本文選題：汽車共享 + 出行模式　； 參考：《南京大學》2017年碩士論文

【摘要】：隨著我國經(jīng)濟的快速發(fā)展和城市化進程的不斷推進,出行者的出行需求不斷增加并趨于多樣化。作為一種新興出行模式,汽車共享的推行有助于緩解出行供需矛盾、減少私家車的保有量、提高車輛的使用效率和降低出行者的出行成本。在汽車共享出行模式的研究方面,已有的研究大多是針對出行者對汽車共享出行模式的使用意愿的實證研究,主要從出行者的社會經(jīng)濟屬性、家庭屬性、出行屬性和心理感知等內(nèi)部因素的視角,研究其對汽車共享出行模式選擇行為的影響。本文借助演化博弈理論,研究政府和汽車共享運營商等外部因素影響下,出行者汽車共享出行模式選擇行為的演化機理。論文首先分析了不同出行模式的特征及出行者出行模式選擇行為的影響因素,著重剖析了汽車共享出行模式選擇行為的影響因素,并解釋了將政府政策和運營規(guī)模作為外部影響因素進行研究的重要性。考慮到政府的激勵政策會提高汽車共享出行模式對出行者的吸引力,論文隨后以出行者和政府作為博弈對象,構(gòu)建了出行者與政府策略選擇的演化博弈模型,通過算例分析了政府給予汽車共享出行者的補貼、出行者因缺少政策支持時面臨的時間損失、政府制定政策獲得的政策收益、政策制定成本等參數(shù)變化對最終演化結(jié)果的影響。最后考慮了汽車共享運營商對出行者的汽車共享出行模式選擇的影響。運營規(guī)模的大小決定了汽車共享運營商的車輛配置和車輛調(diào)度策略,從而決定了運營商的運營成本,而運營規(guī)模的不同對出行者的汽車共享出行模式選擇的影響也不同。基于此,本文構(gòu)建了出行者和汽車共享運營商的演化博弈模型,研究運營規(guī)模對出行者的汽車共享出行模式選擇的影響。通過算例分析了汽車共享運營商采取小規(guī)模運營時出行者面臨的時間損失、汽車共享運營商采取大規(guī)模運營增加的收益和增加的成本等參數(shù)變化對最終演化結(jié)果的影響。論文的研究對政府和汽車共享運營商制定相關策略具有一定的參考價值。
[Abstract]:With the rapid development of economy and the development of urbanization, the travel demand of travelers is increasing and becoming diversified.As a new travel mode, the implementation of car sharing helps to alleviate the contradiction between supply and demand, reduce the number of private cars, improve the efficiency of vehicle use and reduce the travel costs of travelers.In the research of car sharing travel mode, most of the existing research is aimed at the passenger's willingness to use the car share travel mode, mainly from the travelers' social and economic attributes, family attributes,From the perspective of internal factors, such as travel attributes and psychological perception, this paper studies the influence of travel attributes on the choice of shared travel modes.With the help of evolutionary game theory, this paper studies the evolution mechanism of the choice behavior of car-sharing travel mode under the influence of external factors such as government and car-sharing operator.Firstly, the paper analyzes the characteristics of different travel modes and the influencing factors of travelers' travel mode choice behavior, and focuses on the factors that affect the choice behavior of automobile shared trip mode.It also explains the importance of taking government policy and operation scale as external factors.Considering that the incentive policy of the government will enhance the attraction of the car-sharing travel mode to the travelers, the paper takes the traveler and the government as the game objects, and constructs the evolutionary game model of the choice of the traveler and the government strategy.An example is given to analyze the effect of the government subsidy to the automobile sharing traveler, the time loss faced by the traveller due to the lack of policy support, the policy income obtained by the government policy formulation, the policy formulation cost, and other parameter changes on the final evolution results.Finally, the influence of car-sharing operators on the choice of car-sharing travel modes for travelers is considered.The size of the operation scale determines the vehicle configuration and vehicle scheduling strategy of the vehicle sharing operator, thus determines the operation cost of the operator, and the different operation scale has different influence on the choice of the vehicle sharing travel mode.Based on this, this paper constructs an evolutionary game model between traveler and car-sharing operator to study the influence of operation scale on the choice of car-sharing travel mode.An example is given to analyze the time loss faced by the car-sharing operators when they take small scale operation, and the effect of the changes of the parameters such as the increase of the profit and the cost of the large-scale operation on the final evolution result.The research of this paper has certain reference value to the government and the automobile share operator to formulate the related strategy.
【學位授予單位】：南京大學
【學位級別】：碩士
【學位授予年份】：2017
【分類號】：F224.32;F721
，

本文編號：1752214