本文關(guān)鍵詞： 可持續(xù)發(fā)展 肇州縣 生態(tài)足跡模型　出處：《東北農(nóng)業(yè)大學(xué)》2014年碩士論文　論文類型：學(xué)位論文

【摘要】：近年來(lái),在我國(guó)加快推進(jìn)農(nóng)業(yè)現(xiàn)代化、工業(yè)化、城鎮(zhèn)化進(jìn)程的大趨勢(shì)下,肇州縣進(jìn)入21世紀(jì)后,特別近年來(lái),經(jīng)濟(jì)社會(huì)發(fā)展速度不斷加快,農(nóng)業(yè)現(xiàn)代化、工業(yè)化、城鎮(zhèn)化進(jìn)程也不斷加快,縣域經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展取得了豐碩的發(fā)展成果,但是由于以資源為代價(jià)換取經(jīng)濟(jì)的高速增長(zhǎng),使得肇州縣縣域經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展也出現(xiàn)了人地緊張、生態(tài)退化等資源環(huán)境問題。本文查閱國(guó)內(nèi)外大量相關(guān)文獻(xiàn),歸納分析相關(guān)研究理論,通過(guò)實(shí)證分析和定量分析,深入分析了肇州縣發(fā)展現(xiàn)狀,為分析肇州縣可持續(xù)發(fā)展提供了數(shù)據(jù)支撐。本文采用生態(tài)足跡模型對(duì)肇州縣2010年生態(tài)足跡進(jìn)行了分析評(píng)價(jià),評(píng)價(jià)結(jié)果得出：肇州縣2010年人均生態(tài)足跡為3.052gha/cap,人均可利用生態(tài)承載力為1.4754gha/cap。并且對(duì)肇州縣1990年、2002年、2010年時(shí)間跨度內(nèi)的生態(tài)足跡進(jìn)行了橫向動(dòng)態(tài)研究,在此基礎(chǔ)上,通過(guò)生態(tài)足跡、生態(tài)承載力、萬(wàn)元GDP、發(fā)展能力等方面指標(biāo)的分析,具體評(píng)價(jià)了肇州縣可持續(xù)發(fā)展?fàn)顟B(tài)。橫向動(dòng)態(tài)對(duì)比結(jié)果顯示,1990-2010年間肇州縣生態(tài)足跡呈現(xiàn)迅速增長(zhǎng)的趨勢(shì),導(dǎo)致這種現(xiàn)象的最直接原因是縣域經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展過(guò)程中農(nóng)業(yè)現(xiàn)代化、工業(yè)化、城鎮(zhèn)化進(jìn)程加快,是化石燃料消費(fèi)的增加引起的。1990-2010年肇州縣生態(tài)承載力呈現(xiàn)小幅度上升趨勢(shì),主要原因是隨著科技的發(fā)展,生產(chǎn)技術(shù)不斷革新,從而提高了生態(tài)承載力,但提升空間有限,任然落后與生態(tài)足跡需求的增長(zhǎng)速度。1990-2010年間肇州縣生態(tài)赤字不斷加大,因?yàn)檎刂菘h縣域經(jīng)濟(jì)的快速發(fā)展導(dǎo)致生態(tài)足跡的增長(zhǎng)速度遠(yuǎn)遠(yuǎn)高于生態(tài)承載力的增長(zhǎng)速度,所以,目前,肇州縣縣域經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展處于不可持續(xù)狀態(tài),縣域經(jīng)濟(jì)經(jīng)發(fā)展對(duì)土地的需求大大超出了土地的承載能力,形勢(shì)較為嚴(yán)峻。 因此,如何轉(zhuǎn)變粗放的經(jīng)濟(jì)社會(huì)發(fā)展方式,促進(jìn)肇州縣的可持續(xù)發(fā)展具有重要意義。肇州縣要實(shí)現(xiàn)可持續(xù)發(fā)展,就要針對(duì)肇州縣現(xiàn)階段的發(fā)展模式中制約可持續(xù)發(fā)展的因素,轉(zhuǎn)變其發(fā)展方式,促進(jìn)可持續(xù)發(fā)展。本文根據(jù)肇州縣實(shí)際發(fā)展?fàn)顩r,綜合分析縣域國(guó)民經(jīng)濟(jì)區(qū)位、經(jīng)濟(jì)綜合發(fā)展實(shí)力、歷史文化等多方面要素,針對(duì)問題、分析問題、解決問題,提出建議如下：實(shí)現(xiàn)可持續(xù)發(fā)展,非一朝一夕之事,應(yīng)本著眼于長(zhǎng)遠(yuǎn),為子孫后代謀求福利的理念,首先是控制人口規(guī)模、提高人口素質(zhì)；加強(qiáng)耕地保護(hù),提高土地資源管理水平；大力發(fā)展低碳經(jīng)濟(jì)、循環(huán)經(jīng)濟(jì)和生態(tài)經(jīng)濟(jì),減少環(huán)境污染。在肇州縣2010年生態(tài)足跡中,能源消費(fèi)占生態(tài)足跡比重較大,因此肇州縣積極探索低碳化的發(fā)展道路,處理好工業(yè)化、城鎮(zhèn)化發(fā)展與資源環(huán)境協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展的關(guān)系；加強(qiáng)生態(tài)環(huán)境保護(hù)和治理,提高生態(tài)系統(tǒng)承載力。肇州縣的資源總量有限,提高生態(tài)承載力是肇州縣實(shí)現(xiàn)可持續(xù)發(fā)展的另一重要舉措：一是增加生產(chǎn)性土地的面積,二是提高生產(chǎn)技術(shù)水平,進(jìn)而提高生產(chǎn)能力。因此轉(zhuǎn)變發(fā)展方式,實(shí)現(xiàn)低碳發(fā)展和提高生物承載力是肇州縣實(shí)現(xiàn)可持續(xù)發(fā)展的重要策略。
[Abstract]:In recent years, in our country to accelerate the modernization of agriculture, industrialization, the trend of the urbanization process, Zhaozhou County in twenty-first Century after entering, especially in recent years, accelerating the speed of economic and social development, agricultural modernization, industrialization, urbanization process is accelerating, the development of county economy development has achieved fruitful results, but due to the high speed in order to increase resource costs in exchange for economic development of Zhaozhou county economy, which also appeared in the human nervous, ecological degradation, resource and environmental problems. In this paper, a large number of relevant literatures at home and abroad, summarized relevant research theory, through empirical analysis and quantitative analysis, in-depth analysis of the current situation of the development of Zhaozhou County, to provide data support analysis of sustainable development in Zhaozhou county. This paper uses ecological footprint model to analyze and evaluate the ecological footprint of Zhaozhou County in 2010, the evaluation results: Zhaozhou County per capita in 2010 The ecological