基于車輛行駛軌跡的駕駛?cè)俗肺才鲎诧L(fēng)險分析（英文）
發(fā)布時間：2018-04-02 15:16
本文選題：追尾風(fēng)險 切入點(diǎn)：非專業(yè)駕駛?cè)?/strong> 出處：《Journal of Southeast University(English Edition)》2017年02期
【摘要】：以探究專業(yè)及非專業(yè)駕駛?cè)俗肺才鲎诧L(fēng)險影響因素為目的,通過采集真實(shí)道路環(huán)境下專業(yè)及非專業(yè)駕駛?cè)烁Y行為軌跡數(shù)據(jù),基于碰撞時間提出了表征追尾碰撞風(fēng)險程度的追尾碰撞風(fēng)險概率計算方法.利用單因素方差分析法對專業(yè)與非專業(yè)駕駛?cè)俗肺才鲎诧L(fēng)險進(jìn)行對比分析,并分別建立了專業(yè)與非專業(yè)駕駛?cè)俗肺才鲎诧L(fēng)險模型,以識別專業(yè)與非專業(yè)駕駛?cè)俗肺才鲎诧L(fēng)險影響因素,此外,基于累計殘差法檢驗(yàn)了模型的擬合優(yōu)度.結(jié)果表明,專業(yè)及非專業(yè)駕駛?cè)俗肺才鲎诧L(fēng)險存在顯著差異.交通量、車道數(shù)及性別對非專業(yè)駕駛?cè)俗肺才鲎诧L(fēng)險影響顯著,而專業(yè)駕駛?cè)俗肺才鲎诧L(fēng)險受車輛速度和交通顯著影響.基于現(xiàn)有實(shí)驗(yàn)數(shù)據(jù)建立的駕駛?cè)俗肺才鲎诧L(fēng)險模型具有較高的擬合優(yōu)度.
[Abstract]:In order to explore the risk factors of rear-end collision between professional and non-professional drivers, we collected the track data of trailing behavior of professional and non-professional drivers in real road environment.Based on the collision time, a method to calculate the risk probability of rear-end collision is proposed.This paper makes a comparative analysis of the collision risk between professional and non-professional drivers by using single factor variance analysis method, and establishes the risk model of rear-end collision between professional and non-professional drivers, respectively.In order to identify the influencing factors of the collision risk between professional and non-professional drivers, the goodness of fit of the model is tested based on the cumulative residual method.The results show that there are significant differences between professional and non-professional drivers.Traffic volume, lane number and sex had significant effects on the risk of rear-end collision of non-professional drivers, while the risk of rear-end collision of professional drivers was significantly affected by vehicle speed and traffic.The model based on the existing experimental data has a high degree of goodness of fit.
【作者單位】： 東南大學(xué)交通學(xué)院;
【基金】：The National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.51478110)
【分類號】：U491.25
【參考文獻(xiàn)】
相關(guān)期刊論文 前2條
1 陸建;李亞平;楊海飛;;專業(yè)及非專業(yè)駕駛?cè)烁Y安全特性評價[J];交通信息與安全;2014年05期
2 陸建;張文s，
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