本文選題：恐怖活動(dòng)風(fēng)險(xiǎn) + “一帶一路”��； 參考：《世界經(jīng)濟(jì)文匯》2017年01期

【摘要】：本文使用66個(gè)"一帶一路"沿線國(guó)家2000-2013年間的跨國(guó)面板數(shù)據(jù),對(duì)恐怖活動(dòng)風(fēng)險(xiǎn)的"貿(mào)易隔離效應(yīng)"進(jìn)行了實(shí)證研究,發(fā)現(xiàn)一國(guó)恐怖活動(dòng)風(fēng)險(xiǎn)上升確實(shí)會(huì)產(chǎn)生顯著的"貿(mào)易隔離效應(yīng)",主要表現(xiàn)為顯著拉低其出口依存度。在考慮了恐怖活動(dòng)風(fēng)險(xiǎn)變量的內(nèi)生性和恐怖活動(dòng)的傷亡規(guī)模異質(zhì)性之后,此結(jié)論依然穩(wěn)健。此外,恐怖活動(dòng)風(fēng)險(xiǎn)的"貿(mào)易隔離效應(yīng)"還有襲擊目標(biāo)異質(zhì)性的特征,即"貿(mào)易隔離效應(yīng)"程度與恐怖活動(dòng)襲擊目標(biāo)的隨機(jī)性程度正相關(guān)。
[Abstract]:Using the transnational panel data of 66 countries along the "Belt and Road" from 2000 to 2013, this paper makes an empirical study on the "trade isolation effect" of terrorist risk. It is found that the rising risk of terrorist activities in a country does have a significant "trade isolation effect", which mainly shows as a significant decrease in its export dependence. After considering the endogenous nature of terrorist risk variables and the heterogeneity of terrorist casualties, this conclusion is still robust. In addition, the "trade isolation effect" of the risk of terrorist activity is also characterized by heterogeneity of the target, that is, the degree of "trade isolation effect" is positively related to the randomness of the target of terrorist attack.
【作者單位】： 南京大學(xué)經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)院;
【基金】：國(guó)家社科基金重大項(xiàng)目“全球價(jià)值鏈發(fā)展變化與我國(guó)創(chuàng)新驅(qū)動(dòng)發(fā)展戰(zhàn)略研究”(15ZDA060) 中國(guó)特色社會(huì)主義經(jīng)濟(jì)建設(shè)協(xié)同創(chuàng)新中心的資助
【分類號(hào)】：D815.5;F752
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本文編號(hào)：2003435