footprint is 3.052gha/cap, the per capita ecological carrying capacity is 1.4754gha/cap. and in Zhaozhou County in 1990, 2002, 2010, the ecological footprint within the time span of the transverse dynamic research, based on the ecological footprint, ecological carrying capacity, GDP million yuan, the analysis index development ability, evaluates the sustainable development Zhaozhou County state. The lateral dynamic comparison results show that the ecological footprint of Zhaozhou county during 1990-2010 showed the trend of rapid growth, the most direct cause of this phenomenon is the process of agricultural modernization, the development of county economy in industrialization, urbanization, is caused by the increase of.1990-2010 in Zhaozhou County, the ecological carrying capacity showed a small upward trend of fossil fuel consumption the main reason is that with the development of science and technology, production technology innovation, so as to improve the ecological carrying capacity, but enhance the limited space, Ren However, behind the ecological footprint demand growth rate during.1990-2010 in Zhaozhou County Ecological deficit increased continuously, because of the rapid development of economy of Zhaozhou County in the ecological footprint growth rate is far higher than the growth rate of the ecological capacity, so, at present, Zhaozhou county's economic development is not sustainable, the county economic development the demand for land far beyond the carrying capacity of the land, the situation is more severe.
Therefore, how to change the extensive mode of economic and social development, has important significance to promote the sustainable development of Zhaozhou county. Zhaozhou county to achieve sustainable development, are factors restricting the sustainable development of development model for Zhaozhou County in the present stage, the transformation of the mode of development, promote the sustainable development of Zhaozhou County. According to the actual situation, comprehensive analysis of national economic area county, comprehensive economic development strength, many historical and cultural elements, aiming at the problems, analyze problems, solve problems, suggestions are as follows: to achieve sustainable development, not a short duration of time things, we should focus on the long term, to seek the welfare of the concept for future generations, the first is to control the population, improve population quality; to strengthen the protection of arable land, improve the land resources management level; to develop low-carbon economy, circular economy and ecological economy, reduce environmental pollution in Zhaozhou County in 2010. The ecological footprint, the ecological footprint of energy consumption accounted for a larger proportion, so Zhaozhou county actively explore the development path of low carbon, handle the relationship between industrialization and the coordinated development of urbanization and the development of resources and environment; strengthen environmental protection and governance, improve the bearing capacity of the ecological system in Zhaozhou County. The total amount of resources, improve the ecological carrying capacity is another important measure to realize the sustainable development of Zhaozhou county. One is to increase the area of productive land, two is to improve the level of production technology, improve production capacity. So the transformation of the mode of development, low-carbon development and improve the biological carrying capacity is an important strategy to realize the sustainable development of Zhaozhou county.

【學(xué)位授予單位】：東北農(nóng)業(yè)大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2014
【分類號(hào)】：F205;F301.2

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