資源型縣域主導(dǎo)產(chǎn)業(yè)選擇及其優(yōu)化效應(yīng)研究
發(fā)布時(shí)間：2019-07-04 13:00
【摘要】：我國的資源型城市和地區(qū)依托天然賦予的自然資源和國家優(yōu)惠政策在短期內(nèi)獲得了迅速的發(fā)展,對我國經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展和社會(huì)主義現(xiàn)代化建設(shè)起到了極大的推拉作用,但很多資源型城市和地區(qū)過分依賴資源開采,忽視了長期可持續(xù)發(fā)展能力的建設(shè),未能及時(shí)規(guī)劃和培育能可持續(xù)發(fā)展的產(chǎn)業(yè)集群。隨著資源的不斷消耗,這些城市和地區(qū)的經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展基礎(chǔ)受到了極大威脅,資源開采難度逐漸加大、生產(chǎn)成本不斷升高、資源儲(chǔ)備趨向枯竭、生態(tài)環(huán)境破壞嚴(yán)重、就業(yè)壓力增大、城市競爭力持續(xù)下滑等種種制約因素開始凸顯,經(jīng)濟(jì)社會(huì)發(fā)展遇到了極大困難。因此,資源型城市和地區(qū)必須尋求轉(zhuǎn)型發(fā)展,通過產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)調(diào)整和升級(jí)以獲得長期可持續(xù)發(fā)展,而產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)調(diào)整和升級(jí)的核心問題是主導(dǎo)產(chǎn)業(yè)的再選擇與更新。因此,正確選擇并加大力度培育壯大新的主導(dǎo)產(chǎn)業(yè),是資源型城市實(shí)現(xiàn)戰(zhàn)略轉(zhuǎn)型的根本。 宜章縣是典型的資源型縣域城市,本文以宜章縣主導(dǎo)產(chǎn)業(yè)選擇為研究問題,以宜章縣工業(yè)產(chǎn)業(yè)為研究對象,采用定量分析與定性分析相結(jié)合的方法進(jìn)行研究。首先,本文在系統(tǒng)梳理國內(nèi)外現(xiàn)有研究基礎(chǔ)上,歸納出資源型縣域主導(dǎo)產(chǎn)業(yè)選擇的三種主要模式：現(xiàn)狀篩選、主動(dòng)培育、被動(dòng)型完全替代,并重點(diǎn)研究現(xiàn)狀篩選模式下資源型縣域主導(dǎo)產(chǎn)業(yè)選擇的主要步驟,進(jìn)一步構(gòu)建以市場需求、產(chǎn)業(yè)關(guān)聯(lián)、技術(shù)創(chuàng)新、比較優(yōu)勢、經(jīng)濟(jì)社會(huì)效益及可持續(xù)發(fā)展為基準(zhǔn)的定量分析的指標(biāo)體系。其次,依據(jù)所構(gòu)建的指標(biāo)體系,對宜章縣現(xiàn)有的17個(gè)工業(yè)產(chǎn)業(yè)進(jìn)行實(shí)證分析,得到現(xiàn)狀篩選模式下的主導(dǎo)產(chǎn)業(yè)。再次,為彌補(bǔ)現(xiàn)狀篩選模式的不足,進(jìn)一步從主動(dòng)培育模式角度出發(fā),定性分析探討得出主動(dòng)培育模式下的主導(dǎo)產(chǎn)業(yè)。第三,綜合現(xiàn)狀篩選模式下定量分析結(jié)果與主動(dòng)培育模式下定性分析結(jié)果,得出宜章縣主導(dǎo)產(chǎn)業(yè)體系：第一層級(jí)的主導(dǎo)產(chǎn)業(yè)為現(xiàn)狀篩選模式下定量分析結(jié)果中的化學(xué)原料及化學(xué)制品制造業(yè)(0.898)；第二層級(jí)的主導(dǎo)產(chǎn)業(yè)為現(xiàn)狀篩選模式下定量分析結(jié)果中的通用設(shè)備制造業(yè)(0.299)、黑色金屬冶煉及壓延加工業(yè)(0.225)以及主動(dòng)培育模式下定性分析結(jié)果中的新材料產(chǎn)業(yè)、新能源產(chǎn)業(yè)；第三層級(jí)的主導(dǎo)產(chǎn)業(yè)為主動(dòng)培育模式下定性分析結(jié)果中的裝備制造產(chǎn)業(yè)、生物制藥產(chǎn)業(yè)以及電子信息產(chǎn)業(yè)。 文章最后,針對所選定的主導(dǎo)產(chǎn)業(yè)體系,選取化學(xué)原料及化學(xué)制品制造業(yè)(0.898)這一主導(dǎo)產(chǎn)業(yè)為代表,通過VAR脈沖響應(yīng)函數(shù)及方差分解來分析所選定的主導(dǎo)產(chǎn)業(yè)對三次產(chǎn)業(yè)帶來的帶動(dòng)效應(yīng),以驗(yàn)證主導(dǎo)產(chǎn)業(yè)選擇的正確性與合理性,并進(jìn)一步結(jié)合宜章縣情,給出主導(dǎo)產(chǎn)業(yè)體系發(fā)展的對策建議。
[Abstract]:China's resource-based cities and regions rely on natural resources and national preferential policies have achieved rapid development in a short period of time, which has played a great role in promoting and pulling China's economic development and socialist modernization. However, many resource-based cities and regions rely too much on resource exploitation, ignore the construction of long-term sustainable development capacity, and fail to plan and cultivate sustainable industrial clusters in time. With the continuous consumption of resources, the foundation of economic development in these cities and regions has been greatly threatened, the difficulty of resource exploitation is gradually increasing, the production cost is rising, the resource reserve tends to dry up, the ecological environment is seriously damaged, the employment pressure increases, and the competitiveness of the city continues to decline, and many other restrictive factors have become prominent, and the economic and social development has encountered great difficulties. Therefore, resource-based cities and regions must seek the transformation and development, through the adjustment and upgrading of industrial structure to achieve long-term sustainable development, and the core issue of industrial structure adjustment and upgrading is the re-selection and renewal of leading industries. Therefore, the correct selection and strengthening of new leading industries is the foundation of the strategic transformation of resource-based cities. Yizhang County is a typical resource-based county city. This paper takes the choice of leading industry in Yizhang County as the research problem, takes the industrial industry in Yizhang County as the research object, and adopts the method of quantitative analysis and qualitative analysis to carry on the research. First of all, on the basis of systematically combing the existing research at home and abroad, this paper sums up three main modes of resource-based county leading industry selection: current situation screening, active cultivation, passive complete substitution, and focuses on the main steps of resource-based county leading industry selection under the current situation screening mode, and further constructs the market demand, industrial correlation, technological innovation, comparative advantage, The index system of quantitative analysis based on economic and social benefits and sustainable development. Secondly, according to the constructed index system, the existing 17 industrial industries in Yizhang County are empirically analyzed, and the leading industries under the status quo screening model are obtained. Thirdly, in order to make up for the shortcomings of the current screening model, further from the perspective of active cultivation model, qualitative analysis of the leading industry under the active cultivation model. Thirdly, based on the quantitative analysis results under the present situation screening model and the qualitative analysis results under the active cultivation model, the leading industry system in Yizhang County is obtained: the first level of leading industries is the chemical raw materials and chemical products manufacturing industry in the quantitative analysis results under the present situation screening model (0.898); The leading industries at the second level are the general equipment manufacturing industry (0.299), the ferrous metal smelting and calender