本文選題：煤礦險(xiǎn)兆事件 + 三類危險(xiǎn)源　； 參考：《西安科技大學(xué)》2013年碩士論文

【摘要】：近年來(lái)，我國(guó)煤炭行業(yè)百萬(wàn)噸死亡率持續(xù)下降，但安全生產(chǎn)形勢(shì)依然嚴(yán)峻。事故機(jī)理不清、欠缺險(xiǎn)兆事件辨識(shí)和預(yù)控是未能有效控制煤礦事故的根本原因。任何事故發(fā)生前都有征兆，基于三類危險(xiǎn)源理論，開(kāi)展煤礦險(xiǎn)兆事件基礎(chǔ)理論及管理研究是提高煤礦生產(chǎn)安全保障可靠性重要而實(shí)用的手段。本文首先對(duì)煤礦險(xiǎn)兆事件相關(guān)基礎(chǔ)理論進(jìn)行了分析：對(duì)其概念進(jìn)行了界定，辨析煤礦險(xiǎn)兆事件與危險(xiǎn)源及事故隱患及煤礦事故等的區(qū)別及聯(lián)系；基于事件作用對(duì)象，對(duì)煤 礦險(xiǎn)兆事件進(jìn)行分類，基于煤礦險(xiǎn)兆事件發(fā)生概率、可能導(dǎo)致事故的嚴(yán)重度以及事件類型，，將煤礦險(xiǎn)兆事件分為三級(jí)：煤礦一級(jí)險(xiǎn)兆事件、煤礦二級(jí)險(xiǎn)兆事件和煤礦三級(jí)險(xiǎn)兆事件；結(jié)合Reason的“瑞士奶酪”模型和三類危險(xiǎn)源事故致因理論，構(gòu)建基于三類危險(xiǎn)源的煤礦險(xiǎn)兆事件致因模型。其次，構(gòu)建了煤礦險(xiǎn)兆事件致因因素因果關(guān)系模型和解釋結(jié)構(gòu)模型，結(jié)合預(yù)防事故“三雙手理論”，提出了煤礦險(xiǎn)兆事件預(yù)控對(duì)策。再次，設(shè)計(jì)了煤礦險(xiǎn)兆事件管理流程，并對(duì)管理中存在的隱瞞上報(bào)這一難題進(jìn)行分析，設(shè)計(jì)了煤礦險(xiǎn)兆事件自愿上報(bào)意愿影響因素調(diào)查問(wèn)卷，并運(yùn)用SPSS17.0對(duì)回收的問(wèn)卷進(jìn)行了分析。篩選出有硬性要求、領(lǐng)導(dǎo)不重視、影響考評(píng)、沒(méi)有損失等八個(gè)影響因素，在此基礎(chǔ)上，提出了改進(jìn)對(duì)策。最后，為提高煤礦險(xiǎn)兆事件管理的效率及效果，本文還基于JAVA編程語(yǔ)言和DB2數(shù)據(jù)庫(kù)，開(kāi)發(fā)了煤礦險(xiǎn)兆事件管理信息系統(tǒng)，系統(tǒng)包括用戶管理、制度文件管理、煤礦險(xiǎn)兆事件閉環(huán)管理以及綜合查詢等四個(gè)模塊。通過(guò)對(duì)煤礦險(xiǎn)兆事件相關(guān)基礎(chǔ)理論的研究和煤礦險(xiǎn)兆事件管理信息系統(tǒng)的開(kāi)發(fā)等，將安全管理理論與信息技術(shù)相結(jié)合，能夠顯著提高煤礦險(xiǎn)兆事件的管理效果及效率。同時(shí)，為煤礦安全管理開(kāi)辟了新的視角，對(duì)促進(jìn)煤礦安全生產(chǎn)水平持續(xù)提升，實(shí)現(xiàn)煤礦風(fēng)險(xiǎn)預(yù)控，有著重要的現(xiàn)實(shí)意義。
[Abstract]:In recent years, the mortality rate of millions of tons in China's coal industry has continued to decline, but the situation of production safety is still grim. The failure to control coal mine accidents effectively is caused by unclear accident mechanism and lack of identification and pre-control of dangerous and dangerous events. There are signs before any accident. Based on the theory of three kinds of dangerous sources, it is an important and practical means to improve the reliability of coal mine production safety guarantee by developing the basic theory and management research of coal mine dangerous event. This paper first analyzes the basic theory of coal mine risk precursor event: defines its concept, differentiates and analyzes the difference and relation between coal mine risk precursor event and dangerous source, accident hidden danger and coal mine accident, and based on the action object of coal mine, analyzes the difference and relation between coal mine risk precursor event and danger source, accident hidden danger and coal mine accident etc. Based on the occurrence probability of coal mine danger precursor event, the severity and type of the accident may be caused, and the coal mine danger precursor event can be classified into three levels: coal mine first risk event, coal mine risk precursor event, Combined with Reason's "Swiss Cheese" model and three kinds of dangerous source accident cause theory, the coal mine risk precursor event cause model based on three kinds of dangerous sources is constructed. Secondly, the causality model and the explanation structure model of the cause factors of coal mine danger are constructed, and combined with the theory of "three hands" to prevent accidents, the pre-control countermeasures are put forward. Thirdly, the paper designs the management process of coal mine risk precursor event, and analyzes the difficult problem of hiding and reporting in the management, and designs the questionnaire of influencing factors of voluntary reporting willingness of coal mine risk precursor event. SPSS17.0 is used to analyze the collected questionnaire. On the basis of the selection of eight influencing factors, such as rigid requirement, leaders' neglect, influence evaluation and no loss, the improvement countermeasures are put forward. Finally, in order to improve the efficiency and effect of coal mine risk precursor event management, based on JAVA programming language and DB2 database, a coal mine risk precursor event management information system is developed. The system includes user management and system file management. Coal mine risk risk closed-loop management and comprehensive inquiry four modules. Through the research on the basic theory of coal mine risk precursor event and the development of coal mine risk precursor event management information system, the safety management theory and information technology can be combined to improve the management effect and efficiency of coal mine danger precursor event. At the same time, it opens up a new angle of view for coal mine safety management, which has important practical significance to promote the level of coal mine safety production continuously and realize the coal mine risk pre-control.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：西安科技大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2013
【分類號(hào)】：X936

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