本文關(guān)鍵詞：區(qū)域水資源“三條紅線”管理績(jī)效評(píng)價(jià)模型研究及實(shí)證分析　出處：《山東農(nóng)業(yè)大學(xué)》2014年碩士論文　論文類型：學(xué)位論文

  更多相關(guān)文章： 最嚴(yán)格水資源管理制度 指標(biāo)體系 管理能力評(píng)價(jià) TOPSIS AHP—熵權(quán)法 灰色關(guān)聯(lián)分析

【摘要】：水是生命之源、生產(chǎn)之要、生態(tài)之基。水資源是地球上最為寶貴的財(cái)富,水造就了人類的文明史,推動(dòng)了人類經(jīng)濟(jì)社會(huì)的發(fā)展。近年來,伴隨全球經(jīng)濟(jì)社會(huì)的快速發(fā)展,世界范圍內(nèi)水資源匱乏凸顯,水資源形勢(shì)日益嚴(yán)峻,水資源短缺、水生態(tài)脆弱、水災(zāi)害威脅已經(jīng)成為威脅人類生存發(fā)展的突出水問題。因此,重視水資源管理、促進(jìn)水資源可持續(xù)利用,已經(jīng)成為各國(guó)政府和國(guó)際社會(huì)的共識(shí),各國(guó)都加大了對(duì)本國(guó)水資源的管理：逐步建立完善水資源管理的法律法規(guī)體系；推進(jìn)水資源權(quán)屬管理；重視生態(tài)用水,加強(qiáng)水資源的調(diào)度配置；國(guó)際間加快全球水資源信息化建設(shè)和水利合作,提高了水資源管理的技術(shù)水平。 立足當(dāng)前,著眼長(zhǎng)遠(yuǎn),我國(guó)根據(jù)本國(guó)的基本國(guó)情社情提出了實(shí)施最嚴(yán)格的水資源管理制度的要求,經(jīng)過近幾年的全面貫徹,持續(xù)推進(jìn),最嚴(yán)格水資源管理制度在我國(guó)已從最初的設(shè)想逐步走向了成熟,在我國(guó)多個(gè)省市縣推廣實(shí)施,明確了以“三條紅線”為核心的“四項(xiàng)制度”作為其基本構(gòu)架。但是必須注意到在微觀層面,區(qū)域水資源管理責(zé)任和考核制度尚未落實(shí),區(qū)域水資源供求矛盾突出,地區(qū)缺水嚴(yán)重,水資源分布與國(guó)民經(jīng)濟(jì)布局不相適應(yīng),水資源供需矛盾嚴(yán)重制約著區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)的發(fā)展。因此,為了保障我國(guó)“三條紅線”水資源管理制度落實(shí)到實(shí)處,必須建立區(qū)域最嚴(yán)格水資源“三條紅線”管理績(jī)效評(píng)價(jià)模型和采用與之相適應(yīng)的數(shù)學(xué)方法,進(jìn)行區(qū)域“三條紅線”水資源管理能力評(píng)價(jià),分析不同區(qū)域內(nèi)水資源管理的實(shí)際情況和存在的問題并因地制宜地提出解決方案。只有實(shí)現(xiàn)了區(qū)域最嚴(yán)格水資源管理制度的實(shí)施,才能進(jìn)一步推進(jìn)我國(guó)水資源管理的嚴(yán)格化、精細(xì)化和系統(tǒng)化研究,進(jìn)一步實(shí)現(xiàn)水資源的可持續(xù)利用 本文在深入探討了最嚴(yán)格水資源管理的制度含義和體系構(gòu)成的基礎(chǔ)上,結(jié)合區(qū)域水資源管理自身的特點(diǎn),通過搜集大量的統(tǒng)計(jì)資料,綜合考慮用水總量、用水效率和水功能區(qū)限制納污“三條紅線”的內(nèi)涵,根據(jù)指標(biāo)體系構(gòu)建的原則,構(gòu)建了區(qū)域水資源管理“三條紅線”評(píng)價(jià)指標(biāo)體系。 其次,在仔細(xì)研究了灰色關(guān)聯(lián)分析法和TOPSIS分析法,對(duì)兩者的使用范圍和優(yōu)缺點(diǎn)做了比較后,最終確定了構(gòu)建基于灰色關(guān)聯(lián)分析的改進(jìn)TOPSIS模型作為對(duì)區(qū)域水資源管理能力進(jìn)行評(píng)價(jià)的數(shù)學(xué)模型；隨后詳細(xì)闡述了該模型的基本思想、具體求解步驟和計(jì)算方法,明晰了如何根據(jù)評(píng)價(jià)結(jié)果對(duì)水資源管理能力進(jìn)行評(píng)價(jià)。 最后,以山東省濟(jì)南市為實(shí)例,應(yīng)用區(qū)域水資源管理“三條紅線”評(píng)價(jià)指標(biāo)體系和基于灰色關(guān)聯(lián)分析的改進(jìn)TOPSIS模型對(duì)濟(jì)南市近年來的水資源管理能力進(jìn)行評(píng)價(jià),將主觀因素和客觀數(shù)據(jù)相結(jié)合,最終采用TOPSIS模型中的關(guān)聯(lián)相對(duì)貼近度對(duì)歷年來濟(jì)南的水資源管理能力進(jìn)行評(píng)價(jià),評(píng)價(jià)過程建立在客觀數(shù)據(jù)的基礎(chǔ)上,評(píng)價(jià)結(jié)果與近年來濟(jì)南市水資源管理的實(shí)際情況基本相吻,說明該評(píng)價(jià)指標(biāo)體系和數(shù)學(xué)評(píng)價(jià)模型得到了很好的銜接,具有針對(duì)性和有效性。
[Abstract]:Water is the Source of Life, production to ecological base. Water resources are the valuable wealth of the earth on the water, creating a history of human civilization, to promote the development of human society. In recent years, with the rapid development of the global economy and society, highlighting the world's water shortage, water resources situation is increasingly grim the shortage of water resources, water, ecological fragility, water hazard has become a prominent problem of water threat to human survival and development. Therefore, pay attention to the management of water resources, sustainable utilization of water resources has become the consensus of the international community and governments, governments are increasing in their domestic water resources management, and gradually establish and improve the management of water resources the system of laws and regulations; to promote water rights management; pay attention to the ecological water, strengthen the scheduling of water resources allocation; accelerate the global water resources informatization construction and water conservancy international cooperation, improve the water resources The technical level of management.
Based on the current and long-term perspective, China put forward the implementation of the most stringent water management system requirements according to their own basic social conditions, through the comprehensive implementation, in recent years the most strict water resources management system in our country from the original vision gradually mature, implementation in China provincial cities and counties to promotion, to clear the "three line" as the core of the "four system" as its basic framework. It must be noticed in the micro level, the regional water resources management responsibility and evaluation system has not been implemented, the regional water resources supply and demand contradiction, serious water shortage area, water resources distribution and layout of national economy do not adapt, the contradiction between water supply and demand is seriously restricting the development of regional economy. Therefore, in order to safeguard our country "three line" water resources management system to implement, must establish the strict regional water resources "three red Line management performance evaluation model and the mathematical method corresponding to the evaluation of regional "three line" water resources management ability, analysis of the actual situation in different regions of the water resources management and the existing problems and proposes solutions. Only to achieve the implementation of the most stringent water resources management system, in order to further promote the strict water resources management in China, the research of refinement and system, further realize the sustainable utilization of water resources
Based on the in-depth study of the system constitute the basis of the meaning and system of the most strict water resources management, combined with the characteristics of regional water resources management itself, by collecting a large amount of statistical data, the total amount of water into consideration, water use efficiency and water pollutant limits the function and connotation of the "three line", according to the principle of index system the construction of regional water resource management, "three line" evaluation index system.
Secondly, in the careful study of the grey correlation analysis method and TOPSIS analysis method, the use of both advantages and disadvantages, and ultimately determine the construction of improved TOPSIS model of grey relational analysis as a mathematical model to evaluate the regional water resources management based on competence; then elaborates the basic idea of the model, specific the solving steps and calculation method, clarifies how to according to the evaluation results to evaluate the water resources management.
Finally, taking Shandong city of Ji'nan Province as an example, the application of regional water resources management evaluation index system of "three line" and the management of water resources capacity of Ji'nan city in recent years to improve the TOPSIS model based on grey relational analysis evaluation, the combination of subjective and objective data, the TOPSIS model of relative closeness the management of water resources capacity of Ji'nan over the years to evaluate the evaluation process based on objective data, the assessment results and in recent years the actual situation of Ji'nan city water resources management of the basic kiss, the evaluation index system and mathematical evaluation model has very good convergence, targeted and effective.