processing industry (0.225), the new material industry and the new energy industry in the qualitative analysis results under the active cultivation mode, and the leading industries at the third level are the equipment manufacturing industry, biopharmacy industry and electronic information industry in the qualitative analysis results under the active cultivation mode. Finally, according to the selected leading industry system, the chemical raw material and chemical products manufacturing industry (0.898) is selected as the representative, and the driving effect of the selected leading industry on the three industries is analyzed by VAR impulse response function and variance decomposition, in order to verify the correctness and rationality of the choice of the leading industry, and further combined with the situation of Yizhang County, the countermeasures and suggestions for the development of the leading industrial system are given.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：湖南大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2013
【分類號(hào)】：F127
本文編號(hào)：2509934
[Abstract]:China's resource-based cities and regions rely on natural resources and national preferential policies have achieved rapid development in a short period of time, which has played a great role in promoting and pulling China's economic development and socialist modernization. However, many resource-based cities and regions rely too much on resource exploitation, ignore the construction of long-term sustainable development capacity, and fail to plan and cultivate sustainable industrial clusters in time. With the continuous consumption of resources, the foundation of economic development in these cities and regions has been greatly threatened, the difficulty of resource exploitation is gradually increasing, the production cost is rising, the resource reserve tends to dry up, the ecological environment is seriously damaged, the employment pressure increases, and the competitiveness of the city continues to decline, and many other restrictive factors have become prominent, and the economic and social development has encountered great difficulties. Therefore, resource-based cities and regions must seek the transformation and development, through the adjustment and upgrading of industrial structure to achieve long-term sustainable development, and the core issue of industrial structure adjustment and upgrading is the re-selection and renewal of leading industries. Therefore, the correct selection and strengthening of new leading industries is the foundation of the strategic transformation of resource-based cities. Yizhang County is a typical resource-based county city. This paper takes the choice of leading industry in Yizhang County as the research problem, takes the industrial industry in Yizhang County as the research object, and adopts the method of quantitative analysis and qualitative analysis to carry on the research. First of all, on the basis of systematically combing the existing research at home and abroad, this paper sums up three main modes of resource-based county leading industry selection: current situation screening, active cultivation, passive complete substitution, and focuses on the main steps of resource-based county leading industry selection under the current situation screening mode, and further constructs the market demand, industrial correlation, technological innovation, comparative advantage, The index system of quantitative analysis based on economic and social benefits and sustainable development. Secondly, according to the constructed index system, the existing 17 industrial industries in Yizhang County are empirically analyzed, and the leading industries under the status quo screening model are obtained. Thirdly, in order to make up for the shortcomings of the current screening model, further from the perspective of active cultivation model, qualitative analysis of the leading industry under the active cultivation model. Thirdly, based on the quantitative analysis results under the present situation screening model and the qualitative analysis results under the active cultivation model, the leading industry system in Yizhang County is obtained: the first level of leading industries is the chemical raw materials and chemical products manufacturing industry in the quantitative analysis results under the present situation screening model (0.898); The leading industries at the second level are the general equipment manufacturing industry (0.299), the ferrous metal smelting and calender processing industry (0.225), the new material industry and the new energy industry in the qualitative analysis results under the active cultivation mode, and the leading industries at the third level are the equipment manufacturing industry, biopharmacy industry and electronic information industry in the qualitative analysis results under the active cultivation mode. Finally, according to the selected leading industry system, the chemical raw material and chemical products manufacturing industry (0.898) is selected as the representative, and the driving effect of the selected leading industry on the three industries is analyzed by VAR impulse response function and variance decomposition, in order to verify the correctness and rationality of the choice of the leading industry, and further combined with the situation of Yizhang County, the countermeasures and suggestions for the development of the leading industrial system are given.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：湖南大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2013
【分類號(hào)】：F127
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