本文選題：威權(quán)政體政權(quán)存續(xù)　切入點：風險治理　出處：《社會》2017年03期 　論文類型：期刊論文

【摘要】：本文由曹正漢提出的"風險論"出發(fā),以威權(quán)政體政權(quán)存續(xù)的理論視角,探究中國治亂周期與統(tǒng)治者風險治理策略之間的關(guān)系,以及在治亂之間,統(tǒng)治者透過何種機制調(diào)節(jié)動態(tài)平衡以維系政權(quán),又為何調(diào)節(jié)風險平衡機制在某些時候能奏效在另一時點上卻失靈。藉由歷史制度主義的時序分析,本文提出風險治理的"不可能三角",以解釋治亂周期的波動,并發(fā)現(xiàn)風險調(diào)節(jié)機制之所以越到朝代后期越難奏效,肇因于開朝初期統(tǒng)治者為防制政變風險所采取的政治吸納策略。這些策略隨著時間演化及一連串反應序列后,破壞了統(tǒng)治者用來防治民變及外患風險的機制,并進一步弱化了國家的基礎權(quán)力,導致國家能力下降,風險平衡機制失靈,從而陷入統(tǒng)治危機。
[Abstract]:Based on the "risk theory" put forward by Cao Zhenghan, this paper explores the relationship between the cycle of governance of chaos in China and the governance strategy of rulers' risk from the theoretical perspective of the existence of authoritarian regimes, as well as the relationship between governance of chaos and the period of governance. Through what mechanism the ruler adjusts the dynamic balance to maintain the regime, and why the mechanism of regulating the balance of risks can work at some time but fails at another time, by the time series analysis of historical institutionalism, In this paper, the "impossible triangle" of risk management is proposed to explain the fluctuation of chaos control cycle, and it is found that the mechanism of risk regulation becomes more and more difficult to work until the later period of the dynasty. This was due to the political absorption strategies adopted by rulers to prevent the risk of coup d'茅 tat in the early days of the Kai Dynasty. These strategies evolved over time and a series of reaction sequences, which destroyed the mechanism used by the rulers to prevent and control the people's revolt and the risk of foreign invasion. And further weakened the basic power of the state, resulting in the decline of national capacity, risk balance mechanism failure, thus falling into the governance crisis.
【作者單位】： 浙江大學社會學系;浙江大學地方政府與社會治理研究中心;
【分類號】：D691.2

【相似文獻】

相關(guān)期刊論文 前4條

1 崔德華;;社會主義和諧社會構(gòu)建中的風險治理問題[J];中共銀川市委黨校學報;2008年06期

2 唐旭斌;;社會風險治理的公民社會責任[J];石家莊鐵道大學學報(社會科學版);2011年03期

3 崔德華;;風險治理視角下的政府形象建設研究[J];華北電力大學學報(社會科學版);2013年02期

4 ;[J];;年期

相關(guān)重要報紙文章 前2條

1 姚儉建 上海市社會主義學院副院長 教授;建構(gòu)共擔職責的風險治理機制[N];文匯報;2014年

2 華東政法大學國際法學院 張磊;加納風波警示海外風險治理[N];法制日報;2013年

相關(guān)碩士學位論文 前1條

1 陳光;風險社會中多元主體的治理模式研究[D];西南財經(jīng)大學;2010年

，

本文編號：1624495