【學(xué)位授予單位】：山東農(nóng)業(yè)大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2014
【分類號(hào)】：TV213.4

【參考文獻(xiàn)】

相關(guān)期刊論文 前10條

1 石麗忠;陳金良;遲道才;;運(yùn)用模糊綜合評(píng)判法動(dòng)態(tài)評(píng)價(jià)沈陽市水資源[J];安徽農(nóng)業(yè)科學(xué);2010年23期

2 戴育華;任大朋;;量化指標(biāo) 完善考核 實(shí)行“最嚴(yán)格”水資源管理[J];北京觀察;2011年07期

3 孫可可;陳進(jìn);;基于武漢市水資源“三條紅線”管理的評(píng)價(jià)指標(biāo)量化方法探討[J];長(zhǎng)江科學(xué)院院報(bào);2011年12期

4 孫穎娜;付強(qiáng);邢貞相;;隨機(jī)理論方法在水文模擬中的應(yīng)用[J];東北農(nóng)業(yè)大學(xué)學(xué)報(bào);2010年06期

5 穆廣杰;;河南省水資源可持續(xù)利用指標(biāo)體系構(gòu)建[J];地域研究與開發(fā);2011年05期

6 郭麗娟;儀彬;關(guān)蓉;王志云;;簡(jiǎn)約指標(biāo)體系下的區(qū)域創(chuàng)新能力評(píng)價(jià)——基于主基底變量篩選和主成分分析方法[J];系統(tǒng)工程;2011年07期

7 胡繼連,葛顏祥;黃河水資源的分配模式與協(xié)調(diào)機(jī)制——兼論黃河水權(quán)市場(chǎng)的建設(shè)與管理[J];管理世界;2004年08期

8 孟祥明;張宏偉;孫韜;王媛;鐘定勝;李云生;王艷坤;;基尼系數(shù)法在水污染物總量分配中的應(yīng)用[J];中國(guó)給水排水;2008年23期

9 湯光華,曾憲報(bào);構(gòu)建指標(biāo)體系的原理與方法[J];河北經(jīng)貿(mào)大學(xué)學(xué)報(bào);1997年04期

10 胡震云;雷貴榮;韓剛;;基于水資源利用技術(shù)效率的區(qū)域用水總量控制[J];河海大學(xué)學(xué)報(bào)(自然科學(xué)版);2010年01期

，

本文編號(hào)：1367757