發(fā)布時(shí)間：2018-02-26 15:01

  本文關(guān)鍵詞： 建筑業(yè) 經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng) 協(xié)整分析 格蘭杰因果檢驗(yàn)　出處：《河南師范大學(xué)》2013年碩士論文　論文類型：學(xué)位論文

【摘要】：隨著我國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)的快速發(fā)展，建筑業(yè)對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的推動(dòng)作用明顯增強(qiáng)，各地區(qū)GDP的貢獻(xiàn)率在很大程度上依靠建筑業(yè)的拉動(dòng)，在全國(guó)各地一片“折舊建新”的形勢(shì)下研究建筑業(yè)與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的關(guān)系尤為重要。 建筑業(yè)的發(fā)展為大量農(nóng)村剩余勞動(dòng)力的轉(zhuǎn)移提供了廣闊的前景，尤其是我國(guó)正處于工業(yè)化的中期階段，建筑業(yè)不但能促進(jìn)城市化進(jìn)程的加快，而且為社會(huì)主義新農(nóng)村建設(shè)帶來了充足活力。建筑業(yè)對(duì)我國(guó)的影響主要表現(xiàn)在對(duì)整個(gè)經(jīng)濟(jì)社會(huì)的就業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)和經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的貢獻(xiàn)上。本文的研究在把我國(guó)分為四大區(qū)的基礎(chǔ)上（中國(guó)四大區(qū)指我國(guó)大陸四大經(jīng)濟(jì)區(qū)域，即東部、中部、西部和東北地區(qū)），分別考察了建筑業(yè)對(duì)各地經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的貢獻(xiàn)。一方面建筑業(yè)不但能促進(jìn)就業(yè)，直接帶來GDP，而且其發(fā)展對(duì)區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)的推動(dòng)作用也相當(dāng)明顯；另一方面建筑業(yè)的發(fā)展加快了工業(yè)化進(jìn)程，建筑業(yè)對(duì)相關(guān)的上下游產(chǎn)業(yè)，包括相關(guān)的研發(fā)、咨詢服務(wù)以及各類新型建材產(chǎn)業(yè)的發(fā)展，都起到了明顯的拉動(dòng)和輻射作用。尤其表現(xiàn)在對(duì)工業(yè)化的拉動(dòng)、輻射作用進(jìn)一步顯現(xiàn)，直接帶動(dòng)了水泥、鋼鐵、制造、電力、水利等多個(gè)經(jīng)濟(jì)門類和行業(yè)的發(fā)展，為實(shí)現(xiàn)工業(yè)強(qiáng)國(guó)發(fā)展目標(biāo)發(fā)揮著積極作用。 協(xié)整分析的結(jié)果顯示不是所有地區(qū)建筑業(yè)對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展長(zhǎng)期影響都是顯著的，也并不是所有地區(qū)經(jīng)濟(jì)的發(fā)展都能帶動(dòng)本地建筑業(yè)的長(zhǎng)期繁榮。從全國(guó)范圍來看，建筑業(yè)的發(fā)展并不一定能帶來經(jīng)濟(jì)的長(zhǎng)期增長(zhǎng)，對(duì)于東部和中部地區(qū)存在類似的結(jié)論；建筑業(yè)對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)有比較明顯的促進(jìn)作用，，也就是說，對(duì)于中、東部地區(qū)來說，經(jīng)濟(jì)的發(fā)展能在今后相當(dāng)長(zhǎng)的一段時(shí)間內(nèi)帶動(dòng)建筑業(yè)的發(fā)展，尤其是中部；而對(duì)于西部和東北部的情況來說，情況則大有不同，一方面建筑業(yè)發(fā)展能在相當(dāng)長(zhǎng)的一段時(shí)間內(nèi)給經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)帶來強(qiáng)勁的動(dòng)力，另一方面經(jīng)濟(jì)的發(fā)展也能在相當(dāng)長(zhǎng)的時(shí)間內(nèi)促進(jìn)建筑業(yè)的發(fā)展，二者存在雙向因果關(guān)系。盡管從協(xié)整分析的角度來看全國(guó)部分地區(qū)建筑業(yè)發(fā)展和經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)之間可能存在類似的關(guān)系，但事實(shí)上每個(gè)地區(qū)建筑業(yè)對(duì)本地經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的推動(dòng)作用存在顯著差異。我們還可以得出另一結(jié)論：越是發(fā)達(dá)地區(qū)，建筑業(yè)對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的推動(dòng)作用越不明顯；越是落后的地區(qū)，其經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)越依賴于建筑業(yè)發(fā)展。
[Abstract]:With the rapid development of China's economy, the role of construction industry in promoting economic growth has obviously increased. The contribution rate of GDP in various regions depends on the construction industry to a great extent. It is particularly important to study the relationship between construction industry and economic growth under the situation of depreciation and construction. The development of the construction industry provides a broad prospect for the transfer of a large number of rural surplus labor, especially in the middle stage of industrialization in China, which can not only accelerate the process of urbanization, but also accelerate the development of the construction industry. The influence of the construction industry on the employment structure and economic growth of the whole economy and society is mainly reflected in the contribution of the construction industry to the construction of the new socialist countryside. The research in this paper divides our country into four regions. The four major regions of China refer to the four major economic regions of China, That is, the eastern, central, western and northeast regions, respectively, examined the contribution of the construction industry to local economic growth. On the one hand, the construction industry can not only promote employment, directly bring GDP, but also promote the regional economy. On the other hand, the development of the construction industry has accelerated the industrialization process. The construction industry has developed related upstream and downstream industries, including related research and development, consulting services and various new building materials industries. All have played a significant role in pulling and radiating. Especially in the pull of industrialization, the radiation has further appeared, directly driving the development of many economic sectors and industries such as cement, steel, manufacturing, electricity, water conservancy, etc. It is playing a positive role in realizing the development goal of industrial power. The results of cointegration analysis show that not all regional construction industries have a significant long-term impact on economic development, and not all regional economic development can promote the long-term prosperity of local construction industry. From a national perspective, The development of the construction industry does not necessarily lead to long-term economic growth, and there are similar conclusions for the eastern and central regions. The construction industry has a more obvious role in promoting economic growth, that is, for the central and eastern regions, Economic development will lead to the development of the construction industry for quite a long time to come, especially in the central part, while the situation in the western and north-eastern regions will be very different. On the one hand, the development of the construction industry can bring a strong impetus to economic growth in a very long period of time, and on the other hand, the development of the economy can also promote the development of the construction industry in a very long period of time. Although there may be a similar relationship between construction development and economic growth in some parts of the country from the perspective of cointegration analysis, But in fact, there are significant differences in the contribution of the construction industry to local economic development in every region. We can also draw another conclusion: the more developed the region, the less significant the role of the construction industry in promoting economic growth; the more backward the region, the more backward it is. Its economic growth is more dependent on the development of the construction industry.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：河南師范大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2013
【分類號(hào)】：F426.92;F124.1

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