本文關(guān)鍵詞：科索沃民族問題中的利益分析　出處：《中央民族大學(xué)》2009年碩士論文　論文類型：學(xué)位論文

  更多相關(guān)文章： 利益分析法 新干涉主義 泛斯拉夫主義

【摘要】： 科索沃問題近年來一直是國內(nèi)外學(xué)術(shù)界研究的熱點(diǎn)�？扑魑置褡鍐栴}的起點(diǎn)來源于阿爾巴尼亞族和塞爾維亞族兩大主體民族利益的爭端。對歷史認(rèn)識的不同、宗教信仰的不同、不同民族形成過程,使得塞阿兩族對科索沃的認(rèn)識產(chǎn)生了巨大的分歧,雙方都認(rèn)為自己才是科索沃真正的主人,是科索沃合理合法的擁有者。歷史上,塞阿兩族都堅持認(rèn)為自己才是最早在科索沃定居的主人。宗教上塞阿兩族分別信仰東正教和伊斯蘭教。針對利益相關(guān)的國家和利益集團(tuán),文章則采用政治學(xué)中常用的利益分析的方法對科索沃問題予以全新的研究和探討。 首先,文章對科索沃的問題的起因、發(fā)展和現(xiàn)階段的情況進(jìn)行了簡單的回顧。歷史上,塞阿兩民族都把科索沃作為自己的核心利益。二戰(zhàn)結(jié)束后,隨著南斯拉夫和阿爾巴尼亞兩個國家的先后獨(dú)立,此后科索沃雖作為一個自治省歸屬于南斯拉夫,但是科索沃的土地上始終并立了塞族和阿族兩大主體民族,然而在人口數(shù)量上,二戰(zhàn)后阿族卻已經(jīng)取得了優(yōu)勢地位。此后,兩族由于出于各自不同的利益訴求多次發(fā)生沖突。在前南解體前,大的民族沖突可以分為三次,使得科索沃問題的解決變得越來越復(fù)雜。 其次,對于科索沃的民族問題,堅持采用利益分析的方法,對于真實(shí)的認(rèn)識科索沃民族問題有著重要的意義。從政治層面來說,科索沃問題是幾個相關(guān)政治利益集團(tuán)博弈的結(jié)果。其中最為重要的一條就是相關(guān)集團(tuán)的核心利益的為實(shí)現(xiàn)自己利益最大化的自身追求。 國際上,出于自身利益,與塞爾維亞同屬斯拉夫民族、共同信仰東正教的俄羅斯,積極支持南斯拉夫的主權(quán)獨(dú)立和領(lǐng)土完整,期待一個強(qiáng)大的南斯拉夫成為其在東歐利益的主要支撐點(diǎn)。美國希望通過肢解南斯拉夫來產(chǎn)生一群巴爾干小國家,以達(dá)到其領(lǐng)導(dǎo)世界、控制石油、大發(fā)橫財?shù)哪康�。歐洲其他國家則希望南斯拉夫歐洲化,成為歐洲大家庭的一員,使歐洲逐漸成為一個整體成為有能力和美、俄等分庭抗禮的一極。中國的核心利益就是在確保本國主權(quán)和領(lǐng)土的情況下,鞏固與各個鄰國的關(guān)系,發(fā)展與美俄歐三方關(guān)系下,一心一意謀求自身發(fā)展,盡快實(shí)現(xiàn)自己的和平崛起。 再次,文章指出,科索沃獨(dú)立后,塞爾維亞雖然被肢解,但所幸巴爾干火藥桶并沒有被點(diǎn)燃——爆發(fā)大規(guī)模的世界性大戰(zhàn)。然而這卻給了民族分裂主義分子一個錯誤的信號,世界上存在民族分裂問題的國家都對此心悸不已。全球利益分享下的世界,政治經(jīng)濟(jì)一體化組織風(fēng)起云涌,科索沃的獨(dú)立顯然與國際大趨勢背道而馳。 最后,文章展開展望,美國在科索沃獨(dú)立后,戰(zhàn)略利益將繼續(xù)調(diào)整,繼而施展新干涉主義的伎倆,在世界上尋找潛在對手,予以削弱和瓦解。歐洲在戰(zhàn)后,將積極將科索沃和塞爾維亞納入到歐洲一體化進(jìn)程當(dāng)中去,消除戰(zhàn)爭隱患、擴(kuò)大自身實(shí)力。俄羅斯在科索沃的失敗,也使俄徹底丟掉了投入美歐懷抱的幻想,轉(zhuǎn)而謀求自身實(shí)力的加強(qiáng),加強(qiáng)了與美國歐盟的對抗。吸取了南斯拉夫民族分裂的教訓(xùn)、科索沃戰(zhàn)爭經(jīng)驗(yàn)的中國,將一如既往的積蓄力量實(shí)現(xiàn)中國式的和平崛起。
[Abstract]:Kosovo is a research hotspot in the academic circles at home and abroad in recent years. Kosovo's ethnic problems in Albania and starting point source of dispute of Serbia nationality two main national interests. The understanding of history is different, different religious beliefs, different ethnic formation process, makes the CEA on the understanding of the Kosovo two group have great differences. Both sides believe that he is the real master of Kosovo, Kosovo is the legitimate owner. Historically, CEA group two insisted that he is the first to settle in Kosovo master. Religious group two were orthodox, plug and Islam. According to the interests of relevant groups, the article uses the political to analyze the common interests of the new study and Discussion on the issue of Kosovo.
First of all, the cause of problems in Kosovo, the development and present situation. After a brief review of the history of the two nation, CEA Kosovo as their core interests. After the end of World War II, along with Yugoslavia and Albania in two countries has since independence, although Kosovo as an autonomous province belonged to Yugoslavia. But the land of Kosovo has signed the two main ethnic Serbs and Albanians, however in population after the Second World War, Albanian has already achieved dominance. Since then, two people due to their different interests conflict many times. In the disintegration of the former Yugoslavia, the ethnic conflict can be divided into three times, making the solution the Kosovo issue is becoming more and more complicated.
Secondly, ethnic problems in Kosovo, insist on using interest analysis, has the important significance for the real understanding of the ethnic problems in Kosovo. From the political perspective, Kosovo is a game related to results of political interest groups. The most important one is the core interests of the relevant group to achieve their maximum the interests of their own pursuit.
The world, for their own interests, and Serbia are the common Slavic, Russian Orthodox faith, actively support Yugoslavia's sovereignty and territorial integrity, look forward to a strong Yugoslavia has become the main support for Eastern European interests. The United States hopes to dismember Yugoslavia to produce a group of small Balkan countries, oil control to achieve its leadership in the world,, windfall. Other European countries want Yugoslavia to Europe, become a member of the European family, Europe has gradually become a whole can become a force and beauty, Russia equal rival pole. Chinese is the core interests in ensuring its sovereignty and territorial situation, to consolidate relations with all the development of neighboring countries, Europe and beauty three party relationships, undivided attention to seek their own development, realize their peaceful rise as soon as possible.
Again, the article pointed out that, after the independence of Kosovo, although Serbia was dismembered, but fortunately Balkan has not been lit, the outbreak of World War mass. However it has given ethnic separatists a wrong signal to the world, there are problems of ethnic separatism countries palpitations. Global interests share under the world economic integration organization, the political independence of Kosovo and raging like a storm, obviously the international trend draw further apart.
Finally, the paper prospects the United States in Kosovo after independence, strategic interests will continue to adjust, and then play a trick of new interventionism, looking for potential rivals in the world, to weaken and collapse in Europe. After the war, will make Kosovo and Serbia into the process of European integration, eliminate hidden dangers, to expand their own strength. Russia's defeat in Kosovo, the Russian and European arms completely lost into fantasy, instead seeking to strengthen their own strength, strengthen the European Union and the United States against. Yugoslavia learned ethnic splitting lessons, Kosovo experience of war Chinese, the power savings achieved will be as in the past China the peaceful rise.

