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浙江海域MASNUM海浪模式在臺風“達維”“?奔啊安祭f”過程的波浪數(shù)值模擬

發(fā)布時間:2018-01-30 00:25

  本文關鍵詞: 海洋水文學 高分辨率風場 MASNUM海浪模式 臺風過程 有效波高 出處:《應用海洋學學報》2017年02期  論文類型:期刊論文


【摘要】:利用MASNUM海浪模式、ECMWF高分辨率風場對2012年8月份臺風過程下的浙江海域的海浪狀況進行了數(shù)值模擬,與近岸觀測站的風、浪資料進行了對比檢驗和誤差分析,最后針對8月份"達維""?"及"布拉萬"3個臺風過程對浙江海域的影響進行了對比分析.風速驗證結果顯示2個站點ECMWF風速和觀測風速的偏差分別為0.18、-0.34 m/s,平均絕對誤差則為2.57、1.96m/s,均方根誤差為3.40、2.65 m/s,與觀測風速有較好的一致性.海浪驗證結果顯示8月份有效波高的相關系數(shù)在0.84以上;8月份發(fā)生的"達維""?"及"布拉萬"3個臺風期間的有效波高、波周期的模擬值與觀測值的均方根誤差分別介于0.19~0.37 m、0.88~1.28 s,波向的平均絕對誤差介于19.39°~37.65°,表明MASNUM海浪模式能夠較好的再現(xiàn)浙江海域臺風期間的海浪狀況,能夠較好模擬出浙江近海的最大波高.在數(shù)值模擬和實際觀測的基礎上,進一步的對比分析表明:"?"臺風期間,浙江外海有效波高的最大值達7.6 m,而"達維"和"布拉萬"臺風期間,數(shù)值顯示最大有效波高分別為4.4、5.4 m.
[Abstract]:The high resolution wind field of MASNUM wave model (ECMWF) is used to simulate the sea wave condition in Zhejiang during typhoon on August 2012, which is compared with the wind at the offshore observation station. The wave data are compared and tested and the error is analyzed. Finally, on August, "Davi", "sea anemone" and "Brawan" The results of wind speed verification show that the deviation between ECMWF wind speed and observed wind speed is 0.18. The mean absolute error was 2.57 / 1.96 m / s, and the root mean square error was 3.40 / 2.65 m / s. The results of wave verification show that the correlation coefficient of effective wave height in August is above 0. 84; In August, the effective wave height during the three typhoons of "Dawei" "sea anemone" and "Brawan", the root mean square error of the simulated wave period and the observed value was between 0.19 and 0.37 m, respectively. The mean absolute error of the wave direction is 19.39 擄~ 37.65 擄, which indicates that the MASNUM wave model can well reproduce the wave condition during the typhoon in Zhejiang. On the basis of numerical simulation and practical observation, further comparative analysis shows that: sea anemone during typhoon. The maximum effective wave height off the coast of Zhejiang is 7.6 m, while the maximum effective wave height is 4.44.4mduring the typhoon "Davi" and "Brawan".
【作者單位】: 寧波大學理學院;國家海洋局第一海洋研究所數(shù)值環(huán)境科學與數(shù)值模擬國家海洋重點實驗室;
【基金】:寧波市自然科學基金資助項目(2016A610075) 國家海洋局海洋咨詢中心資助項目(HS2015000171)
【分類號】:P731.22;P732
【正文快照】: (1.寧波大學理學院,浙江寧波315211;2.國家海洋局第一海洋研究所、數(shù)值環(huán)境科學與數(shù)值模擬國家海洋重點實驗室,山東青島266061)MASNUM第三代海浪數(shù)值模式是基于LAGFD-WAM海浪模式[1]由我國海洋環(huán)境科學與數(shù)值模擬國家海洋局重點實驗室研發(fā)的海浪數(shù)值模式,模式中考慮了波流相互,

本文編號:1474770

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