【摘要】：隨著國(guó)際產(chǎn)業(yè)轉(zhuǎn)移和產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)的調(diào)整，全球服務(wù)貿(mào)易的迅猛發(fā)展，，成為當(dāng)今國(guó)際貿(mào)易中最活躍，最具有增長(zhǎng)潛力的一部分，對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的重要性逐漸增強(qiáng)。與世界發(fā)達(dá)國(guó)家或地區(qū)相比，中國(guó)服務(wù)貿(mào)易發(fā)展時(shí)間較晚，尤其新興服務(wù)領(lǐng)域發(fā)展較為落后，但中國(guó)服務(wù)貿(mào)易總體競(jìng)爭(zhēng)力正在不斷提升。近年來(lái)，浙江服務(wù)貿(mào)易發(fā)展勢(shì)頭良好，增長(zhǎng)空間較大，其對(duì)浙江經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的貢獻(xiàn)也將越來(lái)越大，對(duì)服務(wù)貿(mào)易與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)關(guān)系的研究對(duì)于經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展戰(zhàn)略的制定具有重要的理論和實(shí)踐意義。從目前理論研究的情況來(lái)看，貨物貿(mào)易與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)關(guān)系的研究占據(jù)了主要地位，但隨著服務(wù)貿(mào)易的迅速發(fā)展及其對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)貢獻(xiàn)力度的加大，服務(wù)貿(mào)易與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)關(guān)系的理論研究也出現(xiàn)了重大突破，但研究不夠深入，有待于加強(qiáng)。 本文通過(guò)對(duì)服務(wù)貿(mào)易和經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)關(guān)系相關(guān)理論的剖析，在總結(jié)已有文獻(xiàn)的基礎(chǔ)上，從規(guī)模、結(jié)構(gòu)、特征、競(jìng)爭(zhēng)力等方面對(duì)浙江服務(wù)貿(mào)易發(fā)展概況以及所面臨的機(jī)遇和挑戰(zhàn)作了分析。又從資本、就業(yè)、技術(shù)效應(yīng)以及服務(wù)貿(mào)易需求等角度，對(duì)浙江服務(wù)貿(mào)易與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的長(zhǎng)期相互作用的機(jī)制作了研究。在理論分析的框架下，文章運(yùn)用ADF平穩(wěn)檢驗(yàn)、多變量協(xié)整檢驗(yàn)、回歸分析等多種計(jì)量分析方法對(duì)服務(wù)貿(mào)易和經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的長(zhǎng)期數(shù)據(jù)進(jìn)行了檢驗(yàn)和分析，得出兩者長(zhǎng)期相互促進(jìn)的結(jié)論；此外，本文還采取貿(mào)易依存率、貿(mào)易貢獻(xiàn)率、增長(zhǎng)彈性這三個(gè)指標(biāo)分析了浙江經(jīng)典部門(mén)服務(wù)貿(mào)易和經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)兩者之間的短期關(guān)系。最后，本文在原有分析的基礎(chǔ)上提出了相關(guān)政策建議以提升浙江服務(wù)貿(mào)易競(jìng)爭(zhēng)力，從而促進(jìn)浙江經(jīng)濟(jì)的進(jìn)一步增長(zhǎng)。
[Abstract]:With the adjustment of international industrial transfer and industrial structure, the rapid development of global trade in services has become the most active and potential part of international trade, and its importance to economic growth has gradually increased. Compared with the developed countries or regions in the world, China's service trade develops late, especially in the emerging service field, but the overall competitiveness of China's service trade is constantly improving. In recent years, Zhejiang service trade has a good momentum of development and large growth space, and its contribution to Zhejiang's economic growth will be greater and greater. The study of the relationship between service trade and economic growth is of great theoretical and practical significance for the formulation of economic development strategy. From the current theoretical research situation, the study of the relationship between trade in goods and economic growth occupies a major position, but with the rapid development of trade in services and the increase of its contribution to the economy, there has also been a major breakthrough in the theoretical research on the relationship between trade in services and economic growth, but the research is not deep enough and needs to be strengthened. Based on the analysis of the related theories of the relationship between service trade and economic growth, and on the basis of summing up the existing literature, this paper analyzes the development situation, opportunities and challenges of Zhejiang service trade from the aspects of scale, structure, characteristics, competitiveness and so on. From the point of view of capital, employment, technology effect and demand of service trade, this paper also studies the long-term interaction mechanism between service trade and economic growth in Zhejiang Province. In the framework of theoretical analysis, this paper uses ADF stationary test, multivariable cointegration test, regression analysis and other econometric analysis methods to test and analyze the long-term data of service trade and economic growth, and draws the conclusion that the two promote each other for a long time. In addition, this paper also analyzes the short-term relationship between service trade and economic growth in Zhejiang classical sectors by using three indexes: trade dependence rate, trade contribution rate and growth elasticity. Finally, on the basis of the original analysis, this paper puts forward some relevant policy suggestions to enhance the competitiveness of Zhejiang service trade, so as to promote the further growth of Zhejiang economy.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：浙江理工大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2013
【分類號(hào)】：F752.68;F127

【引證文獻(xiàn)】

相關(guān)碩士學(xué)位論文 前2條

1 吳鑫;中國(guó)金融服務(wù)貿(mào)易與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)關(guān)系研究[D];浙江大學(xué);2016年

2 朱曉輝;文化貿(mào)易與上海經(jīng)濟(jì)轉(zhuǎn)型發(fā)展的關(guān)系研究[D];浙江理工大學(xué);2015年

本文編號(hào)：2510353