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內(nèi)蒙古地區(qū)能源消費與經(jīng)濟增長關(guān)系的實證研究

發(fā)布時間:2018-10-17 08:31
【摘要】:能源,作為人類生存和發(fā)展的重要物質(zhì)資源,在整個社會的發(fā)展過程中都起著不可或缺的作用,屬于關(guān)系國家經(jīng)濟命脈和安全的戰(zhàn)略物資。隨著人類社會的進步,能源越來越凸顯了它的重要性。近年來,內(nèi)蒙古地區(qū)的GDP增長率在全國一直處于領(lǐng)先水平,能源消費也一路走高;能源消費與經(jīng)濟增長之間的矛盾日益突出,必將不利于內(nèi)蒙古經(jīng)濟的持續(xù)發(fā)展。能源問題已經(jīng)成為內(nèi)蒙古地區(qū)經(jīng)濟發(fā)展中的熱點問題。 本文旨在對內(nèi)蒙古地區(qū)經(jīng)濟增長與能源消費之間關(guān)系進行深入研究。首先,在前人研究的基礎(chǔ)上提出內(nèi)蒙古地區(qū)能源消費與經(jīng)濟增長之間的內(nèi)在關(guān)系模型。其次,在理論框架的基礎(chǔ)上,綜合運用有關(guān)計量經(jīng)濟學模型,從內(nèi)蒙古地區(qū)能源消費與經(jīng)濟增長、能源效率與經(jīng)濟增長、能源價格與經(jīng)濟增長三個維度實證研究,,為政府與企業(yè)優(yōu)化調(diào)整產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)提供參考意見和建議。本文的主要結(jié)論如下: 首先,內(nèi)蒙古地區(qū)存在著從能源消費到經(jīng)濟增長的單向因果關(guān)系,并且二者之間是一種長期的均衡關(guān)系,說明內(nèi)蒙古地區(qū)仍然是能源消耗型的經(jīng)濟增長模式。其次,煤炭仍然是內(nèi)蒙古地區(qū)支持經(jīng)濟增長的主要能源,而可再生能源所占的位置很少。第三,內(nèi)蒙古的東、西部地區(qū)的區(qū)域能源消費與經(jīng)濟增長之間關(guān)系存在一定差異。第四,能源效率提高將會促進內(nèi)蒙古地區(qū)經(jīng)濟的增長。最后,存在著從能源價格到經(jīng)濟增長的單向因果關(guān)系,即能源價格下降,會導致能源消費增加,從而促進經(jīng)濟增長。 基于以上結(jié)論,提出了對策建議:調(diào)整產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu),加快發(fā)展第三產(chǎn)業(yè);優(yōu)化能源結(jié)構(gòu),適當降低煤炭比重;加強技術(shù)創(chuàng)新,提高能源利用效率;改革能源定價,傳導正確市場信號;明確能源產(chǎn)權(quán),實現(xiàn)區(qū)內(nèi)能源互補;加大環(huán)境保護,建立循環(huán)經(jīng)濟模式;加強宏觀調(diào)控,實現(xiàn)政策引導節(jié)能;加強國際合作,建立能源安全體系。
[Abstract]:Energy, as an important material resource for the survival and development of human beings, plays an indispensable role in the development of the whole society and belongs to the strategic materials related to the national economic lifeline and security. With the progress of human society, energy is becoming more and more important. In recent years, the growth rate of GDP in Inner Mongolia has been in the leading level and the energy consumption has been going up all the way. The contradiction between energy consumption and economic growth is becoming more and more prominent, which is bound to be unfavorable to the sustainable development of Inner Mongolia economy. Energy problem has become a hot issue in the economic development of Inner Mongolia. The purpose of this paper is to study the relationship between economic growth and energy consumption in Inner Mongolia. Firstly, based on the previous studies, the inner relationship model between energy consumption and economic growth in Inner Mongolia is put forward. Secondly, on the basis of theoretical framework, using econometrics model, the empirical research is carried out from three dimensions of energy consumption and economic growth, energy efficiency and economic growth, energy price and economic growth in Inner Mongolia. For the government and enterprises to optimize and adjust the industrial structure to provide advice and suggestions. The main conclusions of this paper are as follows: first, there is a one-way causal relationship between energy consumption and economic growth in Inner Mongolia, and there is a long-term equilibrium relationship between the two. It shows that Inner Mongolia is still the economic growth model of energy consumption. Second, coal is still the main source of energy to support economic growth in Inner Mongolia, with little renewable energy. Thirdly, there are some differences between the regional energy consumption and economic growth in the east and west of Inner Mongolia. Fourth, the improvement of energy efficiency will promote economic growth in Inner Mongolia. Finally, there is a one-way causality from energy price to economic growth, that is, the decline of energy price will lead to an increase in energy consumption, thus promoting economic growth. Based on the above conclusions, some suggestions are put forward: adjusting the industrial structure, speeding up the development of the tertiary industry, optimizing the energy structure, appropriately reducing the proportion of coal, strengthening technological innovation, improving the efficiency of energy use, reforming energy pricing, Transmission of correct market signals; clear energy property rights to achieve energy complementarity in the region; increase environmental protection, establish a circular economy model; strengthen macro-control, achieve policy guidance energy-saving; strengthen international cooperation, establish energy security system.
【學位授予單位】:內(nèi)蒙古科技大學
【學位級別】:碩士
【學位授予年份】:2013
【分類號】:F127;F206

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