【學(xué)位授予單位】：中央民族大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2009
【分類號】：D75

【參考文獻(xiàn)】

相關(guān)期刊論文 前10條

1 郭永學(xué);原蘇聯(lián)與前南斯拉夫民族政策的比較[J];東歐中亞研究;2000年04期

2 左婭;錯綜復(fù)雜的科索沃問題[J];東歐中亞研究;1999年03期

3 唐小松;試論南斯拉夫種族沖突的深層原因[J];今日東歐中亞;2000年01期

4 俞沂暄 ,張熹珂;前南斯拉夫民族矛盾的制度根源[J];今日東歐中亞;2000年01期

5 丁煌;利益分析:研究政策執(zhí)行問題的基本方法論原則[J];廣東行政學(xué)院學(xué)報;2004年03期

6 時殷弘,宋德星;科索沃沖突與國際政治倫理[J];美國研究;1999年03期

7 徐琳;;利益分析法在政治學(xué)研究中的意義[J];求索;2006年01期

8 何俐,何躍;冷戰(zhàn)后民族主義和種族沖突原因探析——以前南斯拉夫民族主義和種族沖突為個案[J];思想戰(zhàn)線;2000年05期

9 祝靈君;試論政治學(xué)研究中的利益分析方法[J];北京行政學(xué)院學(xué)報;2003年03期

10 余建華;聯(lián)邦制與南斯拉夫民族問題[J];政治與法律;2004年02期

相關(guān)重要報紙文章 前1條

1 宋文富;[N];光明日報;2007年

，

本文編號：1420193