【摘要】：基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施是國民經(jīng)濟整體素質(zhì)和綜合國力的重要體現(xiàn)以及現(xiàn)代化程度的重要標(biāo)志�；A(chǔ)設(shè)施也是推動地區(qū)經(jīng)濟增長的一個重要因素。改革開放以來，甘肅經(jīng)濟實現(xiàn)了快速增長，地區(qū)生產(chǎn)總值由1978年的64.73億元增長到2010年的4120.75億元，，增長了65倍，年均增長率達13.41%。在此過程中，基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施建設(shè)發(fā)揮了重要作用。研究甘肅基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施投資與經(jīng)濟增長的關(guān)系，有利于相關(guān)部門正確認(rèn)識本區(qū)域的基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施建設(shè)現(xiàn)狀，從中找到加快甘肅經(jīng)濟社會發(fā)展的辦法，實現(xiàn)甘肅經(jīng)濟騰飛的目標(biāo)。 本文首先對甘肅基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施現(xiàn)狀、存在的問題以及經(jīng)濟發(fā)展情況做了簡要概述，接著對甘肅基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施投資與經(jīng)濟增長做了協(xié)整分析，通過相關(guān)檢驗得到協(xié)整系數(shù)為0.8929.然后通過格蘭杰因果檢驗發(fā)現(xiàn)，短期內(nèi)經(jīng)濟增長促進基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施建設(shè)，長期內(nèi)二者互為因果關(guān)系。接著通過建立三要素生產(chǎn)函數(shù)模型估計了甘肅基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施投資的產(chǎn)出彈性，得到的結(jié)果為：基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施投資的產(chǎn)出彈性為0.309，基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施對經(jīng)濟增長的平均貢獻率為43.89%。最后在論證的基礎(chǔ)上提出了完善甘肅基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施建設(shè)的相關(guān)政策建議。
[Abstract]:Infrastructure is an important embodiment of the overall quality of the national economy and comprehensive national strength, as well as an important symbol of the degree of modernization. Infrastructure is also an important factor in promoting regional economic growth. Since the reform and opening up, Gansu's economy has achieved rapid growth, the regional gross domestic product has increased from 6.473 billion yuan in 1978 to 412.075 billion yuan in 2010, an increase of 65 times, with an average annual growth rate of 13.41 yuan. In this process, infrastructure construction has played an important role. The study of the relationship between infrastructure investment and economic growth in Gansu is helpful for the relevant departments to correctly understand the present situation of infrastructure construction in this region, and to find ways to speed up the economic and social development of Gansu, and to realize the goal of economic take-off in Gansu. In this paper, the present situation, existing problems and economic development of infrastructure in Gansu are briefly summarized, and then co-integration analysis of infrastructure investment and economic growth in Gansu is made, and the cointegration coefficient is 0.8929 through correlation test. Then the Granger causality test shows that economic growth promotes infrastructure construction in the short term and the two are causality in the long run. Then the output elasticity of infrastructure investment in Gansu is estimated by establishing a three-factor production function model. The result is that the output elasticity of infrastructure investment is 0.309 and the average contribution rate of infrastructure to economic growth is 43.89. Finally, on the basis of argumentation, the paper puts forward some relevant policy suggestions to improve the infrastructure construction in Gansu.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：西北師范大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2013
【分類號】：F281;F127

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