(shù)量和軍費(fèi)支出；日本的GDP、鋼產(chǎn)量、軍人數(shù)量和軍費(fèi)支出作為區(qū)域?qū)哟沃袊?guó)地緣政治安全分析的指標(biāo)，采用主成分分析方法，將這16個(gè)指標(biāo)“降維”處理，，提取出了以美國(guó)軍費(fèi)支出、朝鮮軍人數(shù)量和日本的軍費(fèi)支出為代表的三個(gè)主成分，從東北亞區(qū)域?qū)哟谓馕隽酥袊?guó)地緣政治安全。 第五章從中國(guó)國(guó)內(nèi)層次解析了東北亞地緣政治安全。把臺(tái)灣問(wèn)題、國(guó)內(nèi)經(jīng)濟(jì)運(yùn)行狀態(tài)和社會(huì)穩(wěn)定程度作為分析的基礎(chǔ)，把臺(tái)灣鋼產(chǎn)量、臺(tái)灣能源消耗、臺(tái)灣軍人數(shù)量、臺(tái)灣軍費(fèi)支出、外國(guó)直接投資凈流入、來(lái)自國(guó)外的凈資金轉(zhuǎn)移、農(nóng)業(yè)增加值、工業(yè)增加值、服務(wù)等附加值、稅收總額、失業(yè)總?cè)丝诤蜕鐣?huì)犯罪率作為中國(guó)國(guó)內(nèi)層次的分析指標(biāo)，采用主成分分析方法，將這11個(gè)指標(biāo)“降維”處理，提取出了以中國(guó)大陸工業(yè)增加值、臺(tái)灣地區(qū)的鋼產(chǎn)量和軍費(fèi)支出為代表的三個(gè)主成分，對(duì)中國(guó)國(guó)內(nèi)層次下的地緣政治安全進(jìn)行分析。 從整體上來(lái)講，三個(gè)分析層次的整合力圖呈現(xiàn)冷戰(zhàn)結(jié)束以來(lái)中國(guó)東北亞地緣政治安全的現(xiàn)狀。研究認(rèn)為冷戰(zhàn)結(jié)束以來(lái)中國(guó)東北亞地緣政治安全形勢(shì)不容樂(lè)觀，被提取出來(lái)的主成分因子將會(huì)長(zhǎng)期作用于中國(guó)東北亞地緣政治安全，并且隨著中國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)的快速發(fā)展，這種影響會(huì)體現(xiàn)得越來(lái)越明顯。
[Abstract]:The geopolitical security is an important part of international relations research , and geopolitical security is the precondition for the existence and development of the country . The geopolitical security is an important basis for judging the country ' s external behavior .
Chapter 1 , based on the basic theory of security research , expounds the theory of geopolitical security analysis . The geopolitical security is a kind of reality which influences the internal affairs and foreign policy . With the development of globalization , the factors that influence geopolitical security are no longer limited to the traditional security field , the original naturalism mode , the space - power mode have not been applied to the development of the present age .
The second chapter expounds the framework and method of political security analysis in Northeast Asia of China . In the age of globalization , the factors that influence the political security of the geo - border are increasing , and how to analyze the factors that influence the political security in Northeast Asia of China should be analyzed .
Chapter three analyzes the geopolitical security of Northeast Asia in Northeast China from the international system level . According to the research thought of " theory interpretation _ analysis index construction _ principal component analysis _ principal component extraction " , the author uses the principal component analysis method to deal with the total amount of foreign direct investment , the total quantity of foreign direct investment , the total amount of foreign direct investment , the gross domestic product , GDP growth rate and the total amount of unemployed population .
The fourth chapter analyzes the political security of China ' s geo - border from the northeast Asia region . The U.S . and its Northeast Asia alliance system , the DPRK nuclear issue and the Sino - Japanese territorial disputes are used as the basis for theoretical explanation , and the U.S . GDP , steel output , military quantity and military expenditure are expended .
South Korea ' s GDP , steel production , military and military expenditures ;
North Korea ' s steel output , energy consumption , military holdings and military expenditures ;
Japan ' s GDP , steel output , military quantity and military expenditure expenditure as the index of regional level China ' s geopolitical security analysis , using principal component analysis method , this 16 indexes " reducing dimension " treatment , extracted three main components represented by U.S . military expenditure , North Korea military quantity and military expenditure of Japan , analyzed the Chinese geo - political security from the Northeast Asia regional level .
Chapter five analyzes the geopolitical security of Northeast Asia from the domestic level of China . The paper analyzes the Taiwan question , the domestic economic operation state and the degree of social stability as the basis for analyzing the Taiwan issue , the Taiwan energy consumption , the quantity of Taiwanese military personnel , Taiwan military expenditure , net inflow of foreign direct investment , net capital transfer from abroad , agricultural added value , total unemployment population and social crime rate as the analysis indexes of China ' s domestic level , and extracts three main components represented by the industrial added value of China , the steel output in Taiwan area and military expenditure , and analyzes the geopolitical security at the domestic level of China .
On the whole , the integration of the three analytic hierarchy tries to present the present situation of political security in Northeast Asia since the end of the cold war . The study shows that the political security situation of Northeast Asia in Northeast Asia is not optimistic since the end of the cold war , and the extracted principal component factor will play a long - term role in the political security of Northeast Asia in China , and the influence will be more and more obvious along with the rapid development of China ' s economy .

【學(xué)位授予單位】：吉林大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：博士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2012
【分類號(hào)】：D731

【引證文獻(xiàn)】

相關(guān)期刊論文 前1條

1 黃亦池;;我國(guó)軍事領(lǐng)域安全面臨的傳統(tǒng)挑戰(zhàn)及法律運(yùn)用[J];新西部(理論版);2013年Z2期

相關(guān)碩士學(xué)位論文 前2條

1 徐揚(yáng)黎;我國(guó)軍費(fèi)開(kāi)支需求的影響因素分析[D];吉林大學(xué);2013年

2 謝凱飛;美國(guó)重返亞太背景下的“新冷戰(zhàn)”布局新中央領(lǐng)導(dǎo)集體外交戰(zhàn)略突破[D];華東理工大學(xué);2014年

本文編號(hào)：1679169