中國潛在增長率趨勢分析
發(fā)布時間:2019-06-05 03:50
【摘要】:正國際金融危機以來,中國GDP增速從2007年的14.2%大幅放緩到2013年的7.7%。經(jīng)濟放緩一部分是由外部因素造成的:發(fā)達(dá)國家在危機后的經(jīng)濟調(diào)整導(dǎo)致全球最終需求放緩,迫使中國的經(jīng)濟增長模式從出口推動轉(zhuǎn)為內(nèi)需主導(dǎo)。從國內(nèi)因素來看,最近兩三年的經(jīng)濟下滑有周期性因素的影響。繼2008~2010年采取擴張性的經(jīng)濟政策以應(yīng)對國際金融危機之后,近兩三年宏觀經(jīng)濟政策逐步回到中性。同時,中國經(jīng)濟增速也出現(xiàn)了結(jié)構(gòu)性的放緩。
[Abstract]:Since the international financial crisis, China's GDP growth has slowed sharply from 14.2 percent in 2007 to 7.7 percent in 2013. The slowdown is partly due to external factors: post-crisis economic adjustments in developed countries have led to a slowdown in final global demand, forcing China's economic growth model to shift from export-driven to domestic demand-led. From the domestic point of view, the last two or three years of economic downturn has a cyclical impact. After adopting expansionary economic policies to deal with the international financial crisis from 2008 to 2010, macroeconomic policies have gradually returned to neutrality in the past two or three years. At the same time, China's economic growth has also experienced a structural slowdown.
【作者單位】: 摩根大通(中國)有限公司;
【分類號】:F124
本文編號:2493233
[Abstract]:Since the international financial crisis, China's GDP growth has slowed sharply from 14.2 percent in 2007 to 7.7 percent in 2013. The slowdown is partly due to external factors: post-crisis economic adjustments in developed countries have led to a slowdown in final global demand, forcing China's economic growth model to shift from export-driven to domestic demand-led. From the domestic point of view, the last two or three years of economic downturn has a cyclical impact. After adopting expansionary economic policies to deal with the international financial crisis from 2008 to 2010, macroeconomic policies have gradually returned to neutrality in the past two or three years. At the same time, China's economic growth has also experienced a structural slowdown.
【作者單位】: 摩根大通(中國)有限公司;
【分類號】:F